Stock scream room

Discussion of the Stock portion of the Permanent Portfolio

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ochotona
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by ochotona » Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:40 am

These decadal market return predictions are like climate, shorter durations are like weather. The climate can be warming or cooling, but you can still have cold and hot days which does not disprove the long-term trends of climate warming or cooling.
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buddtholomew
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by buddtholomew » Mon Sep 17, 2018 8:59 am

Kbg wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:31 am
buddtholomew wrote:
Sun Sep 16, 2018 12:08 pm
Kbg wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:00 pm
Fundamental long term projected return measures are actually quite good in their accuracy...just not in the timing. Seems like it is contradictory but it is not. Bonds are utterly predictable...expect the coupon return over multiple iterations. The only thing that is going to make the PP perform well going forward is Mr. Wildcard, gold. The other three assets are not going to do all that great over the next decade.
I think Bogle was quoted as saying “lower than average” stock returns going forward...only problem is that prediction was made circa 2013 and we all know how that’s turned out...

There’s no reason to expect higher or lower stock returns over the next decade. The end. Close book and start a new one.
BuddT,

That’s not how these predictions work. In 2023, we check and see what the average annualized return was over the period from when the prediction was made.
He wasn’t looking forward 10 years.
The point is they don’t work!
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ochotona
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by ochotona » Sun Sep 30, 2018 5:17 pm

Charles Schwab Client Cash Hits All Time Low As Retail Investors Flood The Market
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dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by dualstow » Sun Sep 30, 2018 6:03 pm

ochotona wrote:
Sun Sep 30, 2018 5:17 pm
Charles Schwab Client Cash Hits All Time Low As Retail Investors Flood The Market
I saw something similar but it was in the wsj and I didn’t want to annoy Pug. O0
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by pugchief » Sun Sep 30, 2018 10:51 pm

dualstow wrote:
Sun Sep 30, 2018 6:03 pm
ochotona wrote:
Sun Sep 30, 2018 5:17 pm
Charles Schwab Client Cash Hits All Time Low As Retail Investors Flood The Market
I saw something similar but it was in the wsj and I didn’t want to annoy Pug. O0
Gee, thanks. Surely I'm not the only one here without a WSJ subscription! ???
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dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by dualstow » Mon Oct 01, 2018 7:33 am

You’re the spokesperson for the silent majority.
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ochotona
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by ochotona » Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:06 am

Amazing no screaming here. I guess everyone was expecting some declines eventually.
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dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by dualstow » Fri Oct 12, 2018 7:00 am

ochotona wrote:
Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:06 am
Amazing no screaming here. I guess everyone was expecting some declines eventually.
It’s all in the Gold section.
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Cortopassi
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by Cortopassi » Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:00 am

Here comes the snapback. Let's see if it goes until the close.
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dualstow
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by dualstow » Fri Oct 12, 2018 3:02 pm

Cortopassi wrote:
Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:00 am
Here comes the snapback. Let's see if it goes until the close.
Lost and Regained
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matt2499
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by matt2499 » Fri Oct 12, 2018 3:43 pm

Jan Van wrote:
Thu Oct 02, 2014 11:13 am
At least TSLA and TWTR are up today, happy with that :-)
TSLA too crazy of a roller coaster to handle right now
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Re: Stock scream room

Post by dualstow » Fri Oct 12, 2018 6:05 pm

#markettiming

What do you all think about trimming VP stocks after the midterm elections?
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