Search found 1354 matches

by Hal
Sun Apr 24, 2022 10:17 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: YouTube Junkie
Replies: 1231
Views: 651148

Re: YouTube Junkie

by Hal
Thu Apr 21, 2022 8:21 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: BelangP's book out
Replies: 23
Views: 2752

Re: BelangP's book out

Similar philosophy....
My notes in blue.
by Hal
Mon Apr 18, 2022 7:22 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: BelangP's book out
Replies: 23
Views: 2752

BelangP's book out

by Hal
Mon Apr 18, 2022 2:54 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Inflation - What are you doing different
Replies: 58
Views: 9533

Re: Inflation - What are you doing different

very well thought out!! might use some of the ideas myself After three years STILL have NOT finished my Permanent Portfolio research and implementation. But in this area I am actually getting things done! Vinny, perhaps you should just buy a Vanguard Target Retirement fund that fits your timing/ris...
by Hal
Sat Apr 09, 2022 5:55 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
Replies: 341
Views: 175611

Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?

kwg2005 wrote: Sat Apr 09, 2022 5:09 pm I am staring to worry about an actual default in the US in the next 10-20 years.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6IRtjJc0miE
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCzu55W ... QIQ/videos
;)
by Hal
Sat Apr 09, 2022 3:57 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
Replies: 341
Views: 175611

Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?

Holding a Global Aggregate Bond fund (Hedged) due to limited choices. Not worried in the slightest.
https://www.vanguard.com.au/adviser/pro ... s/32101/AU

To be honest, feel safer holding Global Bond & Share ETF's than a purely country specific one (even if the country is the US).....
by Hal
Mon Mar 28, 2022 1:12 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: When does PP inflation protection usually kick in?
Replies: 2
Views: 1193

Re: When does PP inflation protection usually kick in?

Here's a starter https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi You may wish to check out John Williams at http://www.shadowstats.com for the non-rigged inflation rate I believe the indicator to watch is the real interest rate. From what I recall, once that goes negative gold tends to incr...
by Hal
Thu Mar 24, 2022 2:11 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Gave up on "pure" Permanent Portfolio in EU
Replies: 10
Views: 2901

Re: Gave up on "pure" Permanent Portfolio in EU

I think if one likes HB's thinking about the bond component, it would be good to use US Treasuries no matter where in the world one resides. Because they are the world's safe haven investment. So far anyway. Thoughts/rebuttals? +1 Also gold is negatively correlated to US Bonds. Inflation goes drama...
by Hal
Tue Mar 22, 2022 5:05 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Gave up on "pure" Permanent Portfolio in EU
Replies: 10
Views: 2901

Re: Gave up on "pure" Permanent Portfolio in EU

Your allocation reminds me of Jim Rickards suggestion....
Think he had land as well.
by Hal
Mon Mar 21, 2022 4:49 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP is Totally Obsolete!!!
Replies: 62
Views: 25052

Re: PP is Totally Obsolete!!!

Hi MediumTex,

All the best from down under.

PS: This video seemed appropriate ::)
https://vimeo.com/313769282
by Hal
Sat Mar 19, 2022 5:28 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Ray Dalio video Principles for dealing with a changing world order.
Replies: 13
Views: 2760

Re: Ray Dalio video Principles for dealing with a changing world order.

25% Gold held off-shore. Any thoughts on this since the Perth mint doesn't seem quite as appealing as it once was? Research SGPMX. I have had very good experiences dealing with them. A family member also went to Singapore to physically remove some gold from the vault to check if they are legit. The...
by Hal
Thu Mar 17, 2022 3:33 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Russian PP
Replies: 4
Views: 1768

Re: Russian PP

HB addressed this in his radio show when speaking to an Indian caller. He stated that " If everything went kablooey you still had your gold." Over the years I have come to the opinion that the PP is a failsafe portfolio, not an invincible one. In any of the four economic climates, it will ...
by Hal
Tue Mar 15, 2022 11:03 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1786784

Re: The GOLD scream room

Against the Pacific Peso (AUD), Gold is the only thing going up ;D
25% VGS, 25% Gold 50% VBND
by Hal
Thu Mar 10, 2022 4:48 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Replies: 1173
Views: 1083869

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

by Hal
Thu Mar 10, 2022 2:17 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Ray Dalio video Principles for dealing with a changing world order.
Replies: 13
Views: 2760

Re: Ray Dalio video Principles for dealing with a changing world order.

Great video. The PP is designed to work when the USA is "on top". If that time is coming to an end, potentially quickly (as Dalio says, it starts slowly and then moves quickly), what should we do? Probably what non-US PP holders do. Eg 25% VGS, 50% VBND, 25% Gold held off-shore. Maybe som...
by Hal
Thu Mar 10, 2022 2:03 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Ray Dalio video Principles for dealing with a changing world order.
Replies: 13
Views: 2760

Re: Ray Dalio video Principles for dealing with a changing world order.

Great video. The PP is designed to work when the USA is "on top". If that time is coming to an end, potentially quickly (as Dalio says, it starts slowly and then moves quickly), what should we do? Probably what non-US PP holders do. Eg 25% VGS, 50% VBND, 25% Gold held off-shore. Maybe som...
by Hal
Sat Mar 05, 2022 5:27 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: John Exter
Replies: 0
Views: 2016

John Exter

Enjoy!
by Hal
Fri Mar 04, 2022 2:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Funds
Topic: UK PP fund
Replies: 3
Views: 3683

Re: UK PP fund

I Shrugged wrote: Thu Mar 03, 2022 7:51 pm So it’s UK bonds and global equities. Those are always the interesting pieces of non US PPs.
Wondered if they could substitute UK hedged International Developed Markets Bond ETF's.....
by Hal
Tue Mar 01, 2022 2:54 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Traveling to the newly opened Australia
Replies: 1
Views: 638

Re: Traveling to the newly opened Australia

Here's the official version. https://www.health.gov.au/health-alerts/covid-19/case-numbers-and-statistics Also check out the requirements for the particular states as they keep changing the rules. Double vs Triple vaccinated etc. South Australia is the freest, Victoria is the Stasi State ;) https://...
by Hal
Mon Feb 28, 2022 3:00 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Electric Vehicles and Tires
Replies: 55
Views: 11061

Re: Electric Vehicles and Tires

Desert wrote: Mon Feb 28, 2022 9:21 am
dualstow wrote: Mon Feb 28, 2022 9:10 am
Wasn't it briefly preceded by safer steam power? (Albeit not in today's regulatory environment)
Yeah, that's true, the earliest cars were steam or electric. But then they figured out how wonderful gasoline is..
Steam Car
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rUg_ukBwsyo
by Hal
Mon Feb 21, 2022 2:01 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: From the Wayback Machine
Replies: 2
Views: 1441

From the Wayback Machine

Interesting article on the limitations of the PP https://web.archive.org/web/20120415114145/http://europeanpermanentportfolio.blogspot.com/2009/08/permanent-portfolio-in-iceland.html <snip> The experience in Iceland shows that the Permanent Portfolio is unable to perform miracles. It remains a fact ...