Search found 193 matches

by LazyInvestor
Mon Sep 26, 2016 8:46 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How does Gold function in a non-US PP
Replies: 6
Views: 4846

Re: How does Gold function in a non-US PP

If in a "dodgy" country you can run US PP or any other reasonable Bogleheads portfolio such as US, European, Singaporean, and so on. This decision should be driven by, for example, which currency/government you trust more with your fixed income or maybe long term planning needs or a correl...
by LazyInvestor
Mon Sep 26, 2016 2:49 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How does Gold function in a non-US PP
Replies: 6
Views: 4846

Re: How does Gold function in a non-US PP

It's a tradition in crappy economies to just convert whatever you have in USD and keep it outside of the country if at all possible. For the countries where it might sound reasonable to implement a PP, I'd still not go that route exactly because of what you are pointing out. HB has pointed out that ...
by LazyInvestor
Wed Sep 21, 2016 11:47 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
Replies: 26
Views: 17054

Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz

30 with standard PP
by LazyInvestor
Mon Aug 22, 2016 10:24 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Estate tax in US?
Replies: 3
Views: 3592

Re: Estate tax in US?

Interesting, thanks, it's seems then it won't be repealed any time soon :-(
by LazyInvestor
Sun Aug 21, 2016 10:50 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Estate tax in US?
Replies: 3
Views: 3592

Estate tax in US?

As a non-American I am curious how you Americans feel about the estate tax? To me it seems as the most un-American tax that you can come up with - you spend your whole life building your American dream (while paying income and bunch of other taxes), and then when you want to leave what you built to ...
by LazyInvestor
Sat Aug 20, 2016 4:42 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: What would the PP look like without fiat currency and central banks?
Replies: 19
Views: 12110

Re: What would the PP look like without fiat currency and central banks?

I think we would use that Talmud portfolio 1/3 gold 1/3 land 1/3 equity.
by LazyInvestor
Tue Aug 16, 2016 1:57 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Feedback on a EU/US/SWE PP mix
Replies: 6
Views: 7946

Re: Feedback on a EU/US/SWE PP mix

You'll be exposed to various currencies and international trends through VT (or maybe better Ireland-based VWRD). Gold is also a form of currency diversification. Once you grasp the relation between these, as well as the relationship of USD to other currencies, you might end up with a conclusion tha...
by LazyInvestor
Fri Aug 12, 2016 4:08 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Feedback on a EU/US/SWE PP mix
Replies: 6
Views: 7946

Re: Feedback on a EU/US/SWE PP mix

As an expat with no clear retirement location, I'd just go with a cheap US PP or a Bogleheads portfolio such as 60% total world etf 40% mix of intermediate treasuries of a selection of developed economies with good standing.
by LazyInvestor
Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:04 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Replies: 539
Views: 361785

Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio

Thanks, missed the calculator, I'll check it out  :) awesome website!
by LazyInvestor
Tue Mar 15, 2016 4:26 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Replies: 539
Views: 361785

Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio

Using your portfolio finder tool

-10.81 I-VAL   I-SML LTT 5-T GLD 6.59
by LazyInvestor
Tue Mar 15, 2016 4:06 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Replies: 539
Views: 361785

Re: Golden Butterfly Portfolio

Tyler, what you are suggesting is something half way towards Merriman's portfolio for the equity portion of PP. So, can you please backtest it with the Simplified Ultimate Buy and Hold https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=38374 That is, instead of allocating 40% to 20/20 LB/SV, can you d...
by LazyInvestor
Sat Feb 27, 2016 11:50 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years
Replies: 9
Views: 3243

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Maybe oil price will go up soon...
by LazyInvestor
Tue Feb 23, 2016 10:44 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Pope Francis / Catholic Church
Replies: 13
Views: 7922

Re: Pope Francis / Catholic Church

This pope sounds like a Marxist.
by LazyInvestor
Thu Feb 18, 2016 6:35 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 100% stocks
Replies: 19
Views: 12481

Re: 100% stocks

You must put your decisions within the context of your overall financial situation. The OP is living in EU. They pay lots of tax and have big social security nets. I guess an average EU person pays around 40-50% in tax, if they go unemployed they can get around 2000 EUR/month, many have partially pa...
by LazyInvestor
Wed Feb 17, 2016 12:12 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: What is a US dollar?
Replies: 53
Views: 22716

Re: What is a US dollar?

I think it's a FIAT currency that has become the world's currency of choice due to the economic development of US and the fact it was the last to remove gold backing. Compared to other FIAT currencies that are purely "violence-backed" to create a monopoly on money in a certain geographical...
by LazyInvestor
Mon Feb 15, 2016 6:27 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16759

Re: Permanent Portfolio is only for US

No need to hold CHF. One can get sufficient exposure to various currencies and market conditions by holding total world ETF for their equity part. I was thinking a bit more what I would do if I were living in one of the developed EU countries with heavy welfare: 1) calculate built in welfare support...
by LazyInvestor
Sat Feb 13, 2016 11:44 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16759

Re: Permanent Portfolio is only for US

Any of the passive portfolios will most likely do just fine over the long term (including EU-PP). So just stick with what you have decided on and use these discussions only to further your understanding and confidence in whatever portfolio you have chosen.
by LazyInvestor
Sat Feb 13, 2016 11:29 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bonds and Cash
Replies: 4
Views: 3612

Re: Bonds and Cash

If I were in Sweden, paying in tons of tax money and sitting on top of that world famous welfare system, I do not think I would even be holding any bonds. Or I would do some kind of calculation that takes into account the welfare available like if it is a part of my fixed income. For example, if you...
by LazyInvestor
Sat Feb 13, 2016 10:49 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio is only for US
Replies: 24
Views: 16759

Re: Permanent Portfolio is only for US

HB was emphasizing world crisis likes USD. USD crisis likes gold. Chinese, Russian, Australian, Canadian, South American, etc. currencies were all going down last year, and gold was just staying the same wrt USD. Any of these guys holding gold might have instead held USD and have the same effect in ...
by LazyInvestor
Thu Feb 11, 2016 5:54 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ultra low / negative interest rates in Germany
Replies: 101
Views: 48959

Re: ultra low / negative interest rates in Germany

So in the US, if interest rates get to the point of diminished returns, maybe swap out 10 year bonds instead of 30? Or even shorter? 5-7 year? What do people think? Just switch to a Bogleheads portfolio. No big deal. Long term it all boils down to pretty much the same with one road maybe a bit bump...
by LazyInvestor
Thu Feb 11, 2016 5:44 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ultra low / negative interest rates in Germany
Replies: 101
Views: 48959

Re: ultra low / negative interest rates in Germany

Yes, I think EU people should have a Bogleheads style portfolio with 10% or so gold.. not PP.. something like 40% short/intermediate treasuries, 10% gold, 50% total world market. EU bonds suck, the relationship between Euro and gold is not the same as USD and gold, immigration, crazy welfare systems...
by LazyInvestor
Thu Feb 11, 2016 2:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Trading sucks
Replies: 1
Views: 1740

Trading sucks

Sold my PHYS position (~5% of my PP) and told myself I'll buy IAU in few days after a small pullback. Gold is up 2% since then. So frustrating :-). Trading sucks even more than Sprott :-). I guess I'll wait few more days for a real pullback :-( edit: ~3% up.. I guess I'll just buy stocks today so it...
by LazyInvestor
Tue Feb 02, 2016 3:07 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ultra low / negative interest rates in Germany
Replies: 101
Views: 48959

Re: ultra low / negative interest rates in Germany

Just imagine the upside at the point when 30 yrs German bonds are paying -2.0%. You'll have great returns if you buy at 1%.
by LazyInvestor
Thu Jan 28, 2016 8:01 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Treasury trades at Fidelity
Replies: 8
Views: 4888

Re: Treasury trades at Fidelity

Thanks for links!