Stock scream room
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Re: Stock scream room
Liz Ann Sonders and Randy A. Frederick from Schwab have just gotten on a video today, where they have been gently reminding clients that maybe things are getting too frothy, they've sensed sentiment shifting to extremely positive and speculative just in the past few weeks... they are perma-bulls, so maybe this is as much warning as they will ever issue!
https://youtu.be/PTuQGdtlaRY
https://youtu.be/PTuQGdtlaRY
Re: Stock scream room
Actually, my downside due to stocks is just about like the PP. Trend following will reduce the drawdown by at least half, so at 55% stocks, really the drawdown in a 2008-2009 scenario is going to be -10%-ish. But you do have to be awake on the last day of the month and decide to trade or not based on very simple metrics.sophie wrote:On the other hand, if I held 60% in stocks and followed an active trading philosophy like our friend ochotona, I'd be on edge right now too.
- dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room
I'm at 50% stocks, give or take, so I will be hurt by a stock crash, psychologically. On the other hand, I'm young enough that I should be wishing for stocks to get cheap.
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Re: Stock scream room
Subscribe by email or RSS to my trendfollowing signals. Then get out of stocks when the getting's good. Don't ride them down to the abyss. Gemsignals.blogspot.comdualstow wrote:I'm at 50% stocks, give or take, so I will be hurt by a stock crash, psychologically. On the other hand, I'm young enough that I should be wishing for stocks to get cheap.
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Re: Stock scream room
I appreciate it, but I'll pass. They're mostly dividend paying stocks, those that aren't in the pp. (PP has index funds).
Sam Bankman-Fried sentenced to 25 years
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Re: Stock scream room
Is it possible the computers/algos/powers that be, etc have such good control this time around that the markets really will never go down?
I almost ask that seriously. Not that I am going above my allocation, but damn it is freaking unstoppable.
I almost ask that seriously. Not that I am going above my allocation, but damn it is freaking unstoppable.
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Re: Stock scream room
Hey, the market has to set new records somehow. This is how it happened in the past. We all just look more often now that it's this high.Cortopassi wrote:Is it possible the computers/algos/powers that be, etc have such good control this time around that the markets really will never go down?
I almost ask that seriously. Not that I am going above my allocation, but damn it is freaking unstoppable.
Sam Bankman-Fried sentenced to 25 years
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Re: Stock scream room
Look at GE.
Trough (pre-market) to close today + 11% AFTER missing earnings and guiding -30% lower.
You were saying this market is not rigged...
Trough (pre-market) to close today + 11% AFTER missing earnings and guiding -30% lower.
You were saying this market is not rigged...
Re: Stock scream room
BUY! BUY! BUY!
XIV is getting ridiculous
XIV is getting ridiculous
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
- Kriegsspiel
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Re: Stock scream room
Kinda puts it in perspective... nicely done, sir.
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
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Re: Stock scream room
Re: Market cap to GDP
"Buffett's Favorite Market Cap To GDP Metric Is Useless"
https://seekingalpha.com/article/408096 ... ic-useless
"Buffett's Favorite Market Cap To GDP Metric Is Useless"
https://seekingalpha.com/article/408096 ... ic-useless
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Re: Stock scream room
Perfect chart, kriegs.
Funny, my friend quoted Buffet saying that at lunch today.
Funny, my friend quoted Buffet saying that at lunch today.
Sam Bankman-Fried sentenced to 25 years
Re: Stock scream room
Selling off in Asia. Wednesday should be "interesting" in the USA. Maybe some volatility returns.
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Re: Stock scream room
I'll believe it when I see it. Might start out low, but slow ramp during the day to green/almost green has been the norm.
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Re: Stock scream room
Right on cue...
- buddtholomew
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Re: Stock scream room
Everyone can see the pattern...EU closing to US open. Question is whether this will continue and will you take action? I have as long as it's within established bands.
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Re: Stock scream room
Gosh, no, I don't take action until my bands are hit. These gyrations have become too predictable, which sort of means there's going to be a big fail of them in the not too distant future...
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Re: Stock scream room
Sure feels that way...good until it isnt...Cortopassi wrote:Gosh, no, I don't take action until my bands are hit. These gyrations have become too predictable, which sort of means there's going to be a big fail of them in the not too distant future...
Re: Stock scream room
When the last 52 week high email hit my phone, I sold some, I'm now also at 50%, which is the bare minimum I'd be able to tolerate if they just went up at 10% per year for years more to come. It's my minimum no regret level.dualstow wrote:I'm at 50% stocks, give or take, so I will be hurt by a stock crash, psychologically. On the other hand, I'm young enough that I should be wishing for stocks to get cheap.
Re: Stock scream room
I thought I was gutsy at about 35% stocks compared to others on this forum. I'm the timid one!
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
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Re: Stock scream room
I discovered last week that I’m really at 45% stocks, all told, and I don’t like it. Still, I don’t think I can bring myself to buy.
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Re: Stock scream room
I am at 35% as well and happy there...
Re: Stock scream room
If you are buy and holder, 25%-35% is just fine in this market.