mathjak107 wrote:you need a  much stronger trend  in something to have it pave the way then i would .

Yes, but then you need to be right about which asset class is going to take off, and we don't.

if i pick wrong bonds still produce interest and it just may take stocks longwer but they will do it . if i didn't think so i wouldn't be an investor at all  , i would sit in the bank . Ah!  Okay then.  Would you harangue people sitting in the bank for that reason?  That's what we're doing.  We don...

Did anyone watch the video? It's hilarious. I did! She doesn't even bat an eye! I often get the feeling that for most interviews like this, the interviewer isn't even listening to what the guy is saying, and simply has a list of things she's wanting to get through.  There's zero interactivity.  Thi...

The LCMS's "Theology and Practice of Prayer" is an excellent explanation of Christian prayer:
http://www.lcms.org/Document.fdoc?src=lcm&id=1745
Of particular interest to this discussion would be Chapter 2, pages 23-34.

manager changes at the fund , weightings in a fund changing drastically , rising rates, rising inflation , weak dollar , strong dollar , etc . do they get it right every time ? no but then you don't do better then the index  at the worst  case  . most of the time they do get these things correct an...

Science is a process about discovery and verification, not an ideological religion.  So long as you follow the process you will keep your bias, beliefs and memes out of the evidence as much as possible and take the results as it comes, both good and bad. Science is a philosophy which can be either ...

But such experiences are subjective, always perceived through a belief or meme filter.  I prefer to get at the ultimate truth, not what would merely appear in front of me or talk in my head. You realize that's quite impossible, right?  Do you really believe you have no belief or meme filter?  And y...

i only reference the american markets . it is the only ones i can talk about . nothing guaranteed but betting on the remote flyer is never a good idea .  this time is different rarely works . Your myopic vision in terms of time and space are blinding you to all the possible conditions which are out...

What rebalancing bands do you use?

How do you go back 100 years across the line where gold was tied to the USD and come up with anything meaningful?

You realize they all overlap, right?  This is an EXTREMELY small sample.

mathjak107 wrote:in fact take any rolling 30 year period the last 40 years and has gold been better at protecting that time frame than had you not owned it and just owned stocks and bonds ?

You realize there are only ten such periods, right?

"quit every portfolio" is obviously impossible, unless you mean give everything away and have $0 to your name.  Any allocation is a portfolio.

For everyone's benefit, we should establish a thread where only Mathjak can post.  In all the other threads, Mathjak is only allowed to post a number, which refers to the post number in his own thread.  It's data deduplication, and it's a win all the way around.

The intention of my analogy was to show that even by the standards that quarterbacks set for themselves, an interception is a things to be avoided. Well hang on.  God never set ANY standards for himself.  He sets standards for us.  It wasn't "Killing is wrong", it was "THOU shalt not...

You might want to look beyond a blood-soaked religion and see the blood-soaked world.  This world is, and has always been, a very violent and bloody place.  Despite our outrageous wealth in this country and other first world nations, we are all going to depart this world in a painful death.  In bet...

If I am sitting at a professional sporting event and someone tells me how great a quarterback is, but all I see him do is throw a bunch of interceptions and pee in the other teams' Gatorade jug, and I point out that he doesn't look that great to me, it doesn't follow that I would be claiming to be ...

If I am sitting at a professional sporting event and someone tells me how great a quarterback is, but all I see him do is throw a bunch of interceptions and pee in the other teams' Gatorade jug, and I point out that he doesn't look that great to me, it doesn't follow that I would be claiming to be ...

You'r right about the potential consequences of nihilism. But that doesn't say anything about Christianity. Christianity doesn't become correct simply because ditching it without replacing it with anything else leads to nihilism. There are hundreds of other religious and philosophical traditions in...

I think we can all admit that we choose our beliefs based on what is emotionally appealing to us and then go hunting for evidence. I do it, we all do it. What I am really interested in knowing is why your brand of Christianity is emotionally appealing to you. You mentioned that you weren't a Christ...

We can say that about nasdaq too hitting 5000 15 years ago . It too settled back down to a point that was higher than someother point. Great but you are still down 40% from where you stood. It is like if stocks go back to 6000 i can say at least i am higer than i was back in 1987 when i started. Mo...

But tech, how do we know that YOU are a real person?  You could just be a bot helping to pretend other bots are real by pretending to have met them.

Most Christian apologists try hard to rationalize the genocide in the Bible with theological sounding reasoning but the ones I'm talking about seem to have no problem with it. They were all sinners and they all deserved it. God is holy and thus he can kill anybody he wants in any way he sees fit, s...

Fred, I think you were doing it wrong.  You wanted to know about God (which is the definition of theology) but then didn't care about theology?  That just doesn't make sense. And then you'll read the Bible, but not care what anybody but you ever thought it meant?  Especially the early church fathers...

mathjak107 wrote:my example was that i did a lot better than the s&p 500 did  the last 15 years as the s&p 500  is only one fund and one segment of the market .

So your suggestion is that everybody simply needs to be as lucky as you were?

Here's an example of an Old Testament story being read Christologically: https://birdchadlouis.wordpress.com/2014/04/28/what-a-stoned-thief-taught-me-about-jesus/ All of that good news is in the story of Achan, for every story in the Old Testament is the story of Jesus. Remember what Christ did for ...