Search found 77 matches
- Sun Apr 26, 2020 7:12 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Dragon Portfolio
- Replies: 4
- Views: 2540
Dragon Portfolio
Has anyone seen this before? https://taylorpearson.me/thedragon/ It mentions it has a similar philosophy to the PP: The Permanent Portfolio is a more easily implemented approach with a similar philosophy that uses equal amounts of stocks, bonds, gold and cash. Similar to the Dragon portfolio, it is ...
- Wed Apr 15, 2020 10:50 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: An Alternative Explanation for the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 12
- Views: 10515
Re: An Alternative Explanation for the Permanent Portfolio
Very interesting indeed!
So where would that put us now?
Can we draw conclusions from this chart? "Economic Uncertainty" CHECK! Anything else?
So where would that put us now?
Can we draw conclusions from this chart? "Economic Uncertainty" CHECK! Anything else?
- Sun Apr 12, 2020 6:41 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: New to Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 45
- Views: 31837
Re: New to Permanent Portfolio
Michael Kitces has an article which concludes that it is best to check frequently and rebalance opportunistically at 20% bands. A 2007 study in the Journal of Financial Planning by Gobind Daryanani entitled “Opportunistic Rebalancing” studied rolling 5-year periods from 1992 to 2004 and found that ...
- Sun Apr 12, 2020 3:38 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: New to Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 45
- Views: 31837
Re: New to Permanent Portfolio
Instead of personal preferences it would be cool if this is back-tested somehow. Someone must have done this?
- Sat Apr 11, 2020 4:00 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Newbie question
- Replies: 22
- Views: 11558
Re: Newbie question
EU citizen here. I hold individual (German) bonds.
It is a bit more of a hassle, but it has tax advantages for me: the dividend from an ETF is taxed with dividend tax, and dividend from an actual bond is not.
It is a bit more of a hassle, but it has tax advantages for me: the dividend from an ETF is taxed with dividend tax, and dividend from an actual bond is not.
- Mon Apr 06, 2020 1:44 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Coin Flip
- Replies: 19
- Views: 6773
Re: Coin Flip
bitcoin?Mark Leavy wrote: ↑Wed Apr 01, 2020 8:59 pm You would need something that traded round the clock so that you could reliably close each trade at your target percentages.
- Sun Apr 05, 2020 10:07 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Question on adding new money
- Replies: 13
- Views: 5834
Re: Question on adding new money
Rebalancing during times of high volatility can be very profitable. Down 10% one day so you buy, next day up 10% sell, etc. In times of low volatility it does seem best to let it ride until a rebalance band is hit. IG IMHO it's not that simple. "Down 10% one day so you buy" you say. What ...
- Mon Mar 23, 2020 3:07 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Asset Allocation in the Most Painful Month
- Replies: 31
- Views: 14962
Re: Asset Allocation in the Most Painful Month
Awesome Tyler, this really helps putting things in perspective again. My EU GB is holding up as well, although it is hard to calculate exactly as I was DCAing during the drop.
- Mon Mar 16, 2020 1:46 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: DCA a GB portfolio
- Replies: 3
- Views: 1832
Re: DCA a GB portfolio
Personally, I always put fresh cash in the underperforming asset. So the last couple weeks that's all been to stocks. It's like doing small rebalancing as you go. There's no point in waiting. If you wait for the chaos to end you're going to be buying stocks at a higher price than you would this wee...
- Mon Mar 16, 2020 5:01 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: DCA a GB portfolio
- Replies: 3
- Views: 1832
DCA a GB portfolio
Hi, This week is my planned DCA investment round (every month 20% of the amount to invest). I have a Golden Butterfly portfolio (mixed EU and US). I have currently 40% invested, and the allocations are currently: Gold 24% TSM 16% SCB 15% LTT 23% STT 22% So still within the bands, but only just (assu...
- Mon Jan 13, 2020 3:56 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: AI
- Replies: 8
- Views: 4304
Re: AI
Tesla is a software company that makes cars. That might make a difference.
- Sun Jan 12, 2020 2:45 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: AI
- Replies: 8
- Views: 4304
Re: AI
Yeah, Tesla is another potential wins-it-all.europeanwizard wrote: ↑Sun Jan 12, 2020 1:24 amIf you believe in AI, then what about Tesla?
I, for one, welcome our new self-driving overlords.
- Sun Jan 12, 2020 2:44 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: AI
- Replies: 8
- Views: 4304
Re: AI
Well, I am heavily into GOOG and GOOGL in that these shares constitute more than 11% of my individual stocks. I didn't intend to hold so much, but after selling once or twice, I decided to hold on. The shares have really taken off and in this age of letting the share price "Berkshire Hathaway&...
- Sat Jan 11, 2020 1:22 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: AI
- Replies: 8
- Views: 4304
AI
I love the PP/GB and 95% of my money goes there. But I am also a big believer in AI. AI will rule the world. And because in AI there is a known fact that the party who is in front will stay in front (and increase the lead) the obvious pick would be $GOOG. So my strategy is: wait for the NASDAQ to dr...
- Tue Jan 07, 2020 4:22 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold coins: circulated vs new
- Replies: 9
- Views: 4587
Re: Gold coins: circulated vs new
Unfortunately, there is very little gold-digging being done here
- Tue Jan 07, 2020 2:22 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold coins: circulated vs new
- Replies: 9
- Views: 4587
Re: Gold coins: circulated vs new
I always always always get current coins fresh from the mint rather than ones in circulation. Reduces the probability that I got a counterfeit as far as I'm concerned. When you say "fresh from the mint", you mean "not circulated", or directly from the source (whatever that may b...
- Tue Jan 07, 2020 12:27 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold coins: circulated vs new
- Replies: 9
- Views: 4587
- Tue Jan 07, 2020 10:35 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold coins: circulated vs new
- Replies: 9
- Views: 4587
Re: Gold coins: circulated vs new
Thanks, I'll do the same then. It is quite a bit cheaper, and Krugerrands (which I'm looking at) are not so easy to scratch anyway.
- Tue Jan 07, 2020 4:40 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: European PP, update 6 months after starting
- Replies: 43
- Views: 30600
Re: European PP, update 6 months after starting
My US-EU-mix GB portfolio is doing pretty good! Who needs Asia/UK?
- Tue Jan 07, 2020 4:17 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: European PP, update 6 months after starting
- Replies: 43
- Views: 30600
Re: European PP, update 6 months after starting
Speaking of something new >:D: It would be cool to have a tool like https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolio/portfolio-matrix/, but where you select only one portfolio and get the scores for all supported countries. That gives a very fast insight into the effectiveness of a portfolio regardless of the...
- Mon Jan 06, 2020 10:41 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: European PP, update 6 months after starting
- Replies: 43
- Views: 30600
Re: European PP, update 6 months after starting
@Tyler, you up for a coffee? Always! ;D BTW, while we’re talking about European investing — for anyone who would like to read or share PC in a language other than English, there’s a hidden little feature on the site that I’m not sure many people are aware of. You see those little flags near the top...
- Mon Jan 06, 2020 10:27 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold coins: circulated vs new
- Replies: 9
- Views: 4587
Gold coins: circulated vs new
When buying gold coins it seems that circulated coins with a random year are cheaper than new coins (2019/2020). I assume that when selling the coins this will also have an impact? What would you recommend?
- Sun Jan 05, 2020 9:28 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: European PP, update 6 months after starting
- Replies: 43
- Views: 30600
Re: European PP, update 6 months after starting
@Tyler, you up for a coffee?
- Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:14 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Backtesting the PP in Other Countries (Economies)
- Replies: 30
- Views: 24583
Re: Backtesting the PP in Other Countries (Economies)
Hi All, For more empirical evidence of how the PP would respond to various economic conditions is there any (vetted) data on how it would have worked in other countries? Some example scenarios I'd like to see: 1. Long, deflationary conditions (Japan) 2. Transition from supplier of world's reserve c...
- Sun Jan 05, 2020 3:10 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: European PP, update 6 months after starting
- Replies: 43
- Views: 30600
Re: European PP, update 6 months after starting
I can't wait! :P @Tyler is The hero. But I would also like to point you to @brownehead and his carterapermanente.es (use google translate). It gives valuable information about the european peculiars of the PP. And there is also kind of a community hanging around. @Tyler on your site, it says "...