Stock scream room
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- dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room
Wow is that a hillbilly toothpick, i.e. a raccoon's baculum (penile bone) I see on the right? I didn't know those were used for fortune telling!
(Edited for grammar only. Don't --> didn't)
(Edited for grammar only. Don't --> didn't)
Last edited by dualstow on Mon Apr 06, 2015 12:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Stock scream room
Gary Savage at http://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com thinks the S&P500 could go down 30% by 2016. That's a cheery thought. The red dotted lines he draws actually look kind of realistic and plausible when you consider market history since 1999 to the present.
- buddtholomew
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Re: Stock scream room
"Anything can happen and nothing has to happen." Predicting the future is a fools errand. The markets were closed and the employment figures were disastrous. Even with this information in-hand who could have foreseen treasuries falling today?ochotona wrote: Gary Savage at http://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com thinks the S&P500 could go down 30% by 2016. That's a cheery thought. The red dotted lines he draws actually look kind of realistic and plausible when you consider market history since 1999 to the present.
Let's leave forecasting to the geologists. There's no room for forecasting in investing.
"The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool" --Feynman.
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Re: Stock scream room
So are PP critics who are using the PP happy now? Would they prefer to be all in stocks?
Re: Stock scream room
This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.
I am currently 30% stocks, 69.5% various kinds of bonds more than 1/2 US Treasuries, 0.5% gold. Ready for the fireworks.
I am currently 30% stocks, 69.5% various kinds of bonds more than 1/2 US Treasuries, 0.5% gold. Ready for the fireworks.
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Re: Stock scream room
Why's that?ochotona wrote: This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.
Re: Stock scream room
Lance Roberts: The mark of a bearJack Jones wrote:Why's that?ochotona wrote: This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.
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Re: Stock scream room
ochotona wrote:Lance Roberts: The mark of a bearJack Jones wrote:Why's that?ochotona wrote: This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.
Re: Stock scream room
Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including todayLibertarian666 wrote: So are PP critics who are using the PP happy now? Would they prefer to be all in stocks?
- dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room
Hey, if we're going back in time, I would prefer to have been in Tesla.dragoncar wrote:Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including todayLibertarian666 wrote: So are PP critics who are using the PP happy now? Would they prefer to be all in stocks?
Re: Stock scream room
I would have just loaded up on Apple in 2008.dualstow wrote:Hey, if we're going back in time, I would prefer to have been in Tesla.dragoncar wrote:Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including todayLibertarian666 wrote: So are PP critics who are using the PP happy now? Would they prefer to be all in stocks?
...and maybe some Ford at the depths of the crisis.
Q: “Do you have funny shaped balloons?”
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A: “Not unless round is funny.”
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Re: Stock scream room
Wow, you really are ready for everything! But why such a high gold allocation? Are you some kind of doomer?ochotona wrote: This week would be a really good time to lighten up on stocks.
I am currently 30% stocks, 69.5% various kinds of bonds more than 1/2 US Treasuries, 0.5% gold. Ready for the fireworks.
Re: Stock scream room
Lol you guys are really funny but only one of the above scenarios is actually a highly regarded investment strategy. In fact I was in a BH portfolio and switched to PP so it's not a wild fantasyMediumTex wrote:I would have just loaded up on Apple in 2008.dualstow wrote:Hey, if we're going back in time, I would prefer to have been in Tesla.dragoncar wrote: Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including today
...and maybe some Ford at the depths of the crisis.
Re: Stock scream room
Growth investing isn't a highly regarded imvestment strategy?dragoncar wrote:
Lol you guys are really funny but only one of the above scenarios is actually a highly regarded investment strategy. In fact I was in a BH portfolio and switched to PP so it's not a wild fantasy
According to the experts at CNBC, everyone should be stock picking. I say that mostly tongue-in-cheek, but who decides what is highly regarded and what isn't?
- dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room
Me too, but the fantasy part is the specific timing you gave:dragoncar wrote: In fact I was in a BH portfolio and switched to PP so it's not a wild fantasy
As has been pointed out in another thread this morning or yesterday, stocks took a big plunge before they started coming up. Of course it's hard to compete with a specific range.Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including today
Re: Stock scream room
I see articles on the Fidelity home page like "Is now a good time to invest in ABC" or "should you have these 3 stocks in your portfolio right now" and I have to wonder who the hell they are talking to. Are there really a substantial number of investors out there that do their own stock picking? Personally, I don't know any but maybe I travel in the wrong circles.iwealth wrote: According to the experts at CNBC, everyone should be stock picking. I say that mostly tongue-in-cheek, but who decides what is highly regarded and what isn't?
Re: Stock scream room
If I hadn't switched, I'd be in a BH portfolio for the last three years. So the specific timing is not fantasy. I could very well have decided to keep my present allocation, and was pretty much on the fence.dualstow wrote:Me too, but the fantasy part is the specific timing you gave:dragoncar wrote: In fact I was in a BH portfolio and switched to PP so it's not a wild fantasyAs has been pointed out in another thread this morning or yesterday, stocks took a big plunge before they started coming up. Of course it's hard to compete with a specific range.Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including today
- dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room
Not to beat this thing to death, but you wrote
that's different.
Now if you had said, "I wish I'd never abandoned Bogleheads",Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including today
that's different.
Re: Stock scream room
BTW, I am out of stocks now.
Re: Stock scream room
Both statements are factually correct.dualstow wrote: Not to beat this thing to death, but you wroteNow if you had said, "I wish I'd never abandoned Bogleheads",Yea I would prefer to have been in stocks the past three years up to and including today
that's different.
Re: Stock scream room
Well, at least the dividend yield on this crappy asset is up lately.
Re: Stock scream room
US stocks to the far right... they have been racing ahead for so many years, and non-US have been sucking for a long time. Maybe time for a reversal?
- MachineGhost
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Re: Stock scream room
Its all in the timing.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
- dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room
Yikes.ochotona wrote: BTW, I am out of stocks now.
- mathjak107
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Re: Stock scream room
good timing