Cortopassi wrote: ↑Thu Mar 19, 2020 1:45 pm
mathjak107 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 18, 2020 2:18 pm
So these investments are no longer economically correlated when push comes to shove and the real deal strikes ....this is along the lines of the proverbial zombie attack where the pp assets were supposed to shine .....well so far not the case ....the worse things get the more the protective assets crap the bed
I am happy to have someone post different time ranges and crap all over this. All I'd like to show here, is, contrary information for the latest 16 year period, gold has beat the S&P.
I know you can find other ranges where this does not hold. I only picked this because that's as far back as Yahoo has GLD data.
Not sure if it includes dividends which would make a difference.
And, certainly, I would give gold a bit more time here to absorb the trillions and trillions of printing that is currently and will be happening.
Also, using Jan 21, 2020 as the first Covid 19 case in the US (per CDC), are the protective assets shining? No. Are they protective? Seems like it.
If gold or bonds didn’t win in what contains the lost decade for stocks and a new bear market Dragging things back to 2017 levels then when ? I am surprised cash didn’t win over that Select period..
we spend 80% of our time somewhere below the last low and last high so it always depends where you want to start calculating from ....
The real question is how much was invested over our personal time frames when markets have the biggest effect up or down..
Plus what were the balance differences accumulated up to that point simply because of the allocation.
We can show 1-3 year treasuries beating stocks if we pick the right time frame ....however someone who spent the previous decade going in to that time frame in spy could have 4x the balance going in to that hypothetical low so the balance at the low for stocks still could be many times had you been in 1-3 year treasuries in the preceding years as your allocation ..
Pulling out charts of random years as you see means nothing when it comes to our own situations because of that fact
So what happens before and after the time frames we cherry pick can make all the difference , especially going in.
I mean I started in 1987 in 100% equities in the insight growth ...100k put in as of March 1 was 3.2 million ..... if we fell 50% it is 1.5 million because of what it grew in the preceding years .. in the mean time the income model could avoid falling 50% but it would still not be close to 1.50 million