I think the current bounce in TLT is a DCB (dead cat bounce), and that we will see a retest of the 200, followed by a further drop as the FED reduces bond buying and raises rates. The longer term channel would call for TLT to drop to around 120 ish. Yeah, right (its just 154 now). It has tested MA2...

They are heading for political instability https://old.reddit.com/r/ChurchOfCOVID/comments/qvrov8/my_heart_is_so_full_right_now_seeing_austria_come/ I've been several times in this country and also pretty much aware of what the 'national mentality' is... Would not put instability and Austria in the...

I've been astounded with how much of my Amazon orders do arrive in two days. In one case the next day when it was supposed to have taken two days. Sorry for hijacking the thread, but am too curious to hold my horses.. Are those 2 days considered a short period ? What about Prime members ? At amazon...

Does the cholesterol run in the family? No, it runs in the massive amount of prime rib and eggs I eat weekly. In case it's not obvious, I think the whole cholesterol thing is a bunch of hooey and I only ever get it measured for grins. I have low levels of high density cholesterol (the good one), el...

I've been astounded with how much of my Amazon orders do arrive in two days. In one case the next day when it was supposed to have taken two days. Sorry for hijacking the thread, but am too curious to hold my horses.. Are those 2 days considered a short period ? What about Prime members ? At amazon...

Sorry, European forumites :-\ Thanks for sharing, but no worries, I read Zeihans every other day. Inflation is definitely not considered anymore as mild. Investing wise - it's all-and-everything bubble. Even used cars appreciated in value in the past months. Only thing that's cheap are the crappy E...

Normally, I just read what others write in here and simply walk away from what I find as not interesting. Why are you so bothered by MJ ? I do not concur with what he is saying (well, there are people that tend to believe in urine therapy, too), but that does not necessarily mean that we have to kil...

whatchamacallit wrote: ↑Fri Nov 26, 2021 8:09 am It is looking like there is a "black friday sale" on some stocks out there today.

Yes, its massacre in Europe. Already the air flights to/from South African countries are halted in many EU countries, due to the new strain.

Stoxx 50 closed -4.72% and Stoxx 600 closed -3.70%

I bought a bit more Total Stock Market. Bought that dog shit ? What a crap ... ;D From now onwards I'll be the stocks buddtholomew .. Joke aside, Stoxx 50 is already more than 3% down for the day (Nikkei was also), so SPY will follow. For the tmie being the "explanation" is the new South ...

Stay safe, Hal. Just out of curiosity, what flags did you see? FFWD through the film - from what can be considered Eastern European - Croatian, Polish, Albanian and Greek flags. Saw also Irish. Croatian and Polish guys know some things about socialism, for sure.. Actually it is very funny to see th...

Why did LITECOIN surge so much yesterday? Not only Litecoin, but couple of others too, read it somewhere. What I got in essence is that the price urge is due to AMC Corp claiming they're looking forward to accept some of that crap before the end of the year as payment... (a sort of). IMHO that cryp...

Yeah, well.. he's indeed preaching the forum's sermon - rates go up, but they can go down as well... (sometimes I think I am falling prey to some very sophisticated forum generator tool, good that it's MJ to have the #LTTGold_Crap and #DontFightTheFed stuff around.. but he might be part of the tool'...

But I don't, and I like the PP going forward. Even with super high priced stocks and bonds, worthless cash, and the barbarous relic. Amen, brother. Oddly enough I have a bit more time than usual and just finished "The simple path to wealth" . I guess the author is member of some radical r...

I do 50% SP500 and 50% Small Cap for the equities portion of my PP. I think it was MachineGhost who turned me on to it. Isn't it the GB that suggest that also ? In my purest US-PP I am using MSCI USA (has sthg like 630~640 constituents vs tad less than 500 for the S&P 500). This is an interesti...

Talking about momentum strategies, have been quite a while since I want to ask you guys - what do you think about the Andreas Clenow's works, especially "Stocks on the move"? Simple linear regression (* coefficient of determination) - guess it cannot get any simpler than that for an 'algo...

Talking about momentum strategies, have been quite a while since I want to ask you guys - what do you think about the Andreas Clenow's works, especially "Stocks on the move"? Simple linear regression (* coefficient of determination) - guess it cannot get any simpler than that for an 'algo'...

Not sure it was posted earlier here, a work from Nassim Taleb named "Bitcoin, Currencies, and Fragility"

Even though I can't clearly understand all of his statements, its a good food for thought.

- Nov 11th, 2020 by pmward See his reasons why at https://gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=10&t=11503#p211975 I miss this guy to be honest. He was having broad helicopter view on many financial processes, while on the other hand very good knowledge of the technical aspects of tradi...

Yes, indeed, you should follow the markets more closely .. stick your face to those steep charts (where there is a mile between the price and MA 20) ;D I exited today all of my momentum stocks. So far, so good - profit feels nice and heavy in the pocket. We are close to all time highs for both S&...

Yeah, this one actually may serve as very nice HBPP hedge .. Guess they have decent negative correlation

If PP is not futures based - Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday, at lunch time. First days of any month are normally more volatile... Or you can use early stages of any volatility contraction periods to enter... Who knows... I am always using limit orders, always- I can certainly wait and not becoming a...

Fine gold again means non-24 karat purity (i.e. 22), right ? Or did they change anything in that aspect ? Very strange, but my understanding is that the rest of the world (<> US) tend to believe FINE equals 24 karats...

I would rather advice any Russian ladies to PM me first ! As a citizen of the also-known-as-the-16th USSR state country, I feel their 'pain' and also can give them (almost) free advice about the wealthy ones here ;D MJ may reconsider his decision to leave the forum too... Joke apart, ladies, you may...

UBUJ - MSCI USA hedged to EUR is worth consideration for residents of the old continent

anything that reduces my ability to invest globally You know, it's simple as that - you just do not realize how lucky you (US and Canada guys for that matter) are in general ;D. Can you imagine me doing my selective (used this term to keep it simple) investing in the European index Stoxx 600 - give...