Search found 1313 matches

by boglerdude
Sat Jan 13, 2024 8:46 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I do not undestand the theory behind international PP at all
Replies: 26
Views: 18537

Re: I do not undestand the theory behind international PP at all

I'm tilted ex-US cuz my day job depends on US economy. More concerned abt return of capital than return on. It'll be the reserve currency until it isnt. "The Global Market Index (GMI) is an unmanaged benchmark (maintained by CapitalSpectator.com) that holds all the major asset classes (except cash) ...
by boglerdude
Fri Jan 05, 2024 7:39 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Harry Dent: ‘Crash of a Lifetime’ Coming in 2024
Replies: 15
Views: 73453

Re: Harry Dent: ‘Crash of a Lifetime’ Coming in 2024

Fell for the narrative and bought a rental in 05 which everyone says was near peak of bubble. But even if I'd thought about the fundamentals, I would have been looking at prices and hand-wringing daily for ~3 years before prices fell below 05. Depending on how valuable your headspace is, might not b...
by boglerdude
Sat Dec 30, 2023 11:00 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Harry Dent: ‘Crash of a Lifetime’ Coming in 2024
Replies: 15
Views: 73453

Re: Harry Dent: ‘Crash of a Lifetime’ Coming in 2024

question is how long will the Fed wait to step in (and why). IIRC there were only a few months to dump long bonds and buy stocks in 2020. They have the "legal" authority now that they didnt in 2009.
by boglerdude
Fri Dec 29, 2023 6:52 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2023 Returns
Replies: 25
Views: 109494

Re: 2023 Returns

Classic 4x25!? Surely you must have a "variable" portfolio somewhere
by boglerdude
Sun Dec 24, 2023 9:48 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Replies: 1159
Views: 825071

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

He certainly will, fits the narrative. Folks have a hard time accepting that good people do bad things and everyone has their price which is a lot lower than they think. And yeah thats mostly what I do, average the far-right and far-left takes and that's usually close to reality. Happy holidays! The...
by boglerdude
Sat Dec 23, 2023 10:13 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Apple Savings Account
Replies: 2
Views: 10219

Re: Apple Savings Account

> it is not the kind of thing one should be using for the cash portion of the pp ? its FDIC insured https://old.reddit.com/r/AppleCard/comments/14k0emp/apple_savings_my_experience_so_far/ Impressed with Discover Savings, good website and support. IIRC banks are not enforcing the 6 withdrawals per mo...
by boglerdude
Fri Dec 22, 2023 3:03 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Replies: 62
Views: 261756

Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.

> the historical best conditions for raising children and assuring humanities best future Agreed but probably cant be realistically enforced on millions of people. The human machine is designed to live in tribes and not have access to drugs including addictive, Kettling social media. And some random...
by boglerdude
Fri Dec 22, 2023 1:03 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold bars on sale at Costco
Replies: 15
Views: 24562

Re: Gold bars on sale at Costco

probably wont antagonize the government because 95% of people wont pay the membership fee. Myself included, Grocery Outlet FTW
by boglerdude
Wed Dec 20, 2023 8:20 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Replies: 62
Views: 261756

Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.

Tragic. Far right pushing pro-life and far left pushing masks/lockdown/no jabs no job/UBI-communism.

Your body your choice. Not going to get fixed either because these people want the fight. Before social media they couldnt form mobs this large.
by boglerdude
Wed Dec 20, 2023 8:10 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Optimal Diet
Replies: 149
Views: 97448

Re: Optimal Diet

"I fall asleep in less than a minute. Never heard of kraton before." A.I. created to troll me. My Billy Budd. The only thing I want is good sleep. And then cherry picks data to fit a pre-established, comfortable narrative, in this case that kratom is bad. But he's right, as usual. Its a mild opiate ...
by boglerdude
Tue Dec 19, 2023 8:40 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Optimal Diet
Replies: 149
Views: 97448

Re: Optimal Diet

Get on my level Vinny. Also I slam 6oz black coffee when I wake up, then lay down again for 20min until it hits. Waking up has always been rough. Setting up a treadmill with a TV. Should be able to walk for hours if I can surf youtube. Seems I need a lot of exercise to sleep well, still trying to fi...
by boglerdude
Tue Dec 19, 2023 5:03 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Replies: 62
Views: 261756

Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.

"Bubba with a gun" has arrived! @1m15s

https://youtu.be/aDyQxtg0V2w?t=73

"What kind of American are you?"
Headcanon: "Ok. How many weeks did it take to flatten the curve? You dunno?"

Could be good flick if they touched on inflation etc. Impressed they left comments unlocked
by boglerdude
Tue Dec 19, 2023 2:22 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Optimal Diet
Replies: 149
Views: 97448

Re: Optimal Diet

Black coffee or a spoon of peanut butter are good appetite killers
by boglerdude
Tue Dec 12, 2023 6:00 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Replies: 1159
Views: 825071

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Indeed, martial law over a cold, pushed by the Left was unprecedented dysfunction.

Took 9 years to bleed out the Russians in Afghanistan.

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked ... s-in-2022/

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked ... orts-2022/
by boglerdude
Tue Dec 12, 2023 5:39 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Signatures
Replies: 194
Views: 235543

Re: Signatures

^ this

"What did this do to you? Tell me. And remember, this is for posterity so be honest. How do you feel?"
by boglerdude
Sun Dec 03, 2023 8:41 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold Substitutes
Replies: 41
Views: 81113

Re: Gold Substitutes

well...all those folks are counting on their home and 401k for retirement. They will not be consoled if asset prices fall 30% permanently even if CPI drops 40%. So in shrinking/deflationary Japan you have their FED buying private companies for more than their worth. "a merger of state and corporate ...
by boglerdude
Sat Dec 02, 2023 8:36 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold Substitutes
Replies: 41
Views: 81113

Re: Gold Substitutes

Yes, along with Vanguard. Asset holders + homeowners are the most powerful lobby. They arent going to allow assets to drop nominally in USD, for very long. The governance issues are interesting, with Blackrock and Vanguard CEOs voting on your behalf https://old.reddit.com/r/Bogleheads/comments/14771...
by boglerdude
Sat Dec 02, 2023 8:29 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Favorite Podcasts?
Replies: 85
Views: 349645

Re: Favorite Podcasts?

Scott Adams isnt going to transmogrify anyone here into a conservative.

Never listened to the podcast, but they have one of the best sub-reddits. Maybe that isnt saying much. Its for centrist women or something.

https://old.reddit.com/r/redscarepod/to ... top&t=week
by boglerdude
Fri Dec 01, 2023 8:54 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold Substitutes
Replies: 41
Views: 81113

Re: Gold Substitutes

Not smart enough to understand bitcoin, but Gates, Bezos, Buffett and the corporate boards ARE the US government and their megacorps arent going to accept gold, bitcoin, or any sound money that isnt theirs . The company store. 10% seingnorage + its very difficult to start a war when you have to rais...
by boglerdude
Fri Dec 01, 2023 8:34 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.
Replies: 62
Views: 261756

Re: The Red State Brain Drain Isn’t Coming. It’s Happening Right Now.

Any other Texans want to confirm?

Whats the motivation behind the pro-life folks. Are they really church goers? As a libertarian I dont get it but I want to at least empathize/understand

edit1 for some content: HWFO is a decent blog. https://hwfo.substack.com/p/newsoms-per-capita-shuffle
by boglerdude
Tue Nov 28, 2023 7:54 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Why the big move in gold?
Replies: 28
Views: 56819

Re: Why the big move in gold?

Why would people buy gold with cash at 5%. Is the money supply increasing at 7%+ ?
by boglerdude
Thu Nov 23, 2023 7:30 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: TLT cracks $90
Replies: 43
Views: 68900

Re: TLT cracks $90

Id say they might create a boom for the election, but dunno if they'll ever lose again, with this new army of children(under 30s) on social media, martial law/lockdown option, and record immigrants.
by boglerdude
Mon Nov 20, 2023 6:07 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I think it’s time to move into crypto
Replies: 160
Views: 77181

Re: I think it’s time to move into crypto

In a couple areas I trust women more than men. Finance is one

https://www.lynalden.com/november-2023-newsletter/

Still tldr tho
by boglerdude
Sat Nov 18, 2023 8:03 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Favorite Podcasts?
Replies: 85
Views: 349645

Re: Favorite Podcasts?

> I am not able to precisely answer your question

Either he is AI or I am. Hope its me, studied gerontology for a while. Maybe I could upload myself to the cloud and troll for centuries

Also https://www.thisamericanlife.org/archive
by boglerdude
Sat Nov 18, 2023 7:49 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold peg
Replies: 13
Views: 17261

Re: Gold peg

Sound Money hasnt gotten much traction. The people who understand it give up and buy a bag of real assets. Or they end up a homeowner where the inflationary regime is mostly a benefit. Speaking of the Pauls, Rand pushing the narrative that covid was super deadly is sus. And it doesnt matter where it...