Search found 2066 matches
- Mon Apr 15, 2013 4:24 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Difficult Times
- Replies: 124
- Views: 42256
Re: Difficult Times
Goldfinger...my favorite bond movie of all... I have been invested in the PP since 2010 and today is by far the largest draw down that I have personally witnessed. Others may see this decline as a purchasing opportunity, but I am more cautious and will wait until a re-balancing band is triggered. T...
- Sat Apr 13, 2013 12:27 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Sell all gold and return later?
- Replies: 33
- Views: 17122
Re: Sell all gold and return later?
I actually found the gold dive reassuring. One asset fell nearly 5% in a single day, but the overall portfolio was down less than 1%. That's a feature, not a bug. It'll save you the same way when stocks inevitably have a similar day. I think people have a really tough time understanding how volat...
- Sat Apr 13, 2013 9:47 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Do I not need to sell outperforming assets if I add money to pp
- Replies: 41
- Views: 19559
Re: Do I not need to sell outperforming assets if I add money to pp
Thanks for the info, Sophie. Very informative.
- Fri Apr 12, 2013 4:02 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Do I not need to sell outperforming assets if I add money to pp
- Replies: 41
- Views: 19559
Re: Do I not need to sell outperforming assets if I add money to pp
No need to over think it. I personally simply buy the lagging asset(s) for a few reasons - both practical and psychological. Practical : it's the easiest way to avoid rebalancing events (important in my taxable account) Psychological : always buying low is good mental exercise for me, and keeping th...
Re: Gold sale
My favorite headline today:
Gold Selloff Leaves Traders Wondering
- Gold prices were plummeting by 2% as brokers and analysts attempted to discern why.
Lots of after-the-fact oracles out there.
Gold Selloff Leaves Traders Wondering
- Gold prices were plummeting by 2% as brokers and analysts attempted to discern why.
Lots of after-the-fact oracles out there.
- Mon Apr 08, 2013 3:22 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Tracking Your PP's Performance
- Replies: 17
- Views: 8597
Re: Tracking Your PP's Performance
From what I can tell, Mint's investment tracking tool doesn't really track personal returns. It just back-forecasts 18 months what the trend line would have looked like had you always held the same proportions of your investments as you do right now. It's fun to look at to compare the PP to the S&a...
- Sat Apr 06, 2013 12:42 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The Next President of the United States
- Replies: 75
- Views: 22894
Re: The Next President of the United States
Timely article:
Why Hillary is less ‘inevitable’ than you think
http://freebeacon.com/paper-tigress/
Why Hillary is less ‘inevitable’ than you think
http://freebeacon.com/paper-tigress/
- Fri Apr 05, 2013 9:07 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: An Observation
- Replies: 14
- Views: 4830
Re: An Observation
The PP has two flight-to-safety assets and only one prosperity asset. Furthermore, gold is a lot more volatile than stocks are. It's sort of an inherently bearish portfolio more so than it is conservative. Agreed on the observation that lately the portfolio seems to benefit most from bad news. How...
- Wed Apr 03, 2013 10:44 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Another push to make home loans to people with weaker credit
- Replies: 16
- Views: 4427
Re: Another push to make home loans to people with weaker credit
President Obama’s economic advisers and outside experts say the nation’s much-celebrated housing rebound is leaving too many people behind, including young people looking to buy their first homes and individuals with credit records weakened by the recession. A point I've seen elsewhere is that some...
- Tue Apr 02, 2013 3:27 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Hugo Chavez’s Economic Miracle
- Replies: 21
- Views: 5790
- Tue Apr 02, 2013 10:31 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Temptation to cheat
- Replies: 33
- Views: 14119
Re: Temptation to cheat
I personally always buy the lagging asset(s) just to keep things balanced and minimize fees. But splitting the money evenly is also perfectly fine. The most important thing, IMO, is to avoid substituting personal fear or exuberance for an automatic contribution/rebalancing system of your choice. ...
- Mon Apr 01, 2013 5:13 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Hugo Chavez’s Economic Miracle
- Replies: 21
- Views: 5790
Re: Hugo Chavez’s Economic Miracle
Honoring Cesar Chavez is fine. But if Google chooses him over other options on a major holiday, they should not be immune from ridicule for being out of touch.
- Thu Mar 28, 2013 5:07 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Another robot story...
- Replies: 56
- Views: 13964
Re: Another robot story...
The printing press did not make everyone a publisher. The cotton gin did not make everyone a textile mill owner. And robots will not make everyone a manufacturer. The utopia of an "evolved" 100% owners class neglects to recognize that all men are not equal. A machine is only as useful as t...
- Thu Mar 28, 2013 4:24 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: How low can you go?
- Replies: 48
- Views: 16835
Re: How low can you go?
Is this a false choice? If rates drop that low treasuries will have shot though the roof and (presuming you're already in the PP) you'll be selling LTTs rather than buying and you'll naturally be putting any new money into other lagging assets. If you're planning to sell them all high before rates ...
- Wed Mar 27, 2013 9:26 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: 400K for Life
- Replies: 5
- Views: 2009
Re: 400K for Life
The guy who said that is, of course, a fellow county supervisor.dualstow wrote: Maybe she's "worth every dime" like one source says in the article. ;-)
And people wonder how a wealthy state like California goes bankrupt.
- Wed Mar 27, 2013 11:29 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Another robot story...
- Replies: 56
- Views: 13964
Re: Another robot story...
I think the real question is not "what will robot-replaceable people do for money?" but "what will society look like when increasing numbers of people have nothing to offer?" Just a hypothesis -- Like the Bay Area. When the workforce skews away from manual labor and all the rem...
- Wed Mar 27, 2013 11:06 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Exiting the PP
- Replies: 72
- Views: 30134
Re: Exiting the PP
No need to worry, Budd. In my experience, it's human nature for people to constantly be looking for ways to optimize investments. That goes triple for anyone in engineering or finance, as it's how they're hard wired to think (I struggle with this often). You won't find a single investment in the w...
- Mon Mar 25, 2013 11:17 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Exiting the PP
- Replies: 72
- Views: 30134
Re: Exiting the PP
BTW, your portfolio seems well thought out, Desert. I can't fault you for being concerned about rising rates. Personally, I like the PP/VP distinction for forcing me into quantifying my confidence in my ability to time the market. The more confident I am, the larger the percentage I put in my VP. F...
- Mon Mar 25, 2013 10:45 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Exiting the PP
- Replies: 72
- Views: 30134
Re: Exiting the PP
But when the math consists solely of poorly-fit regressions of past human decisions, even equations are unpredictable. The stock market is a psychological human construction and not a law of nature.
- Sun Mar 24, 2013 6:05 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Low-Stress Jobs
- Replies: 33
- Views: 15622
Re: Low-Stress Jobs
My general advice would be to first try a different type of company (small versus large, etc.) before giving up on the career. I've seen some folks really thrive after making such a change. For me, the dissatisfaction runs a bit deeper, as I don't find the work all that interesting and probably s...
- Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:04 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Low-Stress Jobs
- Replies: 33
- Views: 15622
Re: Low-Stress Jobs
Ha! Nice. I'll have to add that to my list.Coffee wrote: As for stress free jobs: I always thought that getting a job working at the front desk of a tanning salon would be about as good as it gets. Especially one in Malibu, California.
- Fri Mar 22, 2013 12:44 pm
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: What's your favorite bank?
- Replies: 14
- Views: 11354
What's your favorite bank?
I'm considering moving my checking account out of Citibank, and am interested in what banks the people here would recommend for convenience, fees, service, and overall safety (FDIC aside, I'd prefer to work with the bank most unlikely to need a bailout from the Feds). I have a Fidelity brokerage acc...
- Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:51 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Low-Stress Jobs
- Replies: 33
- Views: 15622
Re: Low-Stress Jobs
Same boat, Tortoise. Engineering can wear you out. If your PP can support you for a while, you might consider taking a sabbatical to decompress. Evaluating new careers is really difficult when you're stressed about the current one. Here's my working list for things I may want to try once I'm FI e...
- Tue Mar 19, 2013 10:42 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: The 5th Pillar of the PP has arrived!
- Replies: 52
- Views: 22248
Re: The 5th Pillar of the PP has arrived!
For me, the 5th pillar is a mortgage-free home. Working on that one.
I'm with AgAuMoney -- the pillars are to support the roof. The career is to fund building them to the needed height and strength.
Of course, now I also need to work more to afford my nice new mattress.
I'm with AgAuMoney -- the pillars are to support the roof. The career is to fund building them to the needed height and strength.
Of course, now I also need to work more to afford my nice new mattress.
- Tue Mar 19, 2013 11:13 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: The 5th Pillar of the PP has arrived!
- Replies: 52
- Views: 22248
Re: The 5th Pillar of the PP has arrived!
My favorite comment:
Curled Latin American horse tail is the BEST kind of curled horse tail! Let the other mattress companies cut corners and use cheaper Canadian or Australian horse tail, some of which is UNCURLED, or worse, given a bad perm. If you want the real thing you gotta go to THESE guys!