I want to get out, but I'm too stubborn and I know it'll just go up as soon as I do. The next time equities are way down, I might move out of other assets

All you had to do was buy in CA a couple decades ago. Taxes generally limited to 1% of assessed value, and assessment increases capped at 2% per year. Part of why our income taxes are high, but it's a good deal once you retire

Impact fees - These can work if the fees are large enough to support a SWR equal to the revenue needed to pay for services, right?

dragoncar, I am curious, so the 3x SPY about doubled in the timeframe, how did the 3x gold and bond ETFs do? These numbers will be a bit off since I already rebalanced, but: SPXL +39.07% TMF -10.52% UGLD -12% All acquired 03/01/2016 (so the above would make SPXL 33.4% exposure, but as I said it was...

Pulled the trigger on a rebalance. My 3xSPY was bouncing around 34-35% of exposure for a while. I was way up for a while, but now back to square one (very modest gain).

There has to be a way around a preemptive pardon, if the corruption is worthy of prosecution in the first place, like many believe. You can only pardon for past acts. So Congress can order her to testify and she will either be made to tell all the gory details (likely further hurting the Democrat p...

It will be fine...my initial foray was a year long drawdown from pretty much day 1 with well over 50% losses in UGLD. You have a big wad of cash and as I've mentioned several times, it is a near certainty that you will experience one asset going to zero over the course of a year. This is an aggress...

MG, 1. Forget why it was implemented this way. The result of getting rid of it will be to give huge population centers e.g. California, new York, etc etc more influence and other states less. Is that what you want or think is appropriate? Not more influence per capita. It's ridiculous the mind hoop...

Yes...

MachineGhost wrote:Trifectas an exception but it is woefully statistically insignificant:

Is that pp or S&p?

I keep mine at 33. Sometimes get frost on vegetables but not a big deal. Still get mold on food when I'm not fast enough

Any chance of getting caught happens well after the fact, but the penalties might be considerable (misrepresentation on a government form). It's sort of like cheating on your taxes. Lots of people do it, but more avoid it because even though the probability of getting caught is small, the penalties...

That makes more sense. I thought in 2000 they were saying that mail-in ballots basically were never counted unless the race was close enough that it would make a difference. That was a bit upsetting to me at the time. Gore won 270+ electoral votes if the FL Supreme Court had decided to wait to coun...

I use individual bonds, but check your trading platform/brokerage and see how they plan to make money off the trade. For example, I bought some using TD Ameritrade and it when I went to sell I got so-called "bids" that were 5% below the expected value. Wouldn't want to do a lot of trading ...

As far as I know, it's only ballots that have been returned and party ID that is tallied, not the actual vote counted. So for instance, hypothetically if 675K registered R's, 700K registered D's and 550K I's have returned early votes, they know the numbers returned, but they don't report who each p...

In restaurants, the differences in tipping could be explained by mutually destructive preconceptions (black people tip less therefore I give them worse service so they tip less). Is there evidence they also tip less for taxis? If a bunch of taxis passed me I think I'd tip more to the one that finall...

Just for the record, I still pop in now and then, though mostly as a lurker. While I will agree that the level of discourse is not up to its former standards, my main reason for not posting as much is simply that a lot of what is being posted are topics that have either been beaten to death or that...

It's levioSAAHH

I got a perfect score (100) and think the test was very well written

25 basis points is too much for a single raise. Just do 5 bp and nobody will bat an eye. If they did 5bp each quarter this year we'd almost be at 1/4 point and no overreaction. Boil the frog

The classics questions are the ones with equal expected value, so would you rather have $500 or a 50/50 chance at $0/$1000. That makes sense I guess. I'd typically pick a sure thing all else being equal. Now if it's $500 vs 50/50 chance of $2000/0 I'd flip the coin. Usually you keep adjusting the va...

I didn't even know what they were getting at with the whole "some experts think metals will go up do you sell your bonds?" Uh no I don't change my AA based on what "some experts" think

Above average, but possibly a $200 gain is insignificant compared to my portfolio. If they example values were 10-100 times bigger I'd be far more cautious

I understand futures in general but have no experience with them. I'd be interested in seeing a play by play for any paper trades you do to understand the mechanics involved

As my final post before the world-as-we-know-it ends, I thought it was fitting to announce that I was finally able to crack the rebalancing bands issue and backtest for the optimal thresholds to use. <drum roll> The optimal rebalancing bands are 12%-13% on a end of year basis. That means rebalancin...