Search found 250 matches

by TBV
Wed Mar 02, 2011 8:14 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Are Increasing Concentrations of Wealth a Good or Bad Thing?
Replies: 88
Views: 30848

Re: Are Increasing Concentrations of Wealth a Good or Bad Thing?

For much of the 1940's we had an overwhelmingly government-controlled economy, with austerity not prosperity. Even when things improved after the War, the efficiency of marginal tax rates often depended on the alternate opportunities available to taxpayers.  Shifting one's assets to Europe, China, o...
by TBV
Wed Mar 02, 2011 7:29 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Are Increasing Concentrations of Wealth a Good or Bad Thing?
Replies: 88
Views: 30848

Re: Are Increasing Concentrations of Wealth a Good or Bad Thing?

Raising revenue is not the same as raising tax rates.  The latter often results in lower revenue flows, while the former has often occurred when rates were cut.  In fact, lowered rates are more, not less, likely to shift tax incidence onto the wealthy, since their share of declared income usually in...
by TBV
Mon Feb 21, 2011 10:58 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Getting Started
Replies: 17
Views: 9941

Re: Getting Started

So, anyone who holds IAU for the long term (i.e. lots of folks in the PP) will have to do these calculations every year for each lot.  An even greater nuisance if you're rebalancing or adding to your holdings.  This sure does lessen the appeal of this ETF in my eyes.  Goldmoney or BullionVault are l...
by TBV
Tue Feb 08, 2011 10:41 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Sell Direct transaction cost
Replies: 2
Views: 3813

Re: Sell Direct transaction cost

Looks like the Sell Direct service is no longer available.  Here's the text from the Treasury Direct website... Selling Treasury Bills, Notes, Bonds, or TIPS You can hold Treasury bills, notes, bonds, or TIPS until they mature, or sell them before they mature. To sell a Treasury bill, note, bond, or...
by TBV
Sat Feb 05, 2011 3:45 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Funds
Topic: TLT vs EDV + PRPFX
Replies: 24
Views: 18400

Re: TLT vs EDV + PRPFX

MT, how would you figure in a federal TSP account in place of EDV? Could you simply do 10% of total PP in the G fund instead? I've read that the G fund should be used for TSP's instead of the F, bond fund. Any comments? There is nothing in the TSP that resembles EDV, or TLT for that matter.  The TS...
by TBV
Tue Feb 01, 2011 5:53 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Question about IAU, GLD, & GTU
Replies: 6
Views: 6349

Re: Question about IAU, GLD, & GTU

The prospectus says that NAV is determined on the basis of the value of the gold on hand minus expenses and liabilities.  One would hope that the Trust will not incur an especially large liability, e.g. as a result of a lawsuit. Once the NAV is determined, shareholders can redeem shares, but not by ...
by TBV
Sat Jan 29, 2011 5:11 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Why Sell LT Bonds at 20 years?
Replies: 9
Views: 6688

Re: Why Sell LT Bonds at 20 years?

Thanks, but what I was aiming at was the lower "good" volatility that directly-owned 30-year bonds will have as their duration decreases (i.e. as they get closer to the 10th year of ownership.)  So, aside from the cost of ownership aspect, do you get more clout from TLT and its collection ...
by TBV
Sat Jan 29, 2011 1:15 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Why Sell LT Bonds at 20 years?
Replies: 9
Views: 6688

Re: Why Sell LT Bonds at 20 years?

TLT keeps the duration very close to 15, which is accomplished (as I understand it) by holding bonds with maturity dates very close to 30 years from now.  This increases the usefulness of LT bonds in the PP mix because it elevates their price volatility during periods when LT bond gains are needed t...
by TBV
Wed Jan 26, 2011 7:34 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Correlation between Gold and Inflation
Replies: 43
Views: 23200

Re: Correlation between Gold and Inflation

Thanks very much for all of your replies!! Having just created my own permanent portfolio, I am impressed with the long-term performance of Harry Browne's 4x25 approach.  The radio shows and now craigr's podcasts have reinforced for me the soundness of the approach.  However, while I was catching up...
by TBV
Wed Jan 26, 2011 4:13 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Correlation between Gold and Inflation
Replies: 43
Views: 23200

Re: Correlation between Gold and Inflation

I used the gold returns from the periodic table + BLS inflation stats to examine the relationship between gold returns and inflation.  From 1972-2010, there were 15 years when inflation exceeded 4 percent.  In eight of them, gold went DOWN.  In some of those years, the degree to which gold lagged in...