Search found 1111 matches
- Wed Dec 21, 2016 3:40 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold Coin Counterfeiting today
- Replies: 39
- Views: 24354
Re: Gold Coin Counterfeiting today
It could have been destructive or uneconomical testing, though
- Mon Dec 19, 2016 4:25 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Moving out of the PP
- Replies: 10
- Views: 8872
Re: Moving out of the PP
I want to get out, but I'm too stubborn and I know it'll just go up as soon as I do. The next time equities are way down, I might move out of other assets
- Tue Dec 06, 2016 1:03 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Traditional development
- Replies: 25
- Views: 14918
Re: Traditional development
All you had to do was buy in CA a couple decades ago. Taxes generally limited to 1% of assessed value, and assessment increases capped at 2% per year. Part of why our income taxes are high, but it's a good deal once you retire
- Sun Dec 04, 2016 8:56 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Traditional development
- Replies: 25
- Views: 14918
Re: Traditional development
Impact fees - These can work if the fees are large enough to support a SWR equal to the revenue needed to pay for services, right?
- Tue Nov 29, 2016 10:43 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337278
Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
dragoncar, I am curious, so the 3x SPY about doubled in the timeframe, how did the 3x gold and bond ETFs do? These numbers will be a bit off since I already rebalanced, but: SPXL +39.07% TMF -10.52% UGLD -12% All acquired 03/01/2016 (so the above would make SPXL 33.4% exposure, but as I said it was...
- Tue Nov 29, 2016 2:45 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337278
Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
Pulled the trigger on a rebalance. My 3xSPY was bouncing around 34-35% of exposure for a while. I was way up for a while, but now back to square one (very modest gain).
- Mon Nov 21, 2016 6:16 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: I like the odds
- Replies: 16
- Views: 11035
Re: I like the odds
There has to be a way around a preemptive pardon, if the corruption is worthy of prosecution in the first place, like many believe. You can only pardon for past acts. So Congress can order her to testify and she will either be made to tell all the gory details (likely further hurting the Democrat p...
- Wed Nov 16, 2016 12:04 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337278
Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
It will be fine...my initial foray was a year long drawdown from pretty much day 1 with well over 50% losses in UGLD. You have a big wad of cash and as I've mentioned several times, it is a near certainty that you will experience one asset going to zero over the course of a year. This is an aggress...
- Wed Nov 16, 2016 12:01 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The Electoral College
- Replies: 11
- Views: 10766
Re: The Electoral College
MG, 1. Forget why it was implemented this way. The result of getting rid of it will be to give huge population centers e.g. California, new York, etc etc more influence and other states less. Is that what you want or think is appropriate? Not more influence per capita. It's ridiculous the mind hoop...
- Mon Nov 14, 2016 2:45 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337278
- Mon Nov 14, 2016 12:59 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Anyone care to predict the future?
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4194
Re: Anyone care to predict the future?
Is that pp or S&p?MachineGhost wrote:Trifectas an exception but it is woefully statistically insignificant:
- Mon Nov 14, 2016 12:55 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Best Refrigerator Temperature to Keep Food Fresh
- Replies: 6
- Views: 3935
Re: Best Refrigerator Temperature to Keep Food Fresh
I keep mine at 33. Sometimes get frost on vegetables but not a big deal. Still get mold on food when I'm not fast enough
- Thu Nov 10, 2016 8:13 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Tallying of early votes
- Replies: 20
- Views: 8523
Re: Tallying of early votes
Any chance of getting caught happens well after the fact, but the penalties might be considerable (misrepresentation on a government form). It's sort of like cheating on your taxes. Lots of people do it, but more avoid it because even though the probability of getting caught is small, the penalties...
- Tue Nov 08, 2016 12:23 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Tallying of early votes
- Replies: 20
- Views: 8523
Re: Tallying of early votes
That makes more sense. I thought in 2000 they were saying that mail-in ballots basically were never counted unless the race was close enough that it would make a difference. That was a bit upsetting to me at the time. Gore won 270+ electoral votes if the FL Supreme Court had decided to wait to coun...
- Mon Nov 07, 2016 11:40 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Newbie question
- Replies: 22
- Views: 11574
Re: Newbie question
I use individual bonds, but check your trading platform/brokerage and see how they plan to make money off the trade. For example, I bought some using TD Ameritrade and it when I went to sell I got so-called "bids" that were 5% below the expected value. Wouldn't want to do a lot of trading ...
- Mon Nov 07, 2016 10:30 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Tallying of early votes
- Replies: 20
- Views: 8523
Re: Tallying of early votes
As far as I know, it's only ballots that have been returned and party ID that is tallied, not the actual vote counted. So for instance, hypothetically if 675K registered R's, 700K registered D's and 550K I's have returned early votes, they know the numbers returned, but they don't report who each p...
- Mon Nov 07, 2016 11:39 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Taxi Drivers are Racist!
- Replies: 3
- Views: 3509
Re: Taxi Drivers are Racist!
In restaurants, the differences in tipping could be explained by mutually destructive preconceptions (black people tip less therefore I give them worse service so they tip less). Is there evidence they also tip less for taxis? If a bunch of taxis passed me I think I'd tip more to the one that finall...
- Tue Nov 01, 2016 10:54 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Goodbye
- Replies: 27
- Views: 17557
Re: Goodbye
Just for the record, I still pop in now and then, though mostly as a lurker. While I will agree that the level of discourse is not up to its former standards, my main reason for not posting as much is simply that a lot of what is being posted are topics that have either been beaten to death or that...
- Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:59 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Hurricane Matthew
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4256
Re: Hermine
It's levioSAAHH
- Fri Sep 23, 2016 4:23 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17152
Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
I got a perfect score (100) and think the test was very well written
- Fri Sep 23, 2016 1:22 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Hand Holding
- Replies: 60
- Views: 23750
Re: Hand Holding
25 basis points is too much for a single raise. Just do 5 bp and nobody will bat an eye. If they did 5bp each quarter this year we'd almost be at 1/4 point and no overreaction. Boil the frog
- Thu Sep 22, 2016 1:01 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17152
Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
The classics questions are the ones with equal expected value, so would you rather have $500 or a 50/50 chance at $0/$1000. That makes sense I guess. I'd typically pick a sure thing all else being equal. Now if it's $500 vs 50/50 chance of $2000/0 I'd flip the coin. Usually you keep adjusting the va...
- Wed Sep 21, 2016 9:59 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17152
Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
I didn't even know what they were getting at with the whole "some experts think metals will go up do you sell your bonds?" Uh no I don't change my AA based on what "some experts" think
- Wed Sep 21, 2016 2:10 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17152
Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
Above average, but possibly a $200 gain is insignificant compared to my portfolio. If they example values were 10-100 times bigger I'd be far more cautious
- Fri Aug 26, 2016 9:50 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337278
Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
I understand futures in general but have no experience with them. I'd be interested in seeing a play by play for any paper trades you do to understand the mechanics involved