Search found 527 matches

by Jack Jones
Tue May 02, 2023 10:21 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Price/Total Discrepancy
Replies: 12
Views: 7486

Re: Price/Total Discrepancy

In addition to what I wrote above, keep an eye on interest payments. This is the answer. When you purchase the bill/bond/note, you pay the "price" plus any unpaid accrued interest - which rightly belongs to the seller. Would this apply to a bond purchased at auction? Also, Dualstow: inter...
by Jack Jones
Tue May 02, 2023 5:38 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Price/Total Discrepancy
Replies: 12
Views: 7486

Price/Total Discrepancy

Hi all, I recently bought some LTT at auction. Vanguard reports that I purchased: Quantity: 9,000 Price: 99.34 Amount: -8995.81 However, these numbers don't add up for me: 9 x 99.34 = 8940.60 It's as if Vanguard charged fees or commissions of $55.21 for this purchase even though the transaction says...
by Jack Jones
Fri Mar 24, 2023 6:11 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: ChatGPT and what it means for our future
Replies: 135
Views: 57014

Re: ChatGPT and what it means for our future

Version 4 is scarily smart. I don’t have access. I’m just going by the Cinderella example on the front page. wow. 🤯 Yeah I thought the test scores were interesting: 710/800 on SAT reading+ writing 700/800 SAT Math https://openai.com/research/gpt-4 4/5 and 5/5 on the AP exams. I believe there is a w...
by Jack Jones
Mon Mar 20, 2023 10:51 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 475900

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

Xan wrote: Wed Mar 15, 2023 8:59 am So... Is it stupid to have money in any bank that isn't one of these?
I opened an account at JP Morgan yesterday!
by Jack Jones
Mon Mar 20, 2023 10:48 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 475900

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

While the FDIC was stepping in to make all depositors whole at SVB, the Fed was setting up the lifeline for all depository institutions called the Bank Term Funding Program. Pretty cool, they will make term loans to institutions on assets AT PAR. So if a bank holds a bond or MBS portfolio that has ...
by Jack Jones
Mon Mar 20, 2023 10:32 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 475900

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

So, does this mean that FDIC is now set at infinity? Some clarity needed. I can't imagine what it was like for hundreds, maybe thousands of entrepreneurs and management who went through maybe the worst 24-48 hours of their careers through no fault of their own. Let's see what this week brings. Alth...
by Jack Jones
Mon Mar 20, 2023 10:24 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silicon Valley Bank Failure
Replies: 130
Views: 475900

Re: Silicon Valley Bank Failure

glennds wrote: Sun Mar 12, 2023 1:09 pm
Mark Leavy wrote: Fri Mar 10, 2023 11:48 pm

And then the unimaginable happened. Rising interest rates. Kaboom.

A lot of regional banks are in the same position.

If the Feds raise rates, more banks go under.
If they don't raise rates, inflation stays high.
Jerome Powell not feeling irie this weekend
O0
by Jack Jones
Wed Mar 15, 2023 9:48 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 239
Views: 123528

Re: BTC in the PP

This violent upward move in Bitcoin over just the past day or two was enough to hit a rebalancing band for me. Dang. Talk about volatile. As Operation Choke Point 2.0 is underway (1.0 was an Obama-era program) w/ the goal of unbanking the crypto sector, you can expect more volatility. I believe thi...
by Jack Jones
Tue Mar 14, 2023 12:12 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
Replies: 33
Views: 20862

Re: Stock Picking in the PP

Jack Jones wrote: Tue Jan 31, 2023 12:22 pm Losers:
CIGI (-19%)
FRC (-17%)
AAPL (-16%)
TAC (-15%)
FDX(-14%)
FRC: First Republic Bank of California is taking me for a ride. HODLing because PP and it's not time to rebalance.
by Jack Jones
Sun Mar 12, 2023 2:47 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
Replies: 33
Views: 20862

Re: Stock Picking in the PP

That's my question, though, is whether it fits in with the HBPP mentality. He seems to be saying to pick stocks with high risk/reward for better rebalancing opportunities. Would HB say to put all your stock allocation into SCV rather than splitting half and half between SCV and LCG? Or is there som...
by Jack Jones
Sun Mar 12, 2023 2:38 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 239
Views: 123528

Re: BTC in the PP

Here in the UK we're starting to see 'investigations' down to even relatively small amounts. Banks are obligated to flag 'suspicious' activities where that isn't clearly defined, but where if banks are identified as having partaken of moving 'illegal' money they could land in hot water, so as ever ...
by Jack Jones
Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:05 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
Replies: 33
Views: 20862

Re: Stock Picking in the PP

Over 20 years ago I was (good) brainwashed by William Bernstein's books that in the long run one will be better off by using index funds rather than to select individual stocks that are in the index fund's sector of investing. One is far better off accepting the market average than trying to beat t...
by Jack Jones
Fri Mar 03, 2023 11:03 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
Replies: 33
Views: 20862

Re: Stock Picking in the PP

I dumped a bunch of VTSAX today and substituted for it about 20 individual stocks picked to roughly mirror what's going on in PRPFX and the Permanent Portfolio Aggressive Growth Fund. It's one of the few moves I've felt really good about lately. And I'm loving having individual companies to root fo...
by Jack Jones
Thu Mar 02, 2023 5:50 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
Replies: 33
Views: 20862

Re: Stock Picking in the PP

Here is what HB has to say on the topic. . . For the Permanent Portfolio, a stock-market investment should have these attributes: The Permanent Portfolio's stock-market investments, as a group, should reflect a broad spectrum of American enterprise; they shouldn't be tied to a signle industry or na...
by Jack Jones
Wed Mar 01, 2023 12:44 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
Replies: 33
Views: 20862

Re: Stock Picking in the PP

Here is what HB has to say on the topic. All HB quotes from Why The Best Laid Investment Plans...: For the Permanent Portfolio, a stock-market investment should have these attributes: Market relationship: The investment should have a strong tendency to move in the same direction as the general stock...
by Jack Jones
Mon Feb 13, 2023 12:37 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Gardens
Replies: 9
Views: 1921

Re: Gardens

What are y'all growing? I just got a Smith fig tree that I am itching to plant. Just a few more days... I've been growing tomatoes, strawberries, cannabis, kale, and bush beans. I have a few apple and peach trees going too; they are more of a long term project. For the past two years, we only harve...
by Jack Jones
Fri Feb 03, 2023 6:40 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 239
Views: 123528

Re: BTC in the PP

Very creative definition of tithe O0 Seems appropriate: A portion of one's annual income contributed voluntarily or due as a tax, especially a contribution of one tenth of one's income for the support of the clergy or church. Unrelated. I was wondering why the feds are so concerned about cryptocurr...
by Jack Jones
Wed Feb 01, 2023 9:00 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 239
Views: 123528

Re: BTC in the PP

My thoughts on this have evolved a bit. There are different roles to play in the Bitcoin space. They include miners, speculators, true-believers, capitalists. These roles are not mutually exclusive; you can play multiple at the same time. I am a capitalist and true-believer: I have wealth to allocat...
by Jack Jones
Tue Jan 31, 2023 12:22 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock Picking in the PP
Replies: 33
Views: 20862

Re: Stock Picking in the PP

Just an update on this, I went through with it, and it's been fun. Unexpected joys like proxy voting and buying products from companies that I own. It's been interesting to see the winners and losers of companies I selected from across the economy. I tried to focus on high-beta companies (HB) that a...
by Jack Jones
Tue Jan 31, 2023 12:08 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Twitter Files
Replies: 163
Views: 70416

Re: The Twitter Files

boglerdude wrote: Mon Dec 05, 2022 12:23 am > favorable to conservatives and libertarians

Oh no!
Where I'm from, the locals are terrified of libertarians. Democrats, Republicans, they can understand. Libertarians are a huge boogeyman for some reason.
by Jack Jones
Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:00 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Casino-Chip Society
Replies: 9
Views: 1351

Re: Casino-Chip Society

However, for purposes of this discussion I have what is called the Walmart test (or pick any large commercial entity that doesn't buy/sell trade precious metals). If they don't accept it, then it isn't "money." Nor is the USD money in Australia only the AUD is. US Gold Eagles pass your Wa...
by Jack Jones
Thu Dec 01, 2022 2:37 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Casino-Chip Society
Replies: 9
Views: 1351

Casino-Chip Society

https://brettscott.substack.com/p/casin ... ss-society

My takeaway is that I'll continue to cash out some of my chips into gold and Bitcoin.
by Jack Jones
Thu Nov 17, 2022 3:28 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: A history lesson for our crypto trolls
Replies: 24
Views: 4416

Re: A history lesson for our crypto trolls

I hope it works. The electricity usage is a problem. The electricity usage is what makes it fair and scarce. How else do you fairly distribute the money over time? Anyone can get paid to do the work to secure the network. It's similar to how gold has been fairly distributed over the centuries, peop...
by Jack Jones
Mon Nov 14, 2022 10:20 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: A history lesson for our crypto trolls
Replies: 24
Views: 4416

Re: A history lesson for our crypto trolls

There are so many things working against crypto that it almost has to fail, at least in this early phase. That's been my approach to it. If it ever becomes relatively stable and useful, then I'm interested. I have never felt the FOMO need to make money on it on the way up. I'm of the opinion that B...