Search found 2751 matches

by Tortoise
Thu Aug 17, 2023 3:00 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II
Replies: 847
Views: 450668

Re: The Left is Eating Itself Pt. II

Okay, I’ll bite: “A banana republic, if you can keep it.”
by Tortoise
Tue Jul 25, 2023 4:40 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Signatures
Replies: 194
Views: 254343

Re: Signatures

Smith1776 wrote: Been getting really into zombie apocalypse games and movies lately. Throw me some suggestions if you have any.
Lighthearted: Zombieland

Not-so-lighthearted: 28 Days Later
by Tortoise
Tue Jun 27, 2023 4:07 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: YouTube Junkie
Replies: 1231
Views: 621594

Re: YouTube Junkie

dualstow wrote: Mon Jun 26, 2023 2:46 pm Peaches & Haerosmith - "Shake Your Dude Thing" O0

https://youtu.be/ZlnVBxv_6ec
Whoah, every mash-up on that YouTube channel is genius! Here’s another gem:

James Hetfield and the News - "Hip to Be the Sandman"
by Tortoise
Sat Jun 24, 2023 3:21 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Netflix junkie
Replies: 352
Views: 133146

Re: Netflix junkie

Smith1776 wrote: Sat Jun 24, 2023 3:35 am I just finished watching Mad Max for the first time ever.

I honestly don’t get the hype. The movie was very meh to me.
Mad Max: Fury Road > Mad Mad 2 (The Road Warrior) > Mad Max.
by Tortoise
Fri Jun 16, 2023 6:07 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731152

Re: The GOLD scream room

And before Michelle Makori, the previous editor-in-chief and lead anchor for Kitco was Daniela Cambone:

Image

I'm sensing a pattern here...
by Tortoise
Fri May 19, 2023 2:40 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders Says The 'Fed Put' Looks Dead
Replies: 22
Views: 25564

Re: Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders Says The 'Fed Put' Looks Dead

I dunno if these numbers are true, that Stanfords endowment went from 30 billion in 2020 to 75B, but in any event it explains the glee with which universities forced the jabs into 18 year olds https://www.visualcapitalist.com/worlds-top-endowment-funds/ Not sure I follow. I assumed that since the j...
by Tortoise
Fri May 19, 2023 2:02 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Buy gold now?
Replies: 13
Views: 12668

Re: Buy gold now?

dualstow wrote: Fri May 19, 2023 6:58 am
Doesn’t shine when it should
— totally agree, Barrett.

I think you’re talking about the sad trombone sound.
I like that, but I prefer the Price is Right Fail - https://youtu.be/_asNhzXq72w
Those are both classics. The Curb Your Enthusiasm melody is another great one for fails.
by Tortoise
Mon May 08, 2023 11:41 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Portfolio Eintstein?
Replies: 16
Views: 13662

Re: Portfolio Eintstein?

You find this from the recommended books on investing to read like it was AI created? All reads to me as if it were written by a unique human being. As I already stated in my previous comment, “The short intro prose before the list may have been written by a human, but the lists themselves could ea...
by Tortoise
Mon May 08, 2023 11:34 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Portfolio Eintstein?
Replies: 16
Views: 13662

Re: Portfolio Eintstein?

dualstow wrote: Mon May 08, 2023 8:42 pm May as well get used to A.I.-created content. It’s going to be everywhere.
I’m fine with AI-generated content as long as proper attribution is given. For example, “Powered by GPT-4” or “Some of the content on this site was generated using GPT-4” at the bottom of the web page.
by Tortoise
Mon May 08, 2023 4:40 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Portfolio Eintstein?
Replies: 16
Views: 13662

Re: Portfolio Eintstein?

Was it written by AI? I'd rate it extremely unlikely. You can go there and judge for yourself but I don't think AI is capable of creating a list of 50+ investing books to read broken down into four categories. All in all a highly impressive web site, packed with useful information. Sounds like exac...
by Tortoise
Thu May 04, 2023 2:08 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731152

Re: The GOLD scream room

dualstow wrote: Thu May 04, 2023 11:58 am 2060 futures
2050+ spot price (AJPM)
1PM EST
For the first time in a long while, gold is the best-performing asset YTD in the PP. It's even beating LASAGNE! ;)
by Tortoise
Thu Apr 27, 2023 11:59 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Good piece on cash by Cullen Roche
Replies: 11
Views: 6494

Re: Good piece on cash by Cullen Roche

The only thing Roche doesn't address here is the possibility of a default in the next few months due to the debt ceiling circular firing squad antics in Congress. Because of that I'm going to wait to pull the trigger on locking in some high yields with a T Bill ladder until after the clown car has ...
by Tortoise
Wed Apr 05, 2023 11:40 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731152

Re: The GOLD scream room

If you have the ability to see currency prices, I like to use the XAUUSD ticker for spot price. It feels like the right way to think about the price of gold. It is just the currency conversion from real money to USD 8) The iPhone stocks app doesn't find that ticker symbol, but I did find an interes...
by Tortoise
Tue Apr 04, 2023 1:05 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731152

Re: The GOLD scream room

Sorry, dualstow, I didn’t mean to be “that guy” and get nit-picky about something silly. So I retract my original question, which created quite a long tangent. :) Like you, I typically use GC=F ticker as a rough proxy of the gold spot price since that’s the closest thing I can find on my stocks app....
by Tortoise
Mon Apr 03, 2023 3:16 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731152

Re: The GOLD scream room

Yup. Sorry, dualstow -- gold spot is still below $2000. You're looking at the gold futures price for June. :)

(Edit: Strangely, GC=F displays as "June 23" for me, but in Smithers' screenshot it says "April 23". Not sure why.)
by Tortoise
Mon Apr 03, 2023 1:56 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Daily "Check In" Thread For Us
Replies: 2293
Views: 1333728

Re: New Gold Case

Saw this little container thingy at the hardware store the other day… thought to myself it would make a cool little gold bullion storage case. So I bought it! 58B37611-E940-4D03-926B-A3D92507A590.jpeg 6E865275-19FA-47DC-86BD-F1DD8D50865F.jpeg I just bought one of these online yesterday after rememb...
by Tortoise
Mon Apr 03, 2023 1:38 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731152

Re: The GOLD scream room

dualstow wrote: Mon Apr 03, 2023 1:21 pm2000
Which ticker symbol or web site do you use to get the gold spot price?

I checked www.goldprice.com and www.kitco.com just now, and both list gold spot of about $1984.
by Tortoise
Thu Mar 23, 2023 1:30 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I'M OUT!
Replies: 64
Views: 72230

Re: I'M OUT!

Ditto to what Mark said: No shame in taking a time-out with your investing if things don't feel right or don't make sense. In fact, that's exactly what Harry Browne recommended in Fail-Safe Investing in Rule #9 ("Do only what you understand") and Rule #17 ("Whenever you're in doubt, e...
by Tortoise
Mon Mar 20, 2023 5:56 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 430931

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

Are you suggesting that institutionalized fraud in the banking system should be tolerated because bank runs are uncommon? If so, that's a rather strange argument since civilized societies generally consider fraud to be illegal, unethical, and not to be tolerated. How is it fraud? Did a bank ever te...
by Tortoise
Mon Mar 20, 2023 5:28 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 430931

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

What is usual longest term CD? Five years? Under your scenario how would banks finance house mortgages? In finance, I think this problem is called cashflow matching . Basically, one way to do it would be to take a pool of 5-year CDs with staggered maturities and match it with a pool of 30-year mort...
by Tortoise
Mon Mar 20, 2023 4:20 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 430931

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

The whole reason why bank runs destroy banks is because of the institutionalized fraud. It makes the banks fundamentally fragile and unstable. If bank loans were legally limited to time deposits (CDs) as they should be, bank runs would not destroy banks. Not sure how this would fix anything. AFAIK,...
by Tortoise
Mon Mar 20, 2023 3:49 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 430931

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

You might have a solution looking for a problem. Or at least a problem big enough for the juice to be worth the squeeze of a radical departure from modern fractional banking. Bank runs are not that common in the US, especially if you exclude the Great Depression and the 2008 financial crisis. Here ...
by Tortoise
Mon Mar 20, 2023 1:37 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 430931

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

All you say seems logical and consistent. But it would certainly be a radical dramatic change in the banking industry if your proposals were adopted. Definitely. But it's a necessary change, IMO. The whole reason why bank runs destroy banks is because of the institutionalized fraud. It makes the ba...
by Tortoise
Mon Mar 20, 2023 12:37 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 430931

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

Therefore under your proposal [the bank would] only be allowed to loan out the portion of the [deposits] that is CDs? Correct. That would certainly be a drastic reduction in how much they'd be able to loan (and a reduction in profits). What do you suggest they do (invest?) with the money that you b...
by Tortoise
Sun Mar 19, 2023 5:22 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 430931

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

Yeah, very few individuals want to handle and store large amounts of physical cash. So I think most people use bank checking accounts mainly for convenience: Debit card transactions, direct deposit, check-writing, online banking, etc. And I agree with boglerdude that that convenience should come wit...