Search found 2751 matches
- Tue Dec 20, 2022 11:00 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1737387
Re: The GOLD scream room
I see they suggest not buying 22K gold coins and sticks with 24K for the reason I mentioned above. Is your timbre check what will help me detect a fake if it passes this plastic test? Yes, the ring test needs to be done in combination with the size and weight test. It may be possible to construct a...
- Mon Dec 19, 2022 3:57 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1737387
Re: The GOLD scream room
Train your ear. Use known good coins. If it meets size, weight and timbre (rings true), it is as good a gold. You've found the philosopher's stone if you can make a base metal match gold for size and weight and timbre. And even the most wretched man can check that with a scale, an eye and an ear. N...
- Thu Dec 08, 2022 7:59 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Non-ESG ETFs
- Replies: 53
- Views: 44679
Re: Non-ESG ETFs
Dec 7 (Reuters) - Vanguard Group Inc is pulling out of a major investment-industry initiative on tackling climate change, the world's biggest mutual fund manager said on Wednesday, explaining it wants to demonstrate independence and clarify its views for investors. https://www.reuters.com/business/...
- Tue Oct 11, 2022 5:04 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
- Replies: 341
- Views: 166143
Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
Someone else on the forum, I can't remember who, pointed out that cash lost value to inflation this past year, therefore cash sucks and stocks are the way to go. That was the gist of the poster's point anyway. I thought to myself, well, wait a minute. Cash has a steady nominal value and has lost va...
- Tue Oct 11, 2022 1:31 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
- Replies: 341
- Views: 166143
Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
Either way, I am less psychologically burdened by a given drop in portfolio value when I'm 4x25 than when I'm, say, 60/40. The "firewalls" between the asset classes do their thing. The firewalls are a good thing, but they do seem to break down during tight money recessions like the one we...
- Wed Sep 21, 2022 11:33 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP YTD performance - was it the worst ever?
- Replies: 117
- Views: 39053
- Thu Aug 11, 2022 6:50 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
- Replies: 341
- Views: 166143
Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
One credit union is listing 4% for 5 year cd. https://www.depositaccounts.com/cd/5-year-cd-rates.html At some point these rates start looking really tasty. 4% is 40k income per year on 1m deposit. 4% interest also happens to be a -4.5% real return (current CPI is 8.5%). Meaning you're effectively l...
- Sat Jul 30, 2022 12:53 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
- Replies: 341
- Views: 166143
Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
If you drop LTT, when would you see yourself buying back into them? Not sure. I suppose a good time to buy back in might be when LTT interest rates are high enough that (1) they exceed inflation, and (2) there would be decent annualized price appreciation if interest rates were to drop back down ne...
- Fri Jul 29, 2022 7:13 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Is the stick a dying art?
- Replies: 26
- Views: 2398
Re: Is the stick a dying art?
I taught my first girlfriend how to drive stick on our first date. Had a blast and scored major points.
Get your minds out of the gutter, you reprobates!
Get your minds out of the gutter, you reprobates!
- Fri Jul 29, 2022 7:03 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
- Replies: 341
- Views: 166143
Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
What kind of allocation are you considering switch to? This is a game that I love to play, because I enjoy tinkering with portfolio backtesters. I haven't done enough homework to identify a better allocation, but the basic idea I've been toying with is to drop LTTs and reallocate that piece to othe...
- Thu Jul 28, 2022 3:13 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Signatures
- Replies: 194
- Views: 255706
Re: Signatures
Searching "Yubikey" on the Bogleheads forum just now turned up multiple threads. If your sig comment is referring to a particular one, could you provide a link to it?dualstow wrote: Have you all read the b’heads thread on Yubikey & Vanguard?
- Thu Jul 28, 2022 2:46 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
- Replies: 341
- Views: 166143
Re: Are most people here sticking with Treasuries?
One of the assets in the PP is almost always going to be rat poison, often for a decade or longer. Right now that is LTTs. There is nothing new under the PP sun. [...] Thanks, Blue Ruin, I always enjoy reading your thoughtful, philosophical posts about the PP. Over the past couple of years, I've be...
- Mon May 16, 2022 12:44 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Next up on the planned crisis list
- Replies: 77
- Views: 14921
Re: Next up on the planned crisis list
Mass Shootings seem to be capturing attention. I believe there is something like an average of 10 mass shootings per week in the US. https://www.npr.org/2022/05/15/1099008586/mass-shootings-us-2022-tally-number https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/reports/mass-shooting Back in less propagandistic tim...
- Fri May 13, 2022 4:56 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: Fed damaging bond market
- Replies: 53
- Views: 11581
Re: Fed damaging bond market
I'm trying to wrap my head around something. If rising rates are deflationary, when do bonds benefit from it? Because we all just witnessed bonds get slaughtered amidst the prospect of rising rates. Who says "rising rates are deflationary"? I think it's important to distinguish between ca...
- Wed May 04, 2022 3:57 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
He has more posts about the war in Ukraine if you go past the first page and look at older posts, or even better, just search for the label "Ukraine":
http://ad-orientem.blogspot.com/search/label/Ukraine
http://ad-orientem.blogspot.com/search/label/Ukraine
- Wed May 04, 2022 12:49 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Looks like he's posted about it on his blog, which is listed on his forum profile:
http://ad-orientem.blogspot.com
The posts generally seem pro-Ukraine, anti-Putin.
- Wed May 04, 2022 12:40 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Most unhinged reaction to SCOTUS leak
- Replies: 46
- Views: 25401
Re: Most unhinged reaction to SCOTUS leak
I thought this reaction by Elizabeth Warren was pretty unhinged, too.
The Dems have been choosing some interesting hills to die on this year.
(By the way, shouldn't this thread be in the Politics subforum?)
The Dems have been choosing some interesting hills to die on this year.
(By the way, shouldn't this thread be in the Politics subforum?)
- Thu Mar 24, 2022 5:11 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
I understand you’re not swallowing the noble Ukraine narrative wholesale. And I’m not putting a blue and yellow flag in my window to signal how righteous I am — I see it in my neighborhood and roll my eyes. But, I am genuinely curious as to what you think is going on. Beyond the nobody-knows-for-su...
- Wed Mar 23, 2022 1:10 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Fair question. For months, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov and many other Russian officials repeatedly denied Russia planned to invade Ukraine – and then invaded anyway. I put this to Peskov: after all those lies, how can anyone ever believe Russia in future negotiations? - Christiane Amanpour h...
- Mon Mar 21, 2022 8:30 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Just curious about the thought process among some of the posters in this thread, so a couple of questions: When a civilian building is attacked in Ukraine, and Russia denies that it did it, is it possible that Zelensky's administration ordered it in an attempt to maintain power by pulling other nati...
- Tue Mar 01, 2022 5:54 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
When I saw Russian tanks stopping because citizens were standing in front of them, it became clear that they weren't using their full available force. Can you imagine standing in front of a German tank in WWII? That wouldn't end well. So yeah, it looks like they're trying to take over without using...
- Tue Mar 01, 2022 5:04 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Now I feel like my posts aren’t being read. Page 1, first response to Maddy [...] Thanks for the reminder, dualstow. I sometimes don't remember everything that people have written on previous pages of a long thread. My complaint about it seeming like my post wasn't read wasn't directed at you and X...
- Tue Mar 01, 2022 2:01 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Thanks for the thoughtful reply, Desert. Back on the topic of Ukraine, I started watching the 2-hour Coach Red Pill video that whatchamacallit linked yesterday in this post . I've only gotten through the first ~30 minutes, but it's pretty interesting stuff. I hope to finish it tonight. So far, his t...
- Mon Feb 28, 2022 3:34 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Trust in established Western institutions has been eroding in recent years, possibly beyond repair. The erosion has accelerated after Covid -- for good reason, IMO. That is why conspiracy theories are proliferating in populist circles. Without trust, there can be no peace and prosperity. Trust is t...
- Mon Feb 28, 2022 2:47 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 983133
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Huh. Interesting. It's like my previous post wasn't even read.
Enjoy your Two Minutes Hate against the wackiest conspiracy theorists, guys. Criticizing them is easier than seriously discussing the views of the more moderate majority of populists.
Enjoy your Two Minutes Hate against the wackiest conspiracy theorists, guys. Criticizing them is easier than seriously discussing the views of the more moderate majority of populists.