Search found 87 matches

by Mike59
Fri Jan 30, 2015 8:57 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Hello! and brand new Canadian PP
Replies: 7
Views: 4224

Re: Hello! and brand new Canadian PP

Welcome fellow Canadian, hope you're not shoveling out of heavy snow like I did earlier! My canadian permanent portfolio is: Gold: 12.5% GTU.UN, 12.5% CGL Bonds: 25% XLB Stocks: 25% VXC Cash: Spread across some HISAs yield around 1.00% if I'm not mistaken A few considerations: - why are you holding ...
by Mike59
Sun Jan 25, 2015 9:40 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: GTU Is The Ideal PP ETF
Replies: 31
Views: 17601

Re: GTU Is The Ideal PP ETF

I say this from experience last year averaging in on GTU and seeing the discount keep getting lower and lower. Per my thread a few weeks ago, I managed to buy more at the bottom by luck when my paychecks became investable, and the position is up 20% YTD, I may end up rebalancing out of gold earlier ...
by Mike59
Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:01 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The pp is back!
Replies: 8
Views: 5839

Re: The pp is back!

Good post, I feel the same way. I started mine only last year, my bonds and gold have shot up quite a bit. The only problem now with all PP  sectors in the positive is deploying new funds and feeling like I'm "buying high", but that's the beauty of this model, tossing it toward whatever is...
by Mike59
Mon Jan 12, 2015 11:11 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: A Simpler Easier Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 12
Views: 7048

Re: A Simpler Easier Permanent Portfolio

How clear is the rebalancing strategy? The problem here is that you might sell gold (or need to dump into gold) and you have to contribute/draw to/from both stocks and bonds together. What if stocks and bonds start going in opposite direction, you'd be relying on the portfolio manager to balance bet...
by Mike59
Sun Jan 04, 2015 9:18 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2014 performance for a canadian permanent portfolio
Replies: 7
Views: 3608

Re: 2014 performance for a canadian permanent portfolio

Hey CanPP good to see a fellow Canadian on here. I use : Cash, GTU.UN/CGL (split 50/50), XLB and VXC, started this summer, hanging tough near a 25%x4 but I'm accumulating and working ...This is 95% of my portfolio, 5% is play money for market timing and so far Im terrible at that. I previously held ...
by Mike59
Sun Jan 04, 2015 9:08 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Small Cap Index Fund ETF instead of S&P 500 Index Fund ETF
Replies: 4
Views: 4013

Re: Small Cap Index Fund ETF instead of S&P 500 Index Fund ETF

For my Permanent Portfolio Stock Allocation, I'm using, IJR: iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index Fund ETF instead of IVV: iShares Core S&P 500 Index Fund ETF .  Is that a good substitute? Personally I don't like using small caps for one reason- the volatility is too high relative to other Perman...
by Mike59
Sat Dec 20, 2014 8:41 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold a Life Preserver for Russians
Replies: 19
Views: 6956

Re: Gold a Life Preserver for Russians

This will be an interesting pilot test for gold and looks like it's doing it's job, more 21st century currency crises to come? I'm hearing interest rates of 17% end of last week in Russia and people hoarding physical cash to spend it as soon as possible. I love how Putin blames the currency speculat...
by Mike59
Sat Dec 20, 2014 8:28 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: GTU way way below NAV, what's the lowest it can go?
Replies: 8
Views: 4488

GTU way way below NAV, what's the lowest it can go?

I'm amazed at how cheap this fund became this year. Sits today at a brutal -7.7% away from NAV: www.gold-trust.com/asset_value.htm The nice thing about rebalancing by addition is that I've bought through 2014 as low as -11% NAV when my gold dips relative to bonds/stocks/cash. I was around through th...
by Mike59
Fri Dec 19, 2014 4:09 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: RSXJ
Replies: 63
Views: 33052

Re: RSXJ

But as I mentioned here regarding GDX, this is not a short term trade. I may lose another 50% or more before its over. As one who bailed on mining stocks a while ago I'd be interested in your plan if assets like RSXJ or GDX tank another 50%. Do you stop loss, bail entirely or average down/hold and ...
by Mike59
Fri Dec 19, 2014 3:42 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Be Ruthless!
Replies: 3
Views: 3779

Re: Be Ruthless!

Good advice. As I hold the permanent portfolio longer, I realize that professional financial advice is not necessary. If we follow this idea it becomes buy low, sell high and it's all automated by your rebalancing bands. Even better that index ETFs with low MERs are advocated. I followed  silver bul...
by Mike59
Fri Dec 19, 2014 3:16 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Poll: Overall HBPP Performance for 2015
Replies: 1
Views: 1906

Re: Poll: Overall HBPP Performance for 2015

Seems like everyone but the US has a bleak outlook , cash is trash, and bonds don't have much more room to run upwards. I'm thinking 0-5%.
by Mike59
Fri Dec 19, 2014 3:13 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Poll: HBPP Component Predictions for 2015
Replies: 37
Views: 19278

Re: Poll: HBPP Component Predictions for 2015

Bonds and Stocks and US dollar all have had quite the run up. I think gold is long overdue for a mean reversion rally, it has my bet in 2015.
by Mike59
Wed Dec 10, 2014 6:29 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Mebane Faber's new ETF
Replies: 8
Views: 4862

Re: Mebane Faber's new ETF

Does he have a good or great record with his investing strategies? I have respect for Meb Faber's work, he seems like a smart person and has interesting ideas on his blog. I've kept an eye on  GTAA mainly with the hopes that he'd beat the market , but since inception (Nov 2010): GTAA: 2.1% TLT: 22....
by Mike59
Mon Dec 08, 2014 4:48 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold vs. gold miners
Replies: 8
Views: 5161

Re: Gold vs. gold miners

I dabbled in miners and silver on and off from 2010 until this year. It's a zero sum game. Youll get lucky in some cycles and double or triple your winners. In the next cycle youll get smacked around and lose half to three quarters of what you invested. I dont go anywhere near them anymore as temtpi...
by Mike59
Mon Dec 08, 2014 4:16 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How much do you keep in cash in a regular bank account?
Replies: 28
Views: 15198

Re: How much do you keep in cash in a regular bank account?

I think a good rule of thumb is to make sure your cash covers 1-2 years of all your expenses before building up the other three assets.  It could take that long in a SHTF scenario for things to get back to normal. I agree with this ^. I keep 12 months after tax living expenses in the chequing accou...