If there's something going on that there's general agreement about, then that's a golden opportunity to try to heal some of the rifts going on. To decide ahead of time that because there seems to be general agreement about something, that something else must really be going on, is to have rift-maki...

Sorry guys, I'm going to have to side with Dr. Ruben on this one. As Alec Baldwin showed us recently, we’re never gonna know if a gun is loaded until we squeeze the trigger. That’s just the way it goes. Ooh, harsh O0 Or know what’s in the bill until it’s passed? Yeah, the Pelosi joke would have bee...

Dr. Ruben on the FDA panel: "We're never gonna learn about how safe the vaccine is until we start giving it. That's the way it goes." Seems legit. Was that intended to be sarcastic? Yes, sorry for not including a sarcasm emoji. :) Sorry guys, I'm going to have to side with Dr. Ruben on th...

According to a friend who is a separations chemist, salicylic acid does not break down with time and has a much longer shelf life than the expiration date on the bottle indicates. But that's prob true of of a lot of things, so do your own diligence with aspirin and the rest. This 2012 study reporte...

The only thing more maddening than the ridiculous mandates is having no clear metrics for relaxing them. Here in California, Emperor Newsom initially mandated a color-coded tier system of Covid restrictions whose least-restrictive tier (which still had some restrictions!) wasn't even physically ach...

Reality check: There was an exodus of quality posters to the board in December. As Charlie Munger says, invert, always invert. What if someone who is polite, considerate, well spoken/written wants to go to the "Other Section" and engage in political discussion? Must they wade through a se...

We still have firearms but that's about it. Notice you will almost never hear a politician refer to the country as a Republic? It's always a "democracy". Soon it will be "The People's Democratic Republic of America". Maybe that's because the word "republic" is too clos...

My reaction to this is that if they are put off by the political forums, then why can they not just ignore those? I completely understand if it was in the investing forums because that is invading the core part of the board. But for the misc forums I think that outside of direct insults people shou...

I can tell you what Pritzker's benchmark is: His polling numbers.

When the majority of IL residents start disapproving of Pritzker's mask mandate and that starts to negatively affect his polling numbers, he will lift the mandate (based on "the science", of course).

Ditto on favoring simpler. The current tax code is way too complex.

I don't think people are mad about Roth conversions, they're mad that Peter Thiel made a lot of money in a way that they wouldn't have done even if they'd known about it. And he won't have to pay taxes on it. I don't even think many people were mad about that. It's just Dem politicians doing what t...

A couple of the numbers in that summary look suspect to me. This is what ETF Replay calculates for the 4x25 PP using the same ETFs:

10Y Annualized Return: 7.8% (much greater than 5.98%)

Sharpe Ratio over past year: 1.03 (much greater than 0.53)

Are there some type people who seem to be more prone to reactions from these vaccination shots while other type people are far less prone? This Nature article addresses that question in quite a bit of detail. The authors of that article hypothesize that individual differences in symptoms after a va...

Gold's response to today's stock dip may be muted thus far, but I'm happy that the PP overall is down only -0.2% even though stocks are down -2.7%. Makes the stock drama less panicky.

If only we had a meme thread for standalone meme posts that aren't part of a topic thread...

If anything, I think you should be monitoring your portfolios as much as you can because if you're invested in the PP you are paying for that reduced volatility. Since you're also buying into the PP every single day you hold it a fresh evaluation of the assumptions of why you invested in it should ...

These claims rely on his belief that there are somehow two immune systems: an "innate" one and then some other one that vaccines deal with. This is totally bogus and the reason why this fellow is completely alone (apart from the people who just want him to be right) in the scientific comm...

Whatever happened to the phrase: "A picture speaks a thousand words"? With the same for a chart or graph? I believe what I put here provides relevant information related to the topic and which really needs no more commentary or interpretation by me. It is, however, an invitation to others...

I just got my results. IgG Covid19 Antibody Your Value Positive It won't be COVID-19 that kills me. For what it's worth, my brother got a positive result on a Covid antibody test last year around April/May (I think the test was just +/- and didn't report a number), so he chose not to get vaxxed sin...

I agree that you can't eat the PP's Sharpe ratio, but it does allow me to eat my food without puking due to stomach-churning drawdowns.

I missed you saying “any”. Check your math last few years to see how pathetic PP has performed over a 60/40. Backtest on ETF Replay shows the following performance over the past 3 years: 60/40 (VTI/BND): 46% total return (13.4% CAGR), 13.8% volatility, -22% max drawdown 4x25 PP (VTI/TLT/IAU/SHV): 3...

There's an asset class out there with a guaranteed CAGR of 12-15% over any 10-12 year period? Nice! What is it? It’s called stocks. Anyway, this portfolio is dogshit, always has been and always will be. You might want to double-check your math, Bud: During the best 10-year period (1949-1958), the S...

There's an asset class out there with a guaranteed CAGR of 12-15% over any 10-12 year period? Nice! What is it?

I did not realize that the most advanced chip business goes from companies like Apple to Taiwan not solely for cost reasons but because the capability to produce the most sophisticated chips does not even exist in the US, from a knowledge base standpoint. The Intel CEO concedes so in the interview....