Search found 755 matches

by jhogue
Fri Apr 10, 2020 11:32 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Is it OK to tinker with the PP asset category percentages?
Replies: 17
Views: 4195

Re: Is it OK to tinker with the PP asset category percentages?

tech, Perhaps we should call this your "Flight to Safety Portfolio." A few observations: 1. Do you hold all your T-bills directly? As FDLXX? As an ETF like BIL? They each have some (minor) differences. 2. Perhaps you might think of your Swiss Franc annuity as a T-bond held as an ETF such a...
by jhogue
Fri Apr 10, 2020 11:19 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Calling ALL IBond aficionado's!!!!
Replies: 16
Views: 7068

Re: Calling ALL IBond aficionado's!!!!

See the FAQs. It explains how to convert paper I-bonds to digital I-bonds.

There is no way to directly convert paper I-bonds to digital I-bonds on the federal tax return form. You must do it separately.
by jhogue
Fri Apr 10, 2020 11:03 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Calling ALL IBond aficionado's!!!!
Replies: 16
Views: 7068

Re: Calling ALL IBond aficionado's!!!!

Vinny, 1. The authoritative answers to all your questions about buying I-bonds can be found at: https://treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/ibonds/res_ibonds_ibuy.htm 2. You can buy $5,000 in paper I-bonds annually with your federal tax refund. You can buy $10,000 in digital I-bonds annually t...
by jhogue
Thu Apr 09, 2020 1:40 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: EE Bonds = 3.5% 20-Year Treasury
Replies: 13
Views: 5641

Re: EE Bonds = 3.5% 20-Year Treasury

I bought my last EE bonds when I turned 65.

Anything more than that amounts to a well-thought out gift to my heirs.
:)
by jhogue
Thu Apr 09, 2020 1:03 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs
Replies: 95
Views: 41174

Re: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs

An article about FDLXX (Fidelity's Treasury Only Money Market Fund) that expands on its closure to new investors, 31 March 2020. I currently keep FDLXX as cash for both taxable and tax-deferred accounts. Apparently, lots of other investors have suddenly awakened to the singular quality of US Treasur...
by jhogue
Sat Apr 04, 2020 5:05 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs
Replies: 95
Views: 41174

Re: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs

Fidelity closed fdlxx to new investors on March 30th ..... Because there aren't enough Tbills to go around? :o Probably not. It's because with 0 yields, it costs Fidelity money to maintain those accounts because they won't charge the customers for expenses. Investors who have recently joined the ru...
by jhogue
Tue Mar 31, 2020 3:36 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Negative interest rates
Replies: 57
Views: 25031

Re: Negative interest rates

I am letting the balance of my T-bills mature and not renewing them at negative nominal yields. Proceeds are currently split between my treasury money market fund (FDLXX) and my annual I bond purchase. I think that it helps to remember that while the real yield on Cash is slightly negative, the yiel...
by jhogue
Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:51 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Negative 1 and 3 Month Treasury Rates
Replies: 49
Views: 22317

Re: Negative 1 and 3 Month Treasury Rates

Now would be a great time to start an I-bond ladder.

The yield on the I-bond will be 2.22% until 1 May 2020.

Get 'em while they are red-hot!
by jhogue
Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:45 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Desert Portfolio vs PP
Replies: 4
Views: 2435

Re: Desert Portfolio vs PP

I could be wrong, but I believe that a Desert Portfolio generates more taxable interest and dividends than an HBPP. The charts do not account for that real world problem.
by jhogue
Thu Mar 26, 2020 9:55 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Not the Onion or the Babylon Bee
Replies: 17
Views: 3947

Re: Not the Onion or the Babylon Bee

I assume that just by virtue of people having joined this forum that it would be overwhelmingly composed of "ants" over "grasshopper"? I am the ultimate ant! Vinny Yes, but I doubt most of us are as hardcore as you. I definitely don't still have any shirts or jeans from 20 years...
by jhogue
Wed Mar 25, 2020 8:59 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs
Replies: 95
Views: 41174

Re: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs

Vinny,
Please see my comments regarding your situation over at the bond buying tutorial thread.
by jhogue
Wed Mar 25, 2020 8:48 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Treasury Bond Buying Tutorial
Replies: 129
Views: 247079

Re: Treasury Bond Buying Tutorial

Vinny, Given all of the difficulties that you have described in multiple threads on this forum dealing with Vanguard over the telephone, I wonder if you would not be more satisfied establishing your accounts in-person at your nearest Fidelity brick-and-mortar office. -Fidelity's headquarters is in B...
by jhogue
Tue Mar 24, 2020 2:56 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20430

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

The OP was talking about a 401k loan as an investment, not as a means to survival. As an investment, a 401k loan is always a bad idea. Tax laws are written to ensure that pulling money out of a 401k will cost you money. In the long run, you are always ahead to leave an investment inside of your 401k...
by jhogue
Tue Mar 24, 2020 2:28 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20430

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

I would never take out a 401k loan because I always keep plenty of cash on hand.

All loans are leverage and leverage usually makes for bad investments, as Uncle Harry taught us.
by jhogue
Mon Mar 23, 2020 11:33 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Can T-bills trade at a premium?
Replies: 9
Views: 4709

Re: Can T-bills trade at a premium?

Fidelity fixed income page shows the following: US Treasury CUSIP # 9128285Q9, maturity 11/30/20, yield 0.313, bid 101.667, ask 101.871, yield to maturity 0.021. Depth of book shows recent transactions (more sells than buys). Yes, some T-bills can (and do) trade at a premium in the secondary market ...
by jhogue
Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:29 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Schwab cancels T bill rollovers due to negative rate fears
Replies: 23
Views: 10290

Re: Schwab cancels T bill rollovers due to negative rate fears

The last thing I would do with T bill money is put it in a bank! Are you serious???? If we slide into a depression and banks start failing with the federal government already having spent trillions on stimulus packages, I'm not sure the FDIC guarantee is going to mean much. I had in mind watching t...
by jhogue
Sat Mar 21, 2020 3:42 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: How do you invest the Cash portion?
Replies: 243
Views: 172442

Re: How do you invest the Cash portion?

I just saw this notice on Fidelity's fixed income web page: icon-exclamation-yellowtriangle-1x Recent extreme market conditions have resulted in a lack of liquidity, wide spreads (the difference between the price a customer can buy and sell a bond), large swings in prices, and substantial increases ...
by jhogue
Fri Mar 20, 2020 10:09 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Schwab cancels T bill rollovers due to negative rate fears
Replies: 23
Views: 10290

Re: Schwab cancels T bill rollovers due to negative rate fears

Interesting development.

This morning, I checked the Treasury yield curve at Fidelity and noted something I had never seen before-- no 3 month and no 6 month T-bills available.

With the 30 year T-bond yielding only 1.45%, the entire Treasury yield curve has a negative real yield right now.
by jhogue
Thu Mar 19, 2020 10:31 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Everyone should have some cash in their local bank
Replies: 15
Views: 7162

Re: Everyone should have some cash in their local bank

I practice bank diversification too. 1. My local bank is not only FDIC-insured, it survived the Great Depression bank runs. 2. I know my local bank manager by name. He personally answers my (rare) phone calls and emails. 3. My local bank has my safe deposit box. I can get an appointment to open it w...
by jhogue
Thu Mar 19, 2020 8:32 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Vanguard!
Replies: 15
Views: 3739

Re: Vanguard!

Any company that doesn't give you the option to have them call you back, instead of waiting on hold, has a 'tard-level of customer service. Kriegs, I would like to hear more followup details from you regarding the failed execution of the sale of some your LTTs at Vanguard, which you wrote about rec...
by jhogue
Fri Mar 13, 2020 9:54 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Fidelity - SHV BIL or TBILL ladder (auto roll)
Replies: 21
Views: 21475

Re: Fidelity - SHV BIL or TBILL ladder (auto roll)

There are unresolved issues with the liquidity of the bond market, the extent of which are not entirely clear. See: Neil Irwin's article in the New York Times, "Something Weird Is Happening on Wall Street, and Not Just the Stock Sell-Off," March 12,2020. and Sonny Oh, "These are the '...
by jhogue
Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:28 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1438
Views: 662495

Re: Stock scream room

Seems like a lot better plan than buying "FDIC-backed" 5 year CDs, as some on this forum have recommended. I'm not sure what I've missed, but my CDs are doing fine, earning their 3% interest. And I could break them tomorrow and have the cash in my account in a few days, less 6 months inte...
by jhogue
Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:55 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Don't Buy TIPS!
Replies: 0
Views: 1940

Don't Buy TIPS!

This notice appeared on Fidelity's Fixed Income page today: "Due to the recent drop in interest rates, some Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) now have negative market yields. While active markets do exist for TIPS, pricing for these securities is not currently available on Fidelity...
by jhogue
Fri Mar 13, 2020 12:21 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1438
Views: 662495

Re: Stock scream room

I try not to rebalance from cash to one of the volatile assets. YTD, my bonds have risen from 23.4% to 30.6%. A rebalance from 35% seems still a bit off, but who knows? YTD, my stocks have fallen from 26.7% to to 19.5%. Likewise, a rebalance at 15% is possible, and I am prepared to meet it with a co...
by jhogue
Thu Mar 12, 2020 8:05 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: The Bond Dream Room
Replies: 554
Views: 368750

Re: The Bond Dream Room

What the fuck is this ridiculous bullshit A Fixed Income order to sell U S TREASURY BOND was canceled in your Vanguard Brokerage Account due to a change in the bid price available. If you wish to replace the order, you should call Vanguard at the number referenced below. Kriegs, Did your bond order...