Stock scream room

[Tyler]

Fair enough. 

FWIW, my personal tweak is to use small cap blend instead of small cap value.  I've done a lot of research, and eventually decided that just buying small cap blend is close enough without over-thinking value vs. growth cycles.  Half VTI and half VB splits money equally between large, mid, and small caps and would likely satisfy your equal weight preference. 

It also has other side benefits for my situation, but that's a topic for another thread. 

[curlew]

You're not gonna get more prosperity by data mining to the past. 

How do you know that? (And I mean how do you KNOW that)?

I've also adopted the Golden Butterfly Portfolio with a slight tilt toward stocks and it seems to be doing well right now.

[ochotona]

You're not gonna get more prosperity by data mining to the past. 

Sweeping statements like that are half wise, and half Scheiße.

Of course if we data mined 1901-1950 we could not predict 1951-2000. But for better or worse, the DJIA has done "OK", even though the component companies of the index have changed in unpredictable and novel ways.

[MachineGhost]

Well, technically, data mining is purely statistical without any fundamental or behaviorial context.  Since 99.99% of such models fail when applied for real, I feel safe standing by my statement.  I mean, is anyone really in disagreement that "Small Cap Value" from Vanguard is anything but after I posted some of the portfolio stats?

Anyway, speaking of the devil, here is how to determine if your "Smart Beta"* fund is a scam or not: https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor ... g-you-off/

* "Smart Beta" has come to mean any weighting or factor tilting scheme other than market-cap.

As far as prosperity, capitalism is predicated on arbitraging diminishing returns.  What was great in the past does not necessarily exist in the future.

[ochotona]

I have SCHF on a watch list, and it really, really puked today. Short, intermediate and long term bear signals. It's an ex-US ETF. Wow. -5%

[Ad Orientem]

I have SCHF on a watch list, and it really, really puked today. Short, intermediate and long term bear signals. It's an ex-US ETF. Wow. -5%

Yeah today was a tough day for pretty much anything equity related, unless you were short something. In which case you very likely made money. My guess is the pain in the stock market is likely to continue for a little bit until the Wall Street boys stop freaking out. All of which said today was just another day to be glad you are in the PP.

[MachineGhost]

[ochotona]

Could grind along for three more years or more with further Central Bank propping?

[ochotona]

What the heck happened at 1 PM eastern time today?

[buddtholomew]

What the heck happened at 1 PM eastern time today?

Hitlery is back in the news - reopening email investigation.

[ochotona]

What the heck happened at 1 PM eastern time today?

Hitlery is back in the news - reopening email investigation.

It moved the market that much? A buy order went through that I wasn't quite expecting, but then the price popped back up. It worked out well, but it was so strange.

[ochotona]

I put in a stock buy order at -1% relative to Tuesday's close, and it hit ! Then it kept on going up all day long today !

[dualstow]

Time for another trim. My S&P shares are just below doubling, 99.93%

(from the thread, "I think I'll rebalance today")

My indie stocks doubled overall yesterday for the first time in my lifetime. 2004 was when I first started really buying, and I mostly stopped around 2010, opting for index funds. I'm not a good picker. I just held on for the dividends. What a feeling. Ready for the value to get cut in half now...

[ochotona]

FB -3.28%
NFLX -4.73%
AAPL -3.88%
GOOG -3.41%
MSFT -2.27
AMZN -3.16%
TSLA -3..43%
TWTR -3.92%
SNAP -4.08%

I wonder what will be going through tech investors' minds this weekend? Buy the f***ing dip? Or sell? Monday might be interesting.

[Kbg]

Phhhhfffbbbtttt...nothing. My NVDA crashed better than any of those wusses today.

[ochotona]

I'm going to convert to mutual funds, so there's no ticker to watch all day long.

[dualstow]

I'm going to convert to mutual funds, so there's no ticker to watch all day long.

VITAX?

[ochotona]

I am a Schwabbie, so SWPPX or SWISX

[dualstow]

Phhhhfffbbbtttt...nothing. My NVDA crashed better than any of those wusses today.

Oh, how I wish I'd bought NVDA. Most of the bitcoin and ether miners are using it, apparently.

[Kbg]

Yeah, it has been a good ride. Bumpy though.

[dualstow]

The market is so resilient, isn't it? North Korea, no problem. Domestic strife, fine.
The market knows that everything is fine.

[ochotona]

The market is so resilient, isn't it? North Korea, no problem. Domestic strife, fine.
The market knows that everything is fine.

https://youtu.be/cCKONHUigVk

[ochotona]

I wonder if Houston will impact the market on Monday. Talk about Black Swans.

[Tyler]

I wonder if Houston will impact the market on Monday. Talk about Black Swans.

Apparently gold floats.

[dualstow]

I wonder if Houston will impact the market on Monday. Talk about Black Swans.

Is it really a Black Swan though?

Apparently gold floats.

ha!