Realistic "Market Timing" Backtests

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Reub
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Re: Realistic "Market Timing" Backtests

Post by Reub »

So he was at 15% equities just before the huge rise?
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ochotona
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Re: Realistic "Market Timing" Backtests

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Reub wrote: So he was at 15% equities just before the huge rise?
He believes the current rally is a bear market sucker rally, the trend has changed, and it's "sell the rallies", not "buy the dips".

The 200 day moving average has crossed below the 400 day moving average, a long term trend change indicator to the downside.
Last edited by ochotona on Sun Mar 06, 2016 5:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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MachineGhost
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Re: Realistic "Market Timing" Backtests

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ochotona wrote: Lance Roberts gives away his model allocation in his weekly report. I think he does a great job sniffing out risk and dialing back exposure.
Save me time.  Who is he and why should I care?
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes

Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
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