When the daily SPX MACD histogram goes negative, I'm thinking of a small short position... buy SH, but only in an amount I can really afford to lose 100% if blows up. This may happen in a few days. Lots of earnings coming out this week. They will be ugly.
But if we re-test March lows, I think Fed will find more kitchen sinks to throw, maybe buy equities like Japan. Then we get another rally. So step away from SH if we get to March lows. And keep a tight stop loss on SH.
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Interesting notes from an in-person lecture at AAII Houston by Marvin Appel, son of creator of MACD:
“Buy fast, sell slow”—In general, use 12-26 day MACD for buy signals
Use 19-39 day MACD for sell signals.
The Short Corner
Moderator: Global Moderator
Re: The Short Corner
Other short candidiates
EMTY - short commercial retail real estate
RWN - short Russell 2000 small caps
Both are from Proshares, have done well since beginning of 2020
GRZZX from Leuthold Group has done well.
I think it's important to diversity amongst funds and providers in case of a blow-up, and do this only with play money.
I don't see any buy signals. It's all in limbo.
EMTY - short commercial retail real estate
RWN - short Russell 2000 small caps
Both are from Proshares, have done well since beginning of 2020
GRZZX from Leuthold Group has done well.
I think it's important to diversity amongst funds and providers in case of a blow-up, and do this only with play money.
I don't see any buy signals. It's all in limbo.