Search found 2751 matches

by Tortoise
Sun Jul 08, 2012 9:59 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Emergency Cash "Rules"
Replies: 32
Views: 15390

Re: Emergency Cash "Rules"

What is the minimum amount of money that you guys (and gals) would need in order to feel comfortable calling it "F-you money" and not just an emergency fund? And would you feel comfortable allowing your emergency fund to double as F-you money? It seems to me that if the point of an emergen...
by Tortoise
Sun Jul 08, 2012 5:14 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: SCOTUS & ObamaCare
Replies: 43
Views: 16088

Re: SCOTUS & ObamaCare

I'm a pretty hardcore libertarian, but I'll acknowledge that there's a LOT of low-hanging fruit if the government really wanted to make this market work better, such as abolishing pharmaceutical patents, ending the tax advantages of employer-sponsored health insurance, doing away with the AMA's med...
by Tortoise
Fri Jul 06, 2012 3:48 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: When will the U.S. stop mass incarceration?
Replies: 13
Views: 1905

Re: When will the U.S. stop mass incarceration?

Thank the War on Drugs.
by Tortoise
Wed Jul 04, 2012 4:17 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Gasoline Price as an Economic Indicator
Replies: 8
Views: 2739

Re: Gasoline Price as an Economic Indicator

Gasoline prices are still going down, down, down. The last time the drop was this steep was in mid-2008 at the start of the sharp recession. Might this indicate that we're about to start seeing a lot more news stories in the coming weeks about financial crises, bankruptcies, and business contraction...
by Tortoise
Tue Jul 03, 2012 9:46 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Catastrophic Gold Crash
Replies: 3
Views: 1789

Re: Catastrophic Gold Crash

Buy it while it's free!
by Tortoise
Sun Jul 01, 2012 6:18 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Positive Bond Convexity and You
Replies: 11
Views: 6491

Re: Positive Bond Convexity and You

In order for a 25% LTT allocation to hit a 35% rebalancing band, LTTs have to rise in price by 40%. The lowest LTT yield that supports a 40% increase in bond price is 1.3%. At yields below that, your max upside drops below 40%, so your LTTs would be increasingly unlikely to hit that rebalancing ban...
by Tortoise
Sat Jun 30, 2012 1:55 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How Much Does Using Gold As Currency "Cost" The Global Economy?
Replies: 5
Views: 1218

Re: How Much Does Using Gold As Currency "Cost" The Global Economy?

Here's my point. If instead of using gold as a currency, we used something that was "free" or near free to make/acquire, then we wouldn't be wasting global resources to digging gold up. There's overhead involved in digging up gold. What if we put those same people to work doing something ...
by Tortoise
Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:21 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Death Note
Replies: 8
Views: 3922

Re: Death Note

This is a pretty good show, thanks for the recommendation! I've watched 7 or 8 episodes so far and am now hooked.
by Tortoise
Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:49 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Purposely Buying/Storing Fake Gold Coins
Replies: 36
Views: 16942

Re: Purposely Buying/Storing Fake Gold Coins

There's definitely a lot to be said for not storing your coins at home.  A lot of people say "well, I have a safe."  This does you no good when the thief simply holds a gun to your wife's head and says "open the safe." That's why anyone storing a large amount of gold at home wou...
by Tortoise
Thu Jun 21, 2012 12:29 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The Intangible Costs of ETF Ownership
Replies: 1
Views: 1013

Re: The Intangible Costs of ETF Ownership

If I understood the article correctly, the author's main thesis is that aside from the expense ratio, ETFs have two "intangible costs": Bid-ask spread Index tracking error For buy-and-hold investors who trade only infrequently, the bid-ask spread is essentially a non-issue. As for index tr...
by Tortoise
Sat Jun 16, 2012 6:16 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP across 401k and IRA - 1 year later
Replies: 13
Views: 8186

Re: PP across 401k and IRA - 1 year later

I do intend to go the physical route eventually and my current thinking is to store the bulk in the Perth Mint but keep enough on hand that I have plenty of time to get to Australia in a SHTF situation. But then again, how do I know I can trust the keepers of the Perth Mint any more than I can the ...
by Tortoise
Sat Jun 16, 2012 4:53 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Gasoline Price as an Economic Indicator
Replies: 8
Views: 2739

Gasoline Price as an Economic Indicator

A while back on this forum, a few of us discussed the fact that gasoline prices historically have tended to increase noticeably prior to recessions. At the time, I had the Austrian mindset that the high gasoline prices just prior to the recessions were likely more of an effect than a cause. Specific...
by Tortoise
Sat Jun 16, 2012 2:00 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Purposely Buying/Storing Fake Gold Coins
Replies: 36
Views: 16942

Re: Purposely Buying/Storing Fake Gold Coins

I wouldn't want to piss off criminals with fake stuff unless I had plans to move out the next day. I'd rather have a stash of $1000-2000 in REAL bills for them to discover in a strongbox or desk drawer to keep them away from the real stash. If someone finds out that I do have coins and I haven't mo...
by Tortoise
Fri Jun 15, 2012 12:37 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Poll: What Percentage of Physical Bullion do you hold?
Replies: 26
Views: 13402

Re: Poll: What Percentage of Physical Bullion do you hold?

hoost, Xan, and foglifter: +1 I am constrained to hold far less physical gold than I would prefer since the majority of my taxable savings consists of an emergency fund and a growing down payment for a home. Once we purchase a home in a few years, I'll start converting as much of the gold allocation...
by Tortoise
Wed Jun 13, 2012 12:48 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Pick Your Poison
Replies: 24
Views: 6553

Re: Pick Your Poison

I've recently been developing a taste for scotch, and my most recent purchase was a bottle of Glenmorangie (evidently the best-selling single malt in Scotland). It's quite good. I'm also partial to dark, malty, complex beers such as imperial stouts and barleywines. Deschutes "The Abyss" an...
by Tortoise
Tue Jun 12, 2012 9:49 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Idea: Working for a Gold Dealer to get lower Gold Premiums?
Replies: 6
Views: 3309

Re: Idea: Working for a Gold Dealer to get lower Gold Premiums?

If you were to view your one day per week simply as an enjoyable hobby, then I suppose any kind of "employee discount" you might receive would just be icing on the cake. If your primary goal is to save money, however, your one day per week might be better spent doing more lucrative work. T...
by Tortoise
Sat Jun 09, 2012 3:27 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Take the personal finance quiz
Replies: 5
Views: 2269

Re: Take the personal finance quiz

Several years ago I even believed that my financial planner had my best interest at heart.  He would invite me to investment seminars sponsered by GE, Met Life, etc.  I understood very little of what they were talking about.  I just trusted him to put me in the best investments.  After the market d...
by Tortoise
Fri Jun 08, 2012 4:35 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Positive Bond Convexity and You
Replies: 11
Views: 6491

Re: Positive Bond Convexity and You

AdamA and MT are right. To convince yourself, you can use an online bond price calculator like this one or this one to see exactly what happens to the bond price as yields go negative. For example, if you buy a $1000 30-year Treasury bond at a 3% coupon rate, you get: Yield (%)  Price ($) --------- ...
by Tortoise
Thu Jun 07, 2012 1:40 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: "The Real Crash"
Replies: 22
Views: 7277

Re: "The Real Crash"

Peter Schiff has a new book out. [...] I'll bet it's a few hundred pages that basically say, "Printing money causes inflation."   [...] There was a time when I hung on Peter Schiff's every word... As did I. Peter Schiff has seemingly made some good predictions over the years, but then he ...
by Tortoise
Wed Jun 06, 2012 4:27 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Emergency Cash "Rules"
Replies: 32
Views: 15390

Re: Emergency Cash "Rules"

Known, predictable expenses should really be added to the top of "emergency fund" expenses.  When this is things like vacations & unnecessary home improvements, it has the side effect of acting like an emergency fund if you DO have to tap your emergency fund for reasons that scare you...
by Tortoise
Tue Jun 05, 2012 1:16 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Emergency Cash "Rules"
Replies: 32
Views: 15390

Re: Emergency Cash "Rules"

Thanks for your ideas, everyone! Yes, we also still rent and have a nice pile of cash (we're fans of the 100% down plan). You plan to buy your home with cash? Wow. Interesting crowd on this PP forum! The term "emergency" is something that probably cannot be strictly defined and and we coul...
by Tortoise
Tue Jun 05, 2012 12:23 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: time of year to rebalance
Replies: 18
Views: 9181

Re: time of year to rebalance

It sounds like HB's recommended method of adding new funds to the PP had more to do with simplicity than momentum. Here's the relevant passage from Fail-Safe Investing : After you set up the Permanent Portfolio, you probably will want to add to it over time. Whenever you have additional funds to inv...
by Tortoise
Sun Jun 03, 2012 4:23 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: time of year to rebalance
Replies: 18
Views: 9181

Re: time of year to rebalance

You could probably use a simple trend filter to improve the odds of avoiding a falling knife. Using a trend filter would be an example of market timing, and as I mentioned in my previous post, I prefer to avoid market timing. The PP isn't the appropriate investment strategy for people who like to t...
by Tortoise
Sat Jun 02, 2012 8:55 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Emergency Cash "Rules"
Replies: 32
Views: 15390

Emergency Cash "Rules"

I'm interested in hearing what "rules" some of you may have for yourselves regarding when you would allow yourself to dip into your emergency cash. The reason I ask is that it took me several years to accumulate an emergency fund consisting of 12 months of typical expenses. It's an interes...
by Tortoise
Sat Jun 02, 2012 8:05 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: YouTube Junkie
Replies: 1231
Views: 650459

Re: YouTube Junkie

Here's a very funny (I think) Howard Stern rant about the stock market and financial advisors. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X43RkcC4Zuk&feature=related 6:48 NOTE:  Could be categorized as extremely offensive due to repeated use of the F-bomb.  That's a good rant! Along the same lines, here's ...