Stock scream room
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Re: Stock scream room
Fair enough.
FWIW, my personal tweak is to use small cap blend instead of small cap value. I've done a lot of research, and eventually decided that just buying small cap blend is close enough without over-thinking value vs. growth cycles. Half VTI and half VB splits money equally between large, mid, and small caps and would likely satisfy your equal weight preference.
It also has other side benefits for my situation, but that's a topic for another thread.
FWIW, my personal tweak is to use small cap blend instead of small cap value. I've done a lot of research, and eventually decided that just buying small cap blend is close enough without over-thinking value vs. growth cycles. Half VTI and half VB splits money equally between large, mid, and small caps and would likely satisfy your equal weight preference.
It also has other side benefits for my situation, but that's a topic for another thread.
Last edited by Tyler on Wed Mar 30, 2016 9:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Stock scream room
How do you know that? (And I mean how do you KNOW that)?MachineGhost wrote: You're not gonna get more prosperity by data mining to the past.
I've also adopted the Golden Butterfly Portfolio with a slight tilt toward stocks and it seems to be doing well right now.
Re: Stock scream room
Sweeping statements like that are half wise, and half Scheiße.MachineGhost wrote: You're not gonna get more prosperity by data mining to the past.
Of course if we data mined 1901-1950 we could not predict 1951-2000. But for better or worse, the DJIA has done "OK", even though the component companies of the index have changed in unpredictable and novel ways.
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Re: Stock scream room
Well, technically, data mining is purely statistical without any fundamental or behaviorial context. Since 99.99% of such models fail when applied for real, I feel safe standing by my statement. I mean, is anyone really in disagreement that "Small Cap Value" from Vanguard is anything but after I posted some of the portfolio stats?
Anyway, speaking of the devil, here is how to determine if your "Smart Beta"* fund is a scam or not: https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor ... g-you-off/
* "Smart Beta" has come to mean any weighting or factor tilting scheme other than market-cap.
As far as prosperity, capitalism is predicated on arbitraging diminishing returns. What was great in the past does not necessarily exist in the future.
Anyway, speaking of the devil, here is how to determine if your "Smart Beta"* fund is a scam or not: https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor ... g-you-off/
* "Smart Beta" has come to mean any weighting or factor tilting scheme other than market-cap.
As far as prosperity, capitalism is predicated on arbitraging diminishing returns. What was great in the past does not necessarily exist in the future.
Last edited by MachineGhost on Wed Mar 30, 2016 8:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Re: Stock scream room
I have SCHF on a watch list, and it really, really puked today. Short, intermediate and long term bear signals. It's an ex-US ETF. Wow. -5%
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Re: Stock scream room
Yeah today was a tough day for pretty much anything equity related, unless you were short something. In which case you very likely made money. My guess is the pain in the stock market is likely to continue for a little bit until the Wall Street boys stop freaking out. All of which said today was just another day to be glad you are in the PP.ochotona wrote:I have SCHF on a watch list, and it really, really puked today. Short, intermediate and long term bear signals. It's an ex-US ETF. Wow. -5%
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Re: Stock scream room
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Re: Stock scream room
Could grind along for three more years or more with further Central Bank propping?MachineGhost wrote:
Re: Stock scream room
What the heck happened at 1 PM eastern time today?
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Re: Stock scream room
Hitlery is back in the news - reopening email investigation.ochotona wrote:What the heck happened at 1 PM eastern time today?
Re: Stock scream room
It moved the market that much? A buy order went through that I wasn't quite expecting, but then the price popped back up. It worked out well, but it was so strange.buddtholomew wrote:Hitlery is back in the news - reopening email investigation.ochotona wrote:What the heck happened at 1 PM eastern time today?
Re: Stock scream room
I put in a stock buy order at -1% relative to Tuesday's close, and it hit ! Then it kept on going up all day long today !
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Re: Stock scream room
(from the thread, "I think I'll rebalance today")Time for another trim. My S&P shares are just below doubling, 99.93%
My indie stocks doubled overall yesterday for the first time in my lifetime. 2004 was when I first started really buying, and I mostly stopped around 2010, opting for index funds. I'm not a good picker. I just held on for the dividends. What a feeling. Ready for the value to get cut in half now...
Re: Stock scream room
FB -3.28%
NFLX -4.73%
AAPL -3.88%
GOOG -3.41%
MSFT -2.27
AMZN -3.16%
TSLA -3..43%
TWTR -3.92%
SNAP -4.08%
I wonder what will be going through tech investors' minds this weekend? Buy the f***ing dip? Or sell? Monday might be interesting.
NFLX -4.73%
AAPL -3.88%
GOOG -3.41%
MSFT -2.27
AMZN -3.16%
TSLA -3..43%
TWTR -3.92%
SNAP -4.08%
I wonder what will be going through tech investors' minds this weekend? Buy the f***ing dip? Or sell? Monday might be interesting.
Re: Stock scream room
Phhhhfffbbbtttt...nothing. My NVDA crashed better than any of those wusses today.
Re: Stock scream room
I'm going to convert to mutual funds, so there's no ticker to watch all day long.
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Re: Stock scream room
VITAX?ochotona wrote:I'm going to convert to mutual funds, so there's no ticker to watch all day long.
Re: Stock scream room
I am a Schwabbie, so SWPPX or SWISX
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Re: Stock scream room
Oh, how I wish I'd bought NVDA. Most of the bitcoin and ether miners are using it, apparently.Kbg wrote:Phhhhfffbbbtttt...nothing. My NVDA crashed better than any of those wusses today.
Re: Stock scream room
Yeah, it has been a good ride. Bumpy though.
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Re: Stock scream room
The market is so resilient, isn't it? North Korea, no problem. Domestic strife, fine.
The market knows that everything is fine.
The market knows that everything is fine.
Re: Stock scream room
https://youtu.be/cCKONHUigVkdualstow wrote:The market is so resilient, isn't it? North Korea, no problem. Domestic strife, fine.
The market knows that everything is fine.
Re: Stock scream room
I wonder if Houston will impact the market on Monday. Talk about Black Swans.
Re: Stock scream room
Apparently gold floats.ochotona wrote:I wonder if Houston will impact the market on Monday. Talk about Black Swans.
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Re: Stock scream room
Is it really a Black Swan though?ochotona wrote:I wonder if Houston will impact the market on Monday. Talk about Black Swans.
ha!Tyler wrote:Apparently gold floats.