Search found 681 matches
- Tue Jan 06, 2015 11:26 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 2014 PP performance
- Replies: 38
- Views: 22918
Re: 2014 PP performance
My PP-ish did 7.1% in 2014; started 2014 at roughly 13% "Cash" (STB), 20% Gold, 25% LTT, 42% Stock (~40% of Stock Intl), with a bit of tinkering to get to this allocation, which is more PP-ish than late 2013.... (in an IRA, won't touch for many years, and doesn't include my emergency fund,...
- Thu Aug 28, 2014 12:22 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: What to do? Another rookie wonders HBPP or PRPFX?
- Replies: 34
- Views: 17468
Re: What to do? Another rookie wonders HBPP or PRPFX?
So, it seems that Barrett and Xan believe it's not necessary to hold any cash in her local bank or to hold any CD's. I understand the idea about the cash portion of the HB fund and to use that to pay expenses. I also understand the idea behind funneling all gains into the cash portion upon re-bal...
- Mon Aug 25, 2014 5:15 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Funds
- Topic: YTD Performance for PERM & PRPFX
- Replies: 16
- Views: 21231
Re: YTD Performance for PERM & PRPFX
My PERM is in positive territory now, including reinvested dividends (bought 2 years ago.)
- Wed Mar 19, 2014 8:52 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Looks Like Today is No Place to Hide
- Replies: 5
- Views: 3760
Re: Looks Like Today is No Place to Hide
The reason for cash... 

- Wed Mar 19, 2014 8:50 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Replacing Cash with VWINX, the results look juicy
- Replies: 68
- Views: 64941
Re: Replacing Cash with VWINX, the results look juicy
I like / use Wellesley elsewhere, but for a two funder, an option: VG Target Retirement Income + 10% Gold Stocks: 27% (19% TSM, 8% TISM) Total Bond: 48% (intermediate term; > 50% Govt; 35% US, 12% Intl) ST Bond (TIPS): 15% Gold: 10% (%'s rounded) Or use VG Lifestrategy Conservative growth (40/60 s...
- Sun Mar 16, 2014 12:40 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Replacing Cash with VWINX, the results look juicy
- Replies: 68
- Views: 64941
Re: Replacing Cash with VWINX, the results look juicy
I've also been considering what to do with the Cash part due to low yield, still accumulating, and have a deprecate emergency fund. (Currently my "cash" part is split between VG Prime Money Market and VG ST Bond index, and less than 25% target.) What you have now (assuming other aspects ar...
- Thu Feb 13, 2014 12:07 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: How secure is an all ETF PP if a second market crash happens like in 1929?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 6696
Re: How secure is an all ETF PP if a second market crash happens like in 1929?
According to various pundits / analysts: * Interest rates have nowhere to go but up (killing Long Term bonds) * Fair market vale of Gold is $600 (aka, 50%+ drop) * Quantitative easing is going to cause massive inflation, destroying the value of cash * Stock market is at an all time high (NOT inflati...
- Fri Feb 07, 2014 2:19 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The Stunning Rise Of Disability, Food Stamp And Welfare Benefits
- Replies: 18
- Views: 6508
Re: The Stunning Rise Of Disability, Food Stamp And Welfare Benefits
+1 to what moda0306 said.
And yes, there is some abuse of the system.
And improvements that could be made.
And yes, there is some abuse of the system.
And improvements that could be made.
- Wed Jan 22, 2014 10:00 am
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Interest rates for since 3,000 BC
- Replies: 3
- Views: 2880
Interest rates for since 3,000 BC
Haven't looked closely, but seemed interesting....
http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of ... =pulsenews
http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of ... =pulsenews
- Mon Jan 13, 2014 1:20 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: What's your advice for a non-PP-friendly 401(k)?
- Replies: 17
- Views: 11983
Re: What's your advice for a non-PP-friendly 401(k)?
Yuck. If it were me, I'd go with a Target Date fund, selecting bases on allocation, not date. The most conservative probably is closest to the PP stock allocation.
But then, I'd probably go 50/50 to 70/30 in a Bogglehead style portfolio. Aka, that is roughly the allocation I have in my 401(k).
But then, I'd probably go 50/50 to 70/30 in a Bogglehead style portfolio. Aka, that is roughly the allocation I have in my 401(k).
- Thu Dec 26, 2013 11:24 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Article: Is the Permanent Portfolio Broken?
- Replies: 56
- Views: 31874
Re: Article: Is the Permanent Portfolio Broken?
Everything's going down in 2014:
Stocks down 40%
Gold to $600
LTT to 6%
Inflation kills cash
Dollar tanks
Or some. Or none.
Can always dollar cost average - 20% into PP is 5% of your total portfolio in Stocks, LTT, and Gold....
Stocks down 40%
Gold to $600
LTT to 6%
Inflation kills cash
Dollar tanks
Or some. Or none.
Can always dollar cost average - 20% into PP is 5% of your total portfolio in Stocks, LTT, and Gold....
- Thu Sep 12, 2013 1:11 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: My PPish journey after a year....
- Replies: 0
- Views: 1723
My PPish journey after a year....
Mayhaps should be in the VP forum, but another 1 year check-in on a PP-ish journey. Background: 70/30 stock/bond slice & diced "Ultimate Buy & Hold" ish portfolio at the time of the market crash (moved from 80/20 a month before the market high -- lucky....) Still lost ~42% by the S...
- Fri Sep 06, 2013 8:06 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: A change of heart about the PP after reading another Harry book
- Replies: 43
- Views: 38500
Re: A change of heart about the PP after reading another Harry book
That's an interesting topic. I think the "one-size-fit-all" of the PP is a little problematic. ... Finally, my personal situation : I'm paying off my mortgage, little by little. I consider this is equivalent to a TLT investment (but it is safer and has a better yield ;) ) so I don't inves...
- Mon Aug 19, 2013 11:17 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Secular low in bonds not reached
- Replies: 36
- Views: 22897
Re: Secular low in bonds not reached
Time to buy, or wait a bit longer.





- Fri Aug 16, 2013 12:17 am
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Secular low in bonds not reached
- Replies: 36
- Views: 22897
Re: Secular low in bonds not reached
Just don't tell them the secret sauce... "We have provided a consistent 3-6% annual REAL return over the last 30 years. Our unique investment approach tactically allocates funds based on market conditions across multiple distinct asset classes." (Aka, 4x25. 15/35 rebalance bands) Although ...
- Sat Jul 13, 2013 1:01 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Judge's comments to Zimmerman--any lawyers care to comment?
- Replies: 242
- Views: 62148
- Sat Jul 13, 2013 12:59 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: That "other" investment forum is really retarded
- Replies: 57
- Views: 28156
Re: That "other" investment forum is really retarded
The BH forum is a great place with a lot of really smart people. The super PP thread over there was a lot of fun to participate in (even though it was shut down through what seemed like heavy handed moderation and we had to start a new thread because another moderator didn't want to step in the to...
- Fri Jul 12, 2013 1:12 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Funds
- Topic: What's happening to PERM?
- Replies: 35
- Views: 34645
Re: What's happening to PERM?
I am still happy PERM is up today.foglifter wrote:Well, almost everything is up today. Gold is up over 2% and emerging markets are up almost 5%.ozzy wrote: PERM is up +2.11% today. yee-ha!
- Mon Jul 01, 2013 2:20 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Variable portfolio based on "Timing" the 4 asset classes.
- Replies: 46
- Views: 31243
Re: Variable portfolio based on "Timing" the 4 asset classes.
Thanks for the update. I personally couldn't see going all in, but have definitely thought using moving averages as part of rebalances / adjusting allocations +/- 5ish percent...
- Fri Jun 28, 2013 7:55 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP without gold
- Replies: 3
- Views: 2916
Re: PP without gold
How are you defining "stocks"? But and interesting question - I wonder if any has thoughts on REIT / TIPS / SCV / other options that some think do better in imflation than LCB / standard bonds...
- Mon Jun 24, 2013 6:06 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Why do you think the Permanent Portfolio is down at this time?
- Replies: 13
- Views: 9070
Re: Why do you think the Permanent Portfolio is down at this time?
Has there ever been a period where the three volatile assets have all had big gains over multi-year periods? Stocks since 'po, Gold for 10+ years, LTT for 30ish? I started my PPish investment in Aug '12. All three seemed overvalued to me at the time, but I have sub-optimal foresight ability, so did...
- Fri Jun 14, 2013 1:16 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Oh how it hurts to see no gains
- Replies: 412
- Views: 195677
Re: Oh how it hurts to see no gains
Honestly, I don't think folks' concern is about the absolute return but the performance relative to a typical Boglehead portfolio. (If stocks were down 40%, a boggleheads portfolio down 20%, and the PP down 2%....) I understood this going in, but it seems like folks are talking past each other. It a...
- Wed Jun 12, 2013 3:27 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: William J. Bernstein Article: Wild about Harry
- Replies: 20
- Views: 12996
Re: William J. Bernstein Article: Wild about Harry
Aka, the "Oh how I hate to see no gain" thread... 

- Wed Jun 12, 2013 2:38 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Wealth Distribution in America
- Replies: 53
- Views: 20864
Re: Wealth Distribution in America
I don't have the answers, but I think we'd be better of with a flatter (?more balanced?) income distribution: * SS / Medicare assumed they tax x% of total income: we are below that because of the unequal growth of top income * Some of the economic problems caused by lack of demand - lower incomes sp...
- Wed Jun 12, 2013 2:30 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Oh how it hurts to see no gains
- Replies: 412
- Views: 195677
Re: Oh how it hurts to see no gains
I keep reminding myself its a long term play and not to confuse outcome with strategy.... Even though I'm more PP inspired (roughly half of ret monies) than true PP and more geared to prosperity with 40% tilted stock allocation, but starting in mid/late 2012 wasn't the best timing.... (Moved from a ...