Search found 2336 matches

by AdamA
Sat Jan 09, 2016 6:53 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LEAPS PP
Replies: 160
Views: 73582

Re: LEAPS PP

var wrote: when did you buy your new set of LEAPs for 2016?
December 30th.
by AdamA
Sat Jan 09, 2016 8:44 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Black Mirror
Replies: 0
Views: 1467

Black Mirror

There's a new episode of the Black Mirror available on Netflix called "White Christmas." 

The entire series (all 3 seasons) have really great, original, creepy science fiction (like a modern-day Twilight Zone) but this episode is particularly good.
by AdamA
Sat Jan 09, 2016 8:36 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Official Fargo-Only thread
Replies: 48
Views: 18358

Re: Official Fargo-Only thread

I think that season 2 was better than season 1. Season 2 was some of the best television I have ever seen. If you go back and watch it a second time, there are all sorts of details that you probably missed the first time around.  Brad Garrett's explanation of his shampoo preferences takes on a lot ...
by AdamA
Sat Jan 09, 2016 8:20 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LEAPS PP
Replies: 160
Views: 73582

Re: LEAPS PP

this my humble opinion... i do love the PP... however i think gold is dead i dont think it will rise again for at least 10 years... That may or may not be true.  But if you look back at the bear market of 80's and 90's, there were still years where gold had positive returns. Hopefully you keep us p...
by AdamA
Fri Jan 08, 2016 8:26 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LEAPS PP
Replies: 160
Views: 73582

Re: LEAPS PP

Had a few questions and idea  At some point was this up greater then 30 pct for the year? Thanks for your interest.  I've been dying to discuss this with someone! For the last 3 years the returns were 3%, 85%, -58%. Because options obviously expire, it's not like you can just stay the course when t...
by AdamA
Sat Jan 02, 2016 9:54 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Poll: HBPP Component Predictions for 2015
Replies: 37
Views: 19103

Re: Poll: HBPP Component Predictions for 2015

The black line on the chart is the 10-year moving average of the real returns (not the CAGR).  It shows that the PP is continuing to do its thing, even though we have experienced two years of negative real returns in the past three years.  The real CAGR over the last 10 years has been 4.86%. Great ...
by AdamA
Thu Dec 31, 2015 10:31 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LEAPS PP
Replies: 160
Views: 73582

Re: LEAPS PP

I will have SLV, GDX, and GDXJ LEAPS all expiring next month which I bought 2 years ago under the assumption "they can't go any lower!" All are massively underwater and have zero value. I see from your previous post you were up well for the 2014 year.  And down for the latest.  Par for the course. ...
by AdamA
Thu Dec 31, 2015 3:32 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LEAPS PP
Replies: 160
Views: 73582

Re: LEAPS PP

Rough 2015! All positions were at the money when I purchased. Initial (Jan 7, 2015)                                        Final (Dec 30, 2015)                                                                                            Gain/Loss SPY  Jan 2016 Expiration---$2115                      $...
by AdamA
Tue Dec 29, 2015 11:57 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Vanguard reopens Federal Money Market Fund (VMFXX)
Replies: 6
Views: 5992

Re: Vanguard reopens Federal Money Market Fund (VMFXX)

Although not a money market fund, I think VFISX is better.  It's almost purely US treasuries, just of slightly longer duration, so subject to a little bit of interest rate risk. 
by AdamA
Tue Dec 29, 2015 11:42 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Any Changes for the New Year?
Replies: 27
Views: 13423

Re: Any Changes for the New Year?

You may recall my intention was to revisit the 25/25/25/25 allocation in January, thinking about switching to a Golden Butterfly or similar variant -- at a minimum adding some level of small cap and/or international. The more I look at the current markets, the more I am convinced that 2016 will be ...
by AdamA
Wed Dec 16, 2015 9:43 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: I did it for doodle
Replies: 21
Views: 10838

Re: I did it for doodle

Why do I have a feeling that right now would be a good time to "do it again...for doodle?"
by AdamA
Mon Dec 14, 2015 3:48 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Depressed
Replies: 39
Views: 17071

Re: Depressed

Fred wrote:
Close but no cigar for 2014, according to PeakToTrough any way. But I'll take 9.76% next year.

Image
Round up.

;)
by AdamA
Mon Dec 14, 2015 12:56 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Depressed
Replies: 39
Views: 17071

Re: Depressed

buddtholomew wrote: Isn't that the premise of the PP?
Yes. 

If you're having a rough time with this year's performance, just keep in mind that every prior down year has been followed by a double-digit (positive) year. 
by AdamA
Wed Dec 09, 2015 4:20 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Official Fargo-Only thread
Replies: 48
Views: 18358

Re: Official Fargo-Only thread

I loved the episode...but was wondering why the writers chosed to put a UFO in it.

Opinions?
by AdamA
Sat Dec 05, 2015 2:53 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Man in the High Castle
Replies: 1
Views: 1716

The Man in the High Castle

Has anyone else watched this show?

It's apparently based on a novel by Phillip K. Dick, and I'm really enjoying it. 

Alternate history science fiction wherin the Axis powers won WW II


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzz_6dmv03I (1:30 trailer). 
by AdamA
Thu Dec 03, 2015 10:38 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Official Fargo-Only thread
Replies: 48
Views: 18358

Re: Official Fargo-Only thread

Jack Jones wrote:
AdamA wrote: This weeks episode was awesome.  Great suspense.
I loved the cabin scene.
yeah...and the bar scene.
by AdamA
Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:01 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Official Fargo-Only thread
Replies: 48
Views: 18358

Re: Official Fargo-Only thread

This weeks episode was awesome.  Great suspense.
by AdamA
Tue Nov 24, 2015 6:58 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Low-cost smart phone plans
Replies: 35
Views: 17615

Re: Low-cost smart phone plans

i have been using Ting https://ting.com/ and have been very happy with them so far, good price, paying for only what i use and the most surprising and odd experience with them so far....  i called the company for clarification and assistance and ..... a real person answered the phone!!!!!! ps i for...
by AdamA
Sat Nov 14, 2015 9:07 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The permanent portfolio is not for me
Replies: 24
Views: 10686

Re: The permanent portfolio is not for me

I hope you keep posting anyway. Lordmetroid is the best screen name ever. I concur with your first point.  But on your second point, I counter with: http://i.imgur.com/dJb0J4K.png Although that is an excellent screen name, it relies heavily on the icon.  Lordmetroid, in  my opionion, is better if o...
by AdamA
Fri Nov 13, 2015 5:10 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Armageddon In Paris
Replies: 72
Views: 25309

Re: Armageddon In Paris

Reub wrote:
Maybe if we stick our heads in the sand they'll like us and they won't come here?
What do you think we should do?
Simonjester wrote: i heard the Muslim immigrants are voting for a new french state motto

"veni vidi Vichy vici"

"I came; I saw; they collaborated; I conquered"
by AdamA
Fri Nov 13, 2015 11:37 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The permanent portfolio is not for me
Replies: 24
Views: 10686

Re: The permanent portfolio is not for me

I hope you keep posting anyway.

Lordmetroid is the best screen name ever.
by AdamA
Fri Nov 13, 2015 11:34 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Sprott Intends to Make Exchange Offers for Central GoldTrust and Silver Bullion
Replies: 192
Views: 97200

Re: Sprott Intends to Make Exchange Offers for Central GoldTrust and Silver Bullion

I'm going to start mailing all of the notices I get in the mail back to Sprott.

They will have to hire hundreds of new employees to manage this volume of mail.
by AdamA
Fri Nov 06, 2015 7:07 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The PP Interviews
Replies: 31
Views: 14996

Re: The PP Interviews

I'm looking forward to hearing it. I would be curious to know what MT's thoughts are on the need to potentially diversify the PP a bit more with some allocation to non-US stocks/bonds, as has been discussed recently in the forum. Although I find the topic interesting to discuss, I remain unconvinced.
by AdamA
Sat Oct 24, 2015 8:44 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Oh yah, Fargo's back and other good tv eh
Replies: 13
Views: 4768

Re: Oh yah, Fargo's back and other good tv eh

MangoMan wrote: Justified is over. Last season was the finale.
Lol...I meant to say Rectify.