HBPP Predictions for 2018

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How do you think the HBPP will perform in 2018

Poll ended at Mon Jan 01, 2018 1:35 pm

-6% or less
0
No votes
-5% to 0%
2
13%
0% to 5%
6
40%
6% to 10%
6
40%
11% to 15%
1
7%
Greater than 15%
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 15
PP67
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HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by PP67 » Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:35 pm

No doubt this is HBPP heresy but it would be fun to see the range of results from the wisdom of the crowds...
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Xan
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Re: HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by Xan » Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:56 pm

Are you talking real growth or nominal growth?
Euro-PP
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Re: HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by Euro-PP » Thu Dec 28, 2017 3:12 pm

I assume real return, so after inflation.
Allocation 4x 25%.
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ochotona
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Re: HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by ochotona » Thu Dec 28, 2017 4:00 pm

My prediction... it will do OK
PP67
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Re: HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by PP67 » Fri Dec 29, 2017 12:11 pm

Sorry Xan... I was thinking nominal growth as that would exclude another assumption (inflation).
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buddtholomew
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Re: HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by buddtholomew » Fri Dec 29, 2017 1:31 pm

All assets are expensive, perhaps gold to a lesser degree.
Always the pessimist, I expect Cash to outperform as ST rates rise. Nothing catastrophic, but maybe 2-3% nominal. 2016/2017 have been good years so no complaints.

I almost forgot, we’ve seen a nice run-up in both gold and bonds so expect withdrawals in Q1 if stocks continue their ascend. I’ve talked about this before and I’m sure it’s not new to others - runup in gold and treasuries and then the inevitable declines when the risk doesn’t materialize.
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sophie
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Re: HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by sophie » Fri Dec 29, 2017 6:07 pm

Once again, I'm pretty sure we are all predicting bonds will go down. How many years and counting has that prediction been made, and turned out false?

This might very well be the year when it happens...we'll see.
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eufo
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Re: HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by eufo » Fri Dec 29, 2017 6:42 pm

Looks like I'm the lone pessimist so far with a -5% to 0%. I think we might see some asset depreciation in both stocks & bonds. I'm liking cash & gold. I hope I'm wrong. Another year like this one would be great!
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
Thomas Hoog
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Re: HBPP Predictions for 2018

Post by Thomas Hoog » Wed Jan 03, 2018 4:16 am

sophie wrote:Once again, I'm pretty sure we are all predicting bonds will go down. How many years and counting has that prediction been made, and turned out false?

This might very well be the year when it happens...we'll see.
12 years ? :)
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