Search found 7680 matches

by moda0306
Wed Jan 05, 2011 8:24 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Percentages for those just deploying PP
Replies: 4
Views: 3174

Re: Percentages for those just deploying PP

If you look at the history of the PP, recently strongly performing assets have a tendency to perform well, not poorly, in the following year.  That's part of the reason why, if I'm remembering right, Harry Browne suggested not rebalancing until you hit the 35/15 bands. If you scour this board, you'l...
by moda0306
Tue Jan 04, 2011 1:17 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The U.S. Dollar's Prospects In The New Year
Replies: 27
Views: 15913

Re: The U.S. Dollar's Prospects In The New Year

I think inflation will be negative for "Joe Six-pack's" net income, as what he purchases will be more expensive to a higher degree than his wage increases, but... I think it will be positive for his balance sheet.  Way too many Americans are overleveraged into housing, among other things, ...
by moda0306
Tue Jan 04, 2011 12:30 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The U.S. Dollar's Prospects In The New Year
Replies: 27
Views: 15913

Re: The U.S. Dollar's Prospects In The New Year

Wonk, I can agree.... no country, unless it has a history of being unnervingly, stubbornly, mind-bogglingly honest with its currency would even be assumed honest with a gold standard.  Part of me thinks that a "let the chips fall" would have created such an implosion of the economy that ev...
by moda0306
Tue Jan 04, 2011 11:15 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The U.S. Dollar's Prospects In The New Year
Replies: 27
Views: 15913

Re: The U.S. Dollar's Prospects In The New Year

Wonk, You literally pulled the thoughts right out of my head.  Well put.  That's exactly how I see our future.  It may be unfair and corrupt, but a reasonable inflation of our assets would improve balance sheets, which if this does NOT happen, we will end up with Japan style deflation/disinflation/r...
by moda0306
Mon Jan 03, 2011 10:18 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: the american dream
Replies: 3
Views: 4007

Re: the american dream

Skewed, but funny and interesting.

I love the 300 reference.  "THIS IS AMERICA!"
by moda0306
Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:46 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: In Investing, It’s When You Start And When You Finish
Replies: 3
Views: 3121

Re: In Investing, It’s When You Start And When You Finish

No kidding... the nerves is really 80% of the battle.  People may end up in the same place I did when it's all said and done, but I get to sleep every night knowing that no matter what happens, my portfolio will bend in the ways it needs to to offer me near double-digit return in most cases, and min...
by moda0306
Mon Jan 03, 2011 12:43 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold possibly lost in mail
Replies: 7
Views: 6008

Re: Gold possibly lost in mail

Glad to hear it.  What a nightmare... I suppose you're looking at your GLD etf with a whole new appreciation now.
by moda0306
Mon Jan 03, 2011 12:39 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: In Investing, It’s When You Start And When You Finish
Replies: 3
Views: 3121

Re: In Investing, It’s When You Start And When You Finish

Yes! Investing with stocks only, or even a portfolio without true diversification (60/40 stock/corp bond), is like putting together a football team made up of a bunch of quarterbacks and receivers. Reducing volatility through opposing assets makes the portfolio greater than the sum of its parts, not...
by moda0306
Mon Jan 03, 2011 12:18 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Looking Back at 2010 Forecasts
Replies: 23
Views: 7625

Re: Looking Back at 2010 Forecasts

My predictions for 2011:

Being invested in the PP will help me sleep like a baby and avoid stress.

I'll get back to you guys on New Years Eve, 2011.
by moda0306
Sat Jan 01, 2011 11:40 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Replies: 7
Views: 4707

Re: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results

One more year, and we'll officially have 40 years of proof that the PP is as amazing as we all hope/know/think it is.

Congrats everyone.
by moda0306
Thu Dec 30, 2010 2:37 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: EDV
Replies: 12
Views: 8802

Re: EDV

I agree on government beaurocrats having just as much ability to be shady, but I don't think government, for the most part, CAUSES most of the private sector unethical behavior.  Beaurocracy begins to happen as soon as more than one person tries to organize activities... hell a marriage has beaurocr...
by moda0306
Thu Dec 30, 2010 1:43 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: EDV
Replies: 12
Views: 8802

Re: EDV

Is EDV more expensive than TLT?  I didn't realize that if that's the case.

I probably will someday get into the buying/selling direct, but I'm starting out simple
by moda0306
Thu Dec 30, 2010 1:36 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: EDV
Replies: 12
Views: 8802

Re: EDV

You're right MT, the brain power going to waste is mind-boggling.  It goes to the core of my struggle with the role of government in controlling this behavior.   Some argue that the shadiness in private industry creates a legitimate role for government to regulate it, and I can't disagree with that....
by moda0306
Thu Dec 30, 2010 1:12 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: EDV
Replies: 12
Views: 8802

Re: EDV

Why not 100% EDV, as it most closely tracks a Long-as-possible term holding of long-term bonds?

Is it because it's also an ETF and the inherant risks of another layer of market activity come into play?
by moda0306
Thu Dec 30, 2010 11:30 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: EDV
Replies: 12
Views: 8802

Re: EDV

...probably should have put this on the other EDV thread... my apologies... feel free to move it over, Craig.
by moda0306
Thu Dec 30, 2010 11:23 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: EDV
Replies: 12
Views: 8802

EDV

So if EDV most closely tracks a 30-year LT treasury bond by having a longer average duration, why, in posts I've read, should we consider anything less than 100% EDV, and have TLT instead?  I thought HB suggested keeping the duration as long as possible. This is irrespective of skepticism of ETF's.....
by moda0306
Tue Dec 28, 2010 12:09 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Investing through ING Sharebuilder
Replies: 27
Views: 13955

Re: Investing through ING Sharebuilder

To make it worse, I work for an accounting firm, and our financial management arm manages our options... so we've got professionals picking our choices.... I've told my buddy in that department to talk to the higher-ups about TRUE diversivfication. But since LT treasuries and gold are in the same ri...
by moda0306
Tue Dec 28, 2010 11:26 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If you're worried about a PP Bubble...
Replies: 8
Views: 3934

Re: If you're worried about a PP Bubble...

I thought of the perfect analogy for the PP as opposed to a rollercoaster stock portfolio (or at least implementing the philosophy to some degree)... It's like properly timing stop lights, while watching all the other sheeple blow by you at the outset, only to know they're going to end up having to ...
by moda0306
Tue Dec 28, 2010 11:07 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Investing through ING Sharebuilder
Replies: 27
Views: 13955

Re: Investing through ING Sharebuilder

401k plans are a joke.  Mine's like 7 different managed stock funds, a real estate fund, an emerging markets fund, some "balanced" fund (that term makes me laugh), and a couple pathetic money-market funds. No Gold. No LT Treasuries. No non-managed stock fund containing 5000 companies No co...
by moda0306
Tue Dec 28, 2010 9:16 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If you're worried about a PP Bubble...
Replies: 8
Views: 3934

If you're worried about a PP Bubble...

Some people, including myself, have expressed concern about a situation where stocks, gold, & LT treasuries all drop at the same time... mostly due to the fact that we're on a pretty solid surge of all 3. I looked to see if this had happened in the past, and it's not all that rare.  In '82, '86 ...
by moda0306
Tue Dec 28, 2010 8:26 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Investing through ING Sharebuilder
Replies: 27
Views: 13955

Re: Investing through ING Sharebuilder

At current rates, maybe under your mattress?
by moda0306
Mon Dec 27, 2010 3:32 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Investing through ING Sharebuilder
Replies: 27
Views: 13955

Re: Investing through ING Sharebuilder

Mind: Blown.  I'm assuming this is as available with Roth/IRA's as it is with taxable accounts??

Thanks folks... Merry Christmas.
by moda0306
Mon Dec 27, 2010 3:16 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Investing through ING Sharebuilder
Replies: 27
Views: 13955

Re: Investing through ING Sharebuilder

You can use Vanguard's brokerage to buy non-vanguard funds?
by moda0306
Mon Dec 27, 2010 2:32 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Investing through ING Sharebuilder
Replies: 27
Views: 13955

Re: Investing through ING Sharebuilder

But then you need somewhere else to get your gold... only complaint.  I'd do vanguard in a heartbeat.
by moda0306
Mon Dec 27, 2010 1:28 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Investing through ING Sharebuilder
Replies: 27
Views: 13955

Investing through ING Sharebuilder

Does anybody invest through ING Sharebuilder so they can do it all on one account an not have a separate one with Vanguard, ishares, etc.?

It's got good ratings and seems to hold a lot of good funds... just wondering if people use it as a one-stop-shop for their PP.