Search found 829 matches

by jalanlong
Wed Jan 11, 2023 12:00 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Single-bond ETFs
Replies: 13
Views: 8862

Re: Single-bond ETFs

Single-bond ETFs may be the key to revolutionize trading Treasurys This does seem like a very convenient way to get exposure to (for example) 3-month T-Bills, via the ETF TBIL. However when I click on the ticker link from that article it looks like the fund is way more volatile than I would have ex...
by jalanlong
Wed Jan 04, 2023 10:44 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Died Suddenly
Replies: 85
Views: 7062

Re: Died Suddenly

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/public_surveys/died_suddenly_more_than_1_in_4_think_someone_they_know_died_from_covid_19_vaccines I think the death toll from the vax is going to climb and climb and this 49% number from the poll below will get past 79% this year. Of course i...
by jalanlong
Tue Dec 27, 2022 11:50 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine
Replies: 99
Views: 216212

Re: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine

Big surprise there. You basically can't get published in a place like the Atlantic unless you show your fealty to leftist globalists with your virtue signaling by bashing Trump. https://www.allsides.com/news-source/atlantic The Atlantic gets a pretty strong "Left" bias rating from Allside...
by jalanlong
Tue Dec 27, 2022 11:22 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Huh, 1/N Asset Allocation is Quite Robust
Replies: 12
Views: 4116

Re: Huh, 1/N Asset Allocation is Quite Robust

Although holy tracking error — IIRC, SCV hasn’t kept up with SP500 until quite recently Yeah... that's the game with highly volatile products. Paul Merriman has a chart that compares various strategies. And a SCV+SP500 pairing ends up consistently being perfectly mediocre - never first, never last....
by jalanlong
Sun Dec 25, 2022 4:23 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Libertarian Thinker Questions Why Zelensky Would Sacrifice So Many Ukrainians Just Because He Wants to Join NATO
Replies: 6
Views: 996

Re: Libertarian Thinker Questions Why Zelensky Would Sacrifice So Many Ukrainians Just Because He Wants to Join NATO

boglerdude wrote: Sun Dec 25, 2022 1:03 am You're still going to be ranting about Ukraine, as you're put into a truck by a CCP/DNC agent and sent to a pandemic camp :) There's more than one threat...
I think the term you are looking for is “Virus Protection Camp”.
by jalanlong
Sat Dec 24, 2022 1:26 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine
Replies: 99
Views: 216212

Re: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine

My absolute favorite obvious contradiction for right wing conspiracies as a generality is that on one hand, the government is so corrupt and incredibly inept that it can do nothing right. Yet, on the other hand the government is so wickedly brilliant that it can infiltrate and control every aspect ...
by jalanlong
Sat Dec 24, 2022 12:54 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine
Replies: 99
Views: 216212

Re: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine

My absolute favorite obvious contradiction for right wing conspiracies as a generality is that on one hand, the government is so corrupt and incredibly inept that it can do nothing right. Yet, on the other hand the government is so wickedly brilliant that it can infiltrate and control every aspect ...
by jalanlong
Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:02 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine
Replies: 99
Views: 216212

Re: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine

[ My absolute favorite obvious contradiction for right wing conspiracies as a generality is that on one hand, the government is so corrupt and incredibly inept that it can do nothing right. Yet, on the other hand the government is so wickedly brilliant that it can infiltrate and control every aspec...
by jalanlong
Fri Dec 23, 2022 5:09 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine
Replies: 99
Views: 216212

Re: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine

From my experience here’s where there is a problem with the military. We stay WAY too long when things are obviously not going well and the cost benefit analysis of military action has swung to the absolute loss side of the ledger. A weird dynamic occurs…all militaries hate to lose. It’s the ultima...
by jalanlong
Fri Dec 23, 2022 5:01 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine
Replies: 99
Views: 216212

Re: West Provokes Russia to Protect Russians in Ukraine

> for those who contend the American people are all sheep But of course, SARS2 (which variant is it now?) is just as deadly as we're told. But we can lay that question aside. My family is like this, they cannot even have the conversation. They refuse to listen to evidence. But to be fair, I'm still...
by jalanlong
Fri Dec 23, 2022 11:52 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Buy and Hold Stock Millionaires
Replies: 31
Views: 10328

Re: Buy and Hold Stock Millionaires

http://web.archive.org/web/20060216223405/http://finance.wharton.upenn.edu/~rlwctr/papers/0429.pdf This study is 20 years old but interesting nonetheless. Conclusion was that buying the original S&P 500 stocks and holding them with no changes led to a much better outcome than following all of th...
by jalanlong
Thu Dec 22, 2022 5:14 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Question for SilentMajority about Information Sources
Replies: 19
Views: 6753

Re: Question for SilentMajority about Information Sources

This reminds me of a fallacy described by Nassim Taleb but for the life of me I cannot remember what he named it. He describes a situation (which happens to me a lot) where you read an article (or see a tv news story) regarding a topic with which you are very, very knowledgeable. Say an article abou...
by jalanlong
Sun Dec 18, 2022 1:55 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Died Suddenly
Replies: 85
Views: 7062

Re: Died Suddenly

On the other hand regarding your son ...... how about the vaccine perhaps preventing him from a lifetime of potential problems including death? Come on. The death rate from Covid cases across all ages groups is approx 3%. People in the 18-29 age range only constitute 1.8% of the total Covid deaths....
by jalanlong
Sun Dec 18, 2022 11:45 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Died Suddenly
Replies: 85
Views: 7062

Re: Died Suddenly

On the other hand regarding your son ...... how about the vaccine perhaps preventing him from a lifetime of potential problems including death? Come on. The death rate from Covid cases across all ages groups is approx 3%. People in the 18-29 age range only constitute 1.8% of the total Covid deaths....
by jalanlong
Sun Dec 18, 2022 10:22 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Died Suddenly
Replies: 85
Views: 7062

Re: Died Suddenly

I grew up in Rhode Island and it was practically "Little Italy" where I grew up. I'd say that of the 2,000+ students that were in my three year high school that about half of them were thorough-bred, 100% Italians such as myself. But we had zero Italian culture, little Italian identify. L...
by jalanlong
Sun Dec 18, 2022 10:00 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Deep-State Lies
Replies: 25
Views: 3033

Re: Deep-State Lies

Slightly related, with the twitter unbannings/revelations, weren't there a few conservatives people on this forum who should have been banned for a month instead of forever? This forum used to welcome conservative views, but that stopped being the case some time back. Even if the bans are reversed,...
by jalanlong
Sun Dec 18, 2022 9:55 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The Peter Schiff portfolio: an evolutionary offshoot of the PP
Replies: 100
Views: 30101

Re: The Peter Schiff portfolio: an evolutionary offshoot of the PP

Off topic: I saw this thread was revived and then saw Sophie's avatar. Now, I miss Sophie. :'( A few words about Peter Schiff, given that's he's the subject matter here. I think he's long-term right about his bet on gold and international assets, but I think his attempt at guessing the timing for t...
by jalanlong
Sat Dec 17, 2022 1:58 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Are you positive or negative on the future?
Replies: 12
Views: 1283

Re: Are you positive or negative on the future?

I am definitely a positive for the future. That in most ways the world just keeps getting better and better. Therefore that does lead to investing in equities to an extent. Not to sidetrack the original question but even though we can back up with statistics that many, many areas of life have shown...
by jalanlong
Sat Dec 17, 2022 12:11 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Meme Thread
Replies: 279
Views: 257158

Re: The Meme Thread

0D8EBCD0-91A1-46AD-B74E-ED0DD047E94C.jpeg
0D8EBCD0-91A1-46AD-B74E-ED0DD047E94C.jpeg (94.69 KiB) Viewed 5981 times
by jalanlong
Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:44 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The Peter Schiff portfolio: an evolutionary offshoot of the PP
Replies: 100
Views: 30101

Re: The Peter Schiff portfolio: an evolutionary offshoot of the PP

Actually, if you look at the data consumer debt is actually very low historically. The 2008 crisis was mostly a household deleveraging. This generation of people for the most part have kind of learned their lesson. These household debt crisis' tend to happen once a lifetime for this reason. The deb...
by jalanlong
Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:25 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Are you positive or negative on the future?
Replies: 12
Views: 1283

Are you positive or negative on the future?

I have heard investor psychologists say that how you invest depends on your outlook for the future. If you are a positive person you will most likely be heavy into stocks? Negative you may be into gold. I am guessing risk parity portfolios would be for people who are agnostic. I have also heard othe...
by jalanlong
Mon Nov 21, 2022 12:02 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: How did YOU vote???!!
Replies: 62
Views: 10678

Re: How did YOU vote???!!

I have seen other explanations thrown out. Maybe the predictions of a Red Wave made Rs lazy and not motivated to show up. Or maybe that got Ds out to vote. And some pollsters claim the polls never predicted a Red Wave and that was a narrative created out of nowhere. The interesting thing is that ev...
by jalanlong
Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:15 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: US Legislative Majority after November 8
Replies: 17
Views: 1764

Re: US Legislative Majority after November 8

I like divided government. Reigns in the crazies on both sides. Effectively adding more reams of paper to existing state and federal code and regulations isn't necessarily a good thing. I used to believe that way until Executive Orders started becoming so commonplace. I also don't like executive or...
by jalanlong
Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:10 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: How did YOU vote???!!
Replies: 62
Views: 10678

Re: How did YOU vote???!!

Kriegsspiel wrote: Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:02 am Everyone: Biden is the most cognitively-impaired politician to hold public office.

Fetterman: You to put hanHOLD hold to beer. My.
https://babylonbee.com/news/nation-unsu ... candidates