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Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Mon Mar 30, 2015 8:41 pm
by Pointedstick
ochotona wrote: Twitter was alive last week around the fact that the S&P 500 has gone a very long stretch without being able to put together back-to-back gains. As of Friday, that streak is now 28 trading days. A streak that long is so rare, it’s only happened twice before since World War II—in May 1970 and April 1994.

Charles Schwab & Co. commentary today
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Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Mar 31, 2015 8:20 am
by dualstow
Wow is that a hillbilly toothpick, i.e. a raccoon's baculum (penile bone) I see on the right? I didn't know those were used for fortune telling!

(Edited for grammar only. Don't --> didn't)

Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2015 10:45 am
by ochotona
Gary Savage at http://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com thinks the S&P500 could go down 30% by 2016. That's a cheery thought.  ::) The red dotted lines he draws actually look kind of realistic and plausible when you consider market history since 1999 to the present.

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Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2015 1:00 pm
by buddtholomew
ochotona wrote: Gary Savage at http://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com thinks the S&P500 could go down 30% by 2016. That's a cheery thought.  ::) The red dotted lines he draws actually look kind of realistic and plausible when you consider market history since 1999 to the present.

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"Anything can happen and nothing has to happen." Predicting the future is a fools errand. The markets were closed and the employment figures were disastrous. Even with this information in-hand who could have foreseen treasuries falling today?
Let's leave forecasting to the geologists. There's no room for forecasting in investing.

Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2015 12:00 pm
by technovelist
So are PP critics who are using the PP happy now? Would they prefer to be all in stocks?

Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:16 pm
by ochotona
This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.

I am currently 30% stocks, 69.5% various kinds of bonds more than 1/2 US Treasuries, 0.5% gold. Ready for the fireworks.

Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:21 pm
by Jack Jones
ochotona wrote: This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.
Why's that?

Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:27 pm
by ochotona
Jack Jones wrote:
ochotona wrote: This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.
Why's that?
Lance Roberts: The mark of a bear

Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:41 pm
by Jack Jones
ochotona wrote:
Jack Jones wrote:
ochotona wrote: This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.
Why's that?
Lance Roberts: The mark of a bear
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Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:58 pm
by dragoncar
technovelist wrote: So are PP critics who are using the PP happy now? Would they prefer to be all in stocks?
Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including today

Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2015 3:05 pm
by dualstow
dragoncar wrote:
technovelist wrote: So are PP critics who are using the PP happy now? Would they prefer to be all in stocks?
Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including today
Hey, if we're going back in time, I would prefer to have been in Tesla.

Re: Stock scream room

Posted: Tue Sep 01, 2015 3:29 pm
by MediumTex
dualstow wrote:
dragoncar wrote:
technovelist wrote: So are PP critics who are using the PP happy now? Would they prefer to be all in stocks?
Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including today
Hey, if we're going back in time, I would prefer to have been in Tesla.
I would have just loaded up on Apple in 2008.

...and maybe some Ford at the depths of the crisis.