+1MediumTex wrote: Why do that?
Please stop.
Search found 945 matches
- Wed Sep 02, 2015 12:57 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PSA: I now have a 3-year period with no gains
- Replies: 275
- Views: 106746
Re: PSA: I now have a 3-year period with no gains
- Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:53 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Is it a good idea to replace gold with gold mining stocks in PP?
- Replies: 12
- Views: 5590
Re: Is it a good idea to replace gold with gold mining stocks in PP?
This is covered in the FAQ
https://web.archive.org/web/20160324133 ... ation-faq/
and also the book and the podcast.
https://web.archive.org/web/20160324133 ... ation-faq/
and also the book and the podcast.
- Tue Aug 25, 2015 12:02 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Question for International Investors
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4588
Re: Question for International Investors
It's a good idea but somehow I feel like there must be some kind of catch that makes investing through currency exchange rates different from investing domestically (in a different country). Otherwise I think a young Harry Browne would've bought a conservative stock/bond portfolio in Switzerland and...
- Tue Aug 18, 2015 11:34 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: I keep seeing GLD being recommended over IAU
- Replies: 13
- Views: 6047
Re: I keep seeing GLD being recommended over IAU
I like IAU better than GLD, too.
GLD came first so it has the benefit of greater notoriety and assets under management.
GLD came first so it has the benefit of greater notoriety and assets under management.
- Sat Jul 25, 2015 2:46 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: The Desert Portfolio
- Replies: 52
- Views: 38632
Re: The Desert Portfolio
Another +1, if you squint the Desert Portfolio looks a lot like a 4x25 PP with some modest reallocation. If you squint another way, it also looks like Vanguard Target Retirement Income Fund (VTINX) which is approximately 30/50/20 stocks/total bond/short term TIPS. The 10% gold and 20% ST TIPS alloca...
- Thu Jul 23, 2015 10:05 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: BH portfolio in 401k
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4154
Re: BH portfolio in 401k
Agreed that those are poor options but you seem to be making the best of it. Based on Morningstar, MWTRX looks like the lesser of evils. JSNFX resembles a short term junk bond fund, while MWTRX is more moderate on quality and duration. The expense ratios are a wash. If it were me I'd probably do 40%...
- Thu Jul 23, 2015 12:31 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Perspective on the current drawdown
- Replies: 67
- Views: 23291
Re: Perspective on the current drawdown
I like to view these drawdown's as the spring coiling tighter. I think MT said that once, and it's true. These drawdowns tend to be relatively short-lived and can be followed by large gains. +1 And, the perennial question: if one were to quit the PP, what will they use instead? We have to actual...
- Tue Jul 21, 2015 1:08 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Performance impact of holding TLT vs bonds directly?
- Replies: 25
- Views: 14930
Re: Performance impact of holding TLT vs bonds directly?
Duration and maturity are different. Yep. It's definitely a little confusing. This article helped me. http://www.investopedia.com/university/advancedbond/advancedbond5.asp That's a good resource. IMO, the word choices are terrible (duration and maturity sound like they should be synonyms), but th...
- Tue Jul 21, 2015 12:51 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Only buy to rebalance, never sell?
- Replies: 10
- Views: 5186
Re: Only buy to rebalance, never sell?
This is similar to the "buy the lagging asset" strategy, which has been discussed previously. I'm not sure I understand the scenario here --- so the investor has a supply of cash that they could invest in the PP to simplify re-balancing, but would prefer not too? I don't know many people w...
- Sat Jul 18, 2015 8:16 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Performance impact of holding TLT vs bonds directly?
- Replies: 25
- Views: 14930
Re: Performance impact of holding TLT vs bonds directly?
Duration and maturity are different.
- Sat Jul 18, 2015 2:23 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Best ETF for Bonds?
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4722
Re: Best ETF for Bonds?
Isn't interest rate volatility precisely why we want to hold long term bonds in the PP? Yes. But the problem is that zeroes are significantly more volatile than a stock index fund or physical gold. So you'd need to do something like leverage stock and gold, or decrease the bond allocation, to compe...
- Sat Jul 04, 2015 7:29 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: If I go PP, do I still need a Cash Emergency Fund?
- Replies: 26
- Views: 18997
Re: If I go PP, do I still need a Cash Emergency Fund?
What ETF would you recommend as CASH for the taxable account/emergency fund? I am presently using VMLTX which is liquid and pays off dividends tax deferred. All my other CASH is in BIL in tax advantaged accounts presently. Any thoughts on this? This has been discussed a lot already, so you may wan...
- Thu Jul 02, 2015 12:53 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Best ETF for Bonds?
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4722
Re: Best ETF for Bonds?
See the bond FAQ: https://web.archive.org/web/20160324133409/http://www.crawlingroad.com/blog/2009/02/09/permanent-portfolio-25-bond-allocation-faq/ In an orthodox PP, the bonds are 30 year coupon treasury bonds that are sold after 10 years. So the portfolio holds bonds with maturities 20-30 years. ...
- Mon Jun 29, 2015 6:36 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Is there a broad stock market index fund that doesn't pay dividends?
- Replies: 27
- Views: 21006
Re: Is there a broad stock market index fund that doesn't pay dividends?
Like D1984 said, there are tax-managed funds. My bad, I should've been more precise about the distinction between minimizing capital gain events and minimizing dividends. Though, my understanding is that Vanguard has "deprecated" the tax-managed funds and is downplaying them, because as c...
- Mon Jun 29, 2015 3:25 pm
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: best etf for cash?
- Replies: 14
- Views: 20909
Re: best etf for cash?
The short answer: strictly speaking "no," because the only orthodox cash vehicle is T-bills or a T-bill-only money market fund; but many forum members seem comfortable with FDIC insured accounts because, barring a widespread bank run, they are very nearly as safe.
- Mon Jun 29, 2015 3:06 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Is there a broad stock market index fund that doesn't pay dividends?
- Replies: 27
- Views: 21006
Re: Is there a broad stock market index fund that doesn't pay dividends?
Yes, Vanguard for one has a series of tax-managed funds including Vanguard Tax-Managed Capital Appreciation Fund Admiral Shares (VTCLX). Google is your friend.
- Sat Jun 13, 2015 11:52 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Go full in or pay off mortgage?
- Replies: 47
- Views: 19887
Re: Go full in or pay off mortgage?
If I woke up in that situation I'd pay off the mortgage in full. There is a big difference, both mathematically and emotionally, between 2.8% guaranteed and 4-5% (I would actually say 3-5% for the PP, but whatever). Good luck finding zero-risk 2.8% after-tax returns anywhere else in the current inte...
- Mon Jun 08, 2015 4:26 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: New PPer needs guidance.
- Replies: 117
- Views: 40540
Re: New PPer needs guidance.
Where is it written in stone that this can't happen? It's not written in stone anywhere, but the prosperity-recession dichotomy is consistent with the Austrian business cycle theory ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austrian_business_cycle_theory ) and the inflation-deflation dichotomy seems to be inf...
- Sat Jun 06, 2015 12:22 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: New PPer needs guidance.
- Replies: 117
- Views: 40540
Re: New PPer needs guidance.
I get frustrated when I read most 'tracking error' posts because the PP is not supposed to track some other index like the S&P 500 or a 60/40 Bogleheads setup. We should only be comparing it to itself. Only then can we have reasonable discussions about whether or not it is lagging, broken, outp...
- Wed May 27, 2015 12:38 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Thoughts on right-sizing the PP throughout the accumulation phase of life
- Replies: 48
- Views: 20173
Re: Thoughts on right-sizing the PP throughout the accumulation phase of life
It's just that people are far less risk tolerant in reality than they like to think they are, and I believe the average Joe is unlikely to stick with it and ever see anything close to average returns. +1 I started investing somewhere around 2005 and, being a rational and mathematically inclined per...
- Thu May 14, 2015 12:59 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Japan PP
- Replies: 8
- Views: 5012
Re: Japan PP
There used to be an analysis here:
http://europeanpermanentportfolio.blogs ... folio.html
but apparently that blog has been removed.
http://europeanpermanentportfolio.blogs ... folio.html
but apparently that blog has been removed.
- Thu May 07, 2015 1:09 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: No where to hide
- Replies: 804
- Views: 303542
Re: No where to hide
My wife and I each have a 4x25 PP.
- Thu Apr 30, 2015 11:27 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: No where to hide
- Replies: 804
- Views: 303542
Re: No where to hide
Guys, we've been through this. The PP is designed to achieve moderate returns, low volatility, and protect a portion of your wealth against a local economic collapse. It is not designed to achieve high returns, go up every single day, or track a stock-heavy index allocation. We're only 4 months into...
- Sat Apr 25, 2015 1:25 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Going all in for VTI??
- Replies: 14
- Views: 11994
Re: Going all in for VTI??
My advice is to just go all-in, buy VTI, and move on. KISS.
- Thu Apr 09, 2015 11:45 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: My Latest Research on the PP's Big Fat Flaw aka Achilles' Heel
- Replies: 43
- Views: 22139
Re: My Latest Research on the PP's Big Fat Flaw aka Achilles' Heel
Asset Vanilla Portfolio Weight Vanilla Volatility Contribution to Vanilla Portfolio Risk Vanilla Risk Contribution Equity 25.00% 16.74% 0.18% 33.42% Debt 25.00% 12.08% 0.09% 16.65% Real 25.00% 20.61% 0.26% 49.93% Portfolio 75.00% 7.24% 0.52% 100.00% Diversify Ratio 56.90% Yes gold's volatility look...