Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2018 7:00 am
Gyroscopic Investing
Permanent Portfolio Forum
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Stock scream room
https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=6365
Page 17 of 58
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:00 am
Here comes the snapback. Let's see if it goes until the close.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2018 3:02 pm
Lost and RegainedCortopassi wrote: ↑Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:00 am Here comes the snapback. Let's see if it goes until the close.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2018 3:43 pm
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:05 pm
#markettiming
What do you all think about trimming VP stocks after the midterm elections?
What do you all think about trimming VP stocks after the midterm elections?
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:43 pm
Go RealInvestmentAdvice.com, subscribe to the weekly Newsletter, and use the Real 401(k) Manager (at the bottom of the weekly newsletter) to manage the VP. Lance Roberts will advise you to be 25%, 50%, 75%, or 100% of full strength. It's free.
Or, use my blog. Subscribe to my GEM blog, and use the signals for managing the VP. Not as nuanced as Lance Roberts, all-in or all-out.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2018 7:37 pm
Is that a yes or a no, Ocho? 
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sat Oct 13, 2018 10:40 am
Interesting life you’ve carved out for yourself Ocho.ochotona wrote: ↑Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:43 pmGo RealInvestmentAdvice.com, subscribe to the weekly Newsletter, and use the Real 401(k) Manager (at the bottom of the weekly newsletter) to manage the VP. Lance Roberts will advise you to be 25%, 50%, 75%, or 100% of full strength. It's free.
Or, use my blog. Subscribe to my GEM blog, and use the signals for managing the VP. Not as nuanced as Lance Roberts, all-in or all-out.
Just visited your blog.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sat Oct 13, 2018 11:33 am
I am super glad I ran into trend-following. I think it was Machine Ghost who tipped me off.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sat Oct 13, 2018 1:02 pm
Ochotona = Pika?
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2018 1:36 pm
Now that's a rally. Might even last through the day.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2018 3:06 pm
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:07 pm
I'm glad to hear it. My family has done well with Netflix but I'm below breakeven myself, on that one.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:21 pm
NFLX is up there with AMZN on the number of people who have been bashing it for burning cash for years but they have yet to stop going up. And the people who bash have not stopped bashing. One in particular I recall was calling to short AMZN in the $600s a couple years ago.
I don't really understand the passion some people have with their positions on certain stocks (or gold, or bonds). Why beat yourself up with the wrong analysis, day after day, year after year? Yeah, maybe one day you'll be right and AMZN will lose 50% of its value but that will be to a level higher than when you called to short it.
Just own some of all of them with the PP.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Wed Oct 17, 2018 3:30 pm
In the late 90s and early aughts, it was short sellers on AOL and Yahoo Message Boards trying to convince everyone to sell.Cortopassi wrote: ↑Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:21 pm
I don't really understand the passion some people have with their positions on certain stocks (or gold, or bonds). Why beat yourself up with the wrong analysis, day after day, year after year?
Now, there's no excuse.this bloated pig is going down!
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Thu Oct 18, 2018 8:11 am
Yeah, saw that on Bogleheads. Now they’re resuming that perennial argument about international vs all U.S. Why do I even lurk.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Thu Oct 18, 2018 10:37 pm
Stocks are inflation + dividend. Gambling/hot money cycles in the short term
Inflation can be "good" when its smart loans being made or gov printing money for infrastructure. 2007 was dumb loans inflation and Iraq war
Inflation can be "good" when its smart loans being made or gov printing money for infrastructure. 2007 was dumb loans inflation and Iraq war
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sat Oct 20, 2018 9:24 am
Schwab, 10/12/2018:
"Stock market action recently illustrates again why it’s important for investors to remain disciplined and diversified in a way consistent with their risk tolerances and investment goals. The bull market may have more legs, and upside surprises are possible, but risks have been rising over the past year or so, leading us to be more cautious and recommend that investors limit the risk in their portfolios."
https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/ ... erspective
"Stock market action recently illustrates again why it’s important for investors to remain disciplined and diversified in a way consistent with their risk tolerances and investment goals. The bull market may have more legs, and upside surprises are possible, but risks have been rising over the past year or so, leading us to be more cautious and recommend that investors limit the risk in their portfolios."
https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/ ... erspective
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sat Oct 20, 2018 8:42 pm
Just picked up Ned Davis Research Group's note for October at Schwab.com
MORE EVIDENCE OF A GLOBAL BEAR MARKET
With Technology and U.S. benchmarks joining other global indices on the downside, it has become increasingly evident that stocks remain in a global bear market that started in January. Our Bear Watch report has moved closer to providing its confirmation, in which case we will be likely to downgrade equities to an underweight allocation for the first time in nearly a decade. An oversold bounce would provide a selling opportunity
for that downgrade.
55% equites, 35% bonds, 10% cash is their recommendation for risk-intolerant conservative investors.
{Ochotona is 45% equities, 35% bonds, 10% cash, 10% gold}
MORE EVIDENCE OF A GLOBAL BEAR MARKET
With Technology and U.S. benchmarks joining other global indices on the downside, it has become increasingly evident that stocks remain in a global bear market that started in January. Our Bear Watch report has moved closer to providing its confirmation, in which case we will be likely to downgrade equities to an underweight allocation for the first time in nearly a decade. An oversold bounce would provide a selling opportunity
for that downgrade.
55% equites, 35% bonds, 10% cash is their recommendation for risk-intolerant conservative investors.
{Ochotona is 45% equities, 35% bonds, 10% cash, 10% gold}
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sat Oct 20, 2018 11:57 pm
"Bonds" is such a vague term. What kind of bonds?ochotona wrote: ↑Sat Oct 20, 2018 8:42 pm Just picked up Ned Davis Research Group's note for October at Schwab.com
MORE EVIDENCE OF A GLOBAL BEAR MARKET
With Technology and U.S. benchmarks joining other global indices on the downside, it has become increasingly evident that stocks remain in a global bear market that started in January. Our Bear Watch report has moved closer to providing its confirmation, in which case we will be likely to downgrade equities to an underweight allocation for the first time in nearly a decade. An oversold bounce would provide a selling opportunity
for that downgrade.
55% equites, 35% bonds, 10% cash is their recommendation for risk-intolerant conservative investors.
{Ochotona is 45% equities, 35% bonds, 10% cash, 10% gold}
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sun Oct 21, 2018 7:30 pm
Yeah, right... Subprime is contained blah blah blah
JERUSALEM (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin dismissed concerns that China’s weakest economic growth since the global financial crisis could spill into other emerging markets and destabilize U.S. financial markets.
JERUSALEM (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin dismissed concerns that China’s weakest economic growth since the global financial crisis could spill into other emerging markets and destabilize U.S. financial markets.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sat Nov 17, 2018 11:12 am
November: Ned Davis is 50% equities now
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Mon Nov 19, 2018 5:10 pm
Another day another puke. Could be January 2008 again for all we know...
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Sat Nov 24, 2018 2:00 pm
From my friend Lance Roberts:
"Last week, we further reduced equity risk further bringing exposures down to just 40% of our portfolios. On a rally to the 200-dma which fails, we will reduce risk more and add negative hedges to portfolios."
"Last week, we further reduced equity risk further bringing exposures down to just 40% of our portfolios. On a rally to the 200-dma which fails, we will reduce risk more and add negative hedges to portfolios."