Search found 561 matches

by joypog
Sat May 14, 2022 6:54 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")
Replies: 48
Views: 8913

Re: The Desert Looking Glass portfolio?

unfortunately the link just takes me to Morningstar's front page? Could you repost it? As for the pension...I won't vest for a couple more years, so I wonder how my psychology will shift once I know that I've got it in the bag. Even though the percentage is small at first just knowing its coming wil...
by joypog
Fri May 13, 2022 11:16 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1784031

Re: The GOLD scream room

It's of course not possible to attribute gold's rise in the 2000's with 100 percent certainty to the availability of ETFs for the first time. But there are reasons to believe that the ease of investing in gold electronically with no thought to transport, storage, etc. had something to do with the d...
by joypog
Fri May 13, 2022 10:58 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")
Replies: 48
Views: 8913

Joypog's regularly changing AA (originally "The Desert Looking Glass Portfolio")

This post was originally titled "The Desert Looking Glass portfolio?" but since I keep changing my prospective Asset Allocation every couple weeks, I thought I'd retitle to more about me >:D . I've been on a slow trend towards becoming more and more aggressive with my potential portfolio ...
by joypog
Fri May 13, 2022 11:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: What kind of inflation are we experiencing?
Replies: 33
Views: 6407

Re: What kind of inflation are we experiencing?

working in the construction industry we certainly have both. Supply chains are all gummed up and China's zero-covid policy isn't helping....but there is still plenty of liquidity in the market that wants to get shit built (though I fear how the recent shocks in the stock market might affect how thin...
by joypog
Thu May 12, 2022 8:53 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Next up on the planned crisis list
Replies: 77
Views: 15816

Re: Next up on the planned crisis list

Hey thanks for that link! An interesting read. I think it depends on market size as well as to what happens. The hedge funds are likely involved in mid to larger cityscapes. For small town America the papers have just been closing down. It's a super tough business to be in now and a lot of people w...
by joypog
Tue May 10, 2022 4:36 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Jeffrey Gundlach on PP
Replies: 47
Views: 31399

Re: Jeffrey Gundlach on PP

eh, this is data worth knowing "wellesly income with 40% equities is down just 8,41% ytd compared to the permanent portfolio now minus 10.50%" Ride isnt over yet tho Exactly … I would think users of the pp would want to know if they are getting the benefit the pp is supposedly known for ....
by joypog
Mon May 09, 2022 4:56 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 6 slices - US Total Stock, US Small Cap, Intl Total Stock, LTT, Cash, Gold
Replies: 1
Views: 741

6 slices - US Total Stock, US Small Cap, Intl Total Stock, LTT, Cash, Gold

As I've been researching the heck out of all these portfolios I've been settling into the Golden Butterfly (to be slowly averaged into over the course of this year). The one thing scratching at the back of my head is the lack of International exposure...which lead to this overlapping mess of equally...
by joypog
Mon May 09, 2022 4:17 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Next up on the planned crisis list
Replies: 77
Views: 15816

Re: Next up on the planned crisis list

I don't think I've seen a place like this that gets so unhinged over news. Internet tips: You do not have to click on click bait and you can chose not to consume news of any kind. Try going without any news for a month...you will come to realize 99% of it has no impact your personal daily life. I c...
by joypog
Mon May 09, 2022 3:51 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Absolutely brutal - 5/5
Replies: 291
Views: 56049

Re: Absolutely brutal - 5/5

Completely not surprised about BTC...gold hasn't blown it out of the water but it has held. BTC, not so much. Down worse than the market by a fair amount. Don't know jack about crypto, but I've heard BTC is more corrolated to high flying tech stocks than gold. Does that make any sense? In any case,...
by joypog
Sun May 08, 2022 9:00 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Next up on the planned crisis list
Replies: 77
Views: 15816

Re: Next up on the planned crisis list

Russia is going to invade Ukraine on Tuesday at 3pm!!! ...clip... "I’d like to request US and British disinformation: Bloomberg, The New York Times and The Sun media outlets to publish the schedule for our upcoming invasions for the year. I’d like to plan my vacation," the Russian diploma...
by joypog
Thu May 05, 2022 10:19 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: William Bernstein on Cash holdings (T-Bills)
Replies: 11
Views: 3109

Re: William Bernstein on Cash holdings (T-Bills)

Yes, it was today, 5/5/2022. :D
by joypog
Thu May 05, 2022 2:34 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: William Bernstein on Cash holdings (T-Bills)
Replies: 11
Views: 3109

William Bernstein on Cash holdings (T-Bills)

Just listening as I work so I haven't listened to the whole program. 14 minutes in, Bernstein mentions that safe assets should be held as T-bills (as opposed to bond funds) and that Buffet holds 20% in bills.

https://twitter.com/i/spaces/1rmGPgNWXRMKN?s=20
by joypog
Mon May 02, 2022 11:28 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Silver Coins - why are eagles marked up so much?
Replies: 8
Views: 2274

Re: Silver Coins - why are eagles marked up so much?

Makes sense. Thanks for your responses today. Cheers!
by joypog
Mon May 02, 2022 6:58 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Silver Coins - why are eagles marked up so much?
Replies: 8
Views: 2274

Re: Silver Coins - why are eagles marked up so much?

Interseting. So in a "normal" year an american eagle wouldn't be significantly more expensive than something like a kruggerand?
by joypog
Mon May 02, 2022 6:43 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: US / International weight
Replies: 56
Views: 12153

Re: US / International weight

Makes sense. I think your warning is also well taken. I had settled on the PP last week, but as I sat with the decision, I also came to the conclusion that it is a bit too conservative since we are in our early forties, even though my wife and I are terminally cautious. So a bunch more reading over ...
by joypog
Mon May 02, 2022 9:43 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Silver Coins - why are eagles marked up so much?
Replies: 8
Views: 2274

Re: Silver Coins - why are eagles marked up so much?

uhh my brain is wrong.

I saw 22.72 and transposed it to 27.72....and then rounded up. Oops.
by joypog
Mon May 02, 2022 7:38 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Silver Coins - why are eagles marked up so much?
Replies: 8
Views: 2274

Silver Coins - why are eagles marked up so much?

I'm looking at buying a small batch of silver coins. Looking around I noticed that the 1oz Silver eagles are significantly more expensive ($36) than the others ($30) with the spot price currently at (edit) $23.

What's so special about Silver eagles?
by joypog
Mon May 02, 2022 7:10 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Overseas Gold? 2022
Replies: 18
Views: 5293

Re: Overseas Gold? 2022

However, being serious now. Watch the Australian Elections this year. If socialist nutcases get into Government, I would re-evaluate storing Gold here. Between the right-wing Russophiles and left-wing wokesters that have taken over both US parties...and apparently everywhere else....where the hell ...
by joypog
Sun May 01, 2022 11:31 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Replies: 539
Views: 366505

Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio

My simplistic way of potentially dealing with rebalancing a GB (which is just a HBPP + 20% VB for me) was to track the HBPP portion separately and when the HBPP portion hits a 15%/35% limit on any of the HBPP assets I would rebalance everything back to a GB allocation (20% in all 5 assets). My rati...
by joypog
Sun May 01, 2022 12:03 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Overseas Gold? 2022
Replies: 18
Views: 5293

Overseas Gold? 2022

Yup, I've dug through the archives. From what I can tell Perth seems like the easiest option for foreign storage. I was just more curious as far as how many people actually follow through on holding / storing gold outside of the home country. If calamity hits, it would be nice to think I have a nest...
by joypog
Fri Apr 29, 2022 8:47 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If The Stock Market Crashes Which Asset Will Save Us?
Replies: 34
Views: 9947

Re: If The Stock Market Crashes Which Asset Will Save Us?

ps: That's why I like the GoldSmith portfolio. Instead of seeing the individual assets classes swing widely, you just see the price of Gold & VDCO. Much better if you have a weak stomach for volatility. ohh I dig the idea. It's an elegant process when the novelty wears off and I don't feel like...
by joypog
Fri Apr 29, 2022 6:28 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If The Stock Market Crashes Which Asset Will Save Us?
Replies: 34
Views: 9947

Re: If The Stock Market Crashes Which Asset Will Save Us?

Maybe it will be fools gold. Hard to say. Unfortuantely we'll only find out in 20 years.... It won’t be. The pp is has no glitter. O0 It’s all about stability and robustness, and not squeezing every last % out of the principal. For that there is stock options and leveraging, sports betting etc. Yes...
by joypog
Fri Apr 29, 2022 3:33 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If The Stock Market Crashes Which Asset Will Save Us?
Replies: 34
Views: 9947

Re: If The Stock Market Crashes Which Asset Will Save Us?

Fair warning. I think we'll have to just try it and find out. What I do know is that a decade of feeling that I should just do a a 60/40 bogle split resulted in keeping us at 70% cash during one of the great stock runups in history..fortunately inflation was low during this time so we weren't punish...
by joypog
Fri Apr 29, 2022 1:14 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: good references for estate planning?
Replies: 7
Views: 1083

Re: good references for estate planning?

DELETED (double post)
by joypog
Fri Apr 29, 2022 11:26 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: good references for estate planning?
Replies: 7
Views: 1083

Re: good references for estate planning?

Thanks for the link! Looks promising. I'll start with the freewill (and the health care proxy) this weekend.

I'll check out the book...but most likely just borrow a few books from the library to get and overview of the field and then convince my wife its time to get a lawyer involved.