Search found 423 matches
- Thu Mar 17, 2022 2:56 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 1082534
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
By the way, I thought your native tongue would be really close to Russian, but I guess not? Both use Slavonic/Cyrillic alphabet, but more different words than common ones. Looking back, satellite tv does more for the West vs China, Russia and Iran than missiles ever could O0 For sure In general, I ...
- Tue Mar 15, 2022 4:11 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 1082534
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
How do you see this conflict ending, Vil? You know more than most of us, and I respect your opinion. Of course, nobody knows the what the future brings (that's why there is such a gyro forum ;) ). Though certainly the smell of this war has been floating around since several years and many people ha...
- Mon Mar 14, 2022 6:22 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 1082534
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Yes, indeed guys - keep commenting the ultra-lefts and do not bother about things you hardly understand. It's like I do comment the Super Bowl or the quality of Texas veal. ;D The war is the same as it was 3 weeks ago - man dying and their families are spread around Poland, Moldova, Romania and Bulg...
- Wed Feb 02, 2022 10:01 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Retiring in scary environment of 2022: Invest 100% of capital into PP now, or hold cash and deploy slowly to avoid SORR?
- Replies: 33
- Views: 7833
Re: Retiring in scary environment of 2022: Invest 100% of capital into PP now, or hold cash and deploy slowly to avoid S
I am genuinely interested what kind of advices you will receive- guess you will receive more of the same that you've already read in here. Personally, I have realized that the answer of most of those questions (yeah, you are not alone) is that there is no answer. PP can deep dive the next years. It ...
- Mon Jan 10, 2022 11:50 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2154201
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
See the top contenders in the list, sorted DESC by deaths/100K pop: TopContenders.jpg I do not really get how that small ( according to what I read in this thread) difference in deaths/100K between BG (452 deaths/100K) and USA (255 deaths/100K) is making such a difference? I guess its due to the pop...
- Sat Jan 08, 2022 9:33 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
- Replies: 135
- Views: 32809
Re: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
After having some time to think about it, I think the Golden Butterfly might be the ticket for investing my dad's estate money. This is how I ended investing my EUR stuff( on top of pure US PP kept in USD). Hegding US PP was a stupid initial move. Though I keep less stocks than pure GB (i.e. 30-35%...
- Thu Jan 06, 2022 12:53 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 2022 PP predictions
- Replies: 44
- Views: 9753
Re: 2022 PP predictions
I've been investing since the early 80s, so I've had a 40 year bull market in stocks and bonds. Actually, I feel a bit lucky in that aspect, that I started with US PP at the end of 2019/very beginning of 2020, which turned to be quite a good year (~15% for me). Before that I've never invested in bo...
- Thu Jan 06, 2022 8:41 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 2022 PP predictions
- Replies: 44
- Views: 9753
Re: 2022 PP predictions
And if we assume there is no some staggering lack of liquidity across the markets - where all those money will go ?
- Wed Jan 05, 2022 9:25 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
- Replies: 135
- Views: 32809
Re: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
... This is why kitces did his article on the red zone . That is when you are pre retirement through the early years of retirement and dollars are at their peak ….a hit can be years of money . Indeed, Kitces article is a good one. For any forum newcomers it would sound like - if you are young and h...
- Wed Jan 05, 2022 3:57 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
- Replies: 135
- Views: 32809
Re: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
I have high 6 digit sum in US PP and feel just fine. Though have other assets (land inclusive) too. Actually, the more I have the more risk averse I get. It's definitely one thing to lose 30% on 5000 USD, and just another on a million for example.. But that's just me.
- Tue Jan 04, 2022 7:30 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 2022 PP predictions
- Replies: 44
- Views: 9753
Re: 2022 PP predictions
Morgan Stanley predictions , I have no f*cking clue. Now reading "Trading Sardines" (by Linda Raschke, guess you know who she is). She confirms one can make millions in short term market moves, though long time predictions are next to impossible. She credits Taleb's 'swans' too ;D By the w...
- Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:57 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 2021 PP Returns
- Replies: 30
- Views: 6186
Re: 2021 PP Returns
Approx. 4% for me. The wage income for the last year was kind of a very good one, according to statistics I've seen I am in the top 20% of US households. So, personally I do not care too much about PP - its doing its business, I am doing mine.
- Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:49 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Bulgaria
- Replies: 10
- Views: 2202
Re: Bulgaria
God damn Vil, put down that Doom Juice and pick up a Hope Soda. I prefer the good old Reality-style Beer (which is the drink that lead me to PP and this forum, not the Doom Juice or the Hope Soda ;) ) On another note, here, in BG there are places for any taste, the ones you've mentioned are more fo...
- Thu Dec 30, 2021 3:16 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Bulgaria
- Replies: 10
- Views: 2202
Re: Bulgaria
Vil, here's an article I just saw about Bulgaria. Interesting! https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-pandemic-gives-new-hope-to-one-of-the-worlds-fastest-shrinking-countries-11640784601?st=qbzewo9kx8j3lx7&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink Xan , thanks for sharing. Well.. while there is certainl...
- Fri Dec 24, 2021 10:44 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Craig's Crawling Road Podcast
- Replies: 3
- Views: 1770
Re: Craig's Crawling Road Podcast
Vil, I know this is pathetic but I found exactly one episode of Craig's own podcast: the first one. I have a lot of Harry's Money Talk episodes, but only one Craig. Far from pathetic. I guess Craig himself might be the only source of those and tend to believe can reach him outside the premises of t...
- Thu Dec 23, 2021 5:00 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Safe Withdrawal Rates
- Replies: 46
- Views: 13309
Re: Safe Withdrawal Rates
https://dualmomentumsystems.com/?post=a-look-at-triad https://dualmomentumsystems.com/?post=permanent-portfolio-vs-triad This is the one you invented, right ? Though there is still a mystery behind it: Triad splits the portfolio into 1/3rds. Based on the lookback methodology (which I am not divulgi...
- Wed Dec 22, 2021 9:46 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2154201
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
regardless of your position on the vaccine and virus, Well, not sure it was ever mentioned by me, or you got the wrong impression from some of my posts, but I contracted Covid last spring (kids brought it from school). Afterwards got fully vaccinated too. Even though I still have good enough immune...
- Wed Dec 22, 2021 9:37 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2154201
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
Yes, its kind of unbelievable. Reading this thread I suspect we (i.e. humans, supposedly there are no robots posting here, even having some repeatable statements here and there ;) ) fall prey of what I call "context-bias" - we think what we see outside our window is the weather all over th...
- Wed Dec 22, 2021 6:42 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Yay PP!
- Replies: 268
- Views: 63925
Re: Yay PP!
.. whether equity-heavy portfolios like his will experience regression to the mean. On a funny note, a very old post (dragoncar, 2015, but I vividly recall it), related to what might be referred as the "Golden Bitching"-PP portoflio ;D I find bitching is just a regular part of the PP. It'...
- Wed Dec 22, 2021 4:23 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2154201
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
A close friend of mine is just now visiting Sweden. He reports that there is no masking whatsoever, and everything appears to be "normal". Come on, Swedish folks are amateurs - read on below ... Moreover, they have 80+ % of vaccinated people ! Here, we have just a bit over 30% of fully va...
- Tue Dec 21, 2021 3:20 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Yay PP!
- Replies: 268
- Views: 63925
Re: Yay PP!
I moved to a PP in order to protect the wealth already created as I hopefully glide towards retirement. +1 gazillion, exactly the same reason why I landed on PP. Moreover, still can't see (drug dealing also not being an option) how I can earn from investing the amount of money I am getting from my ...
- Mon Dec 20, 2021 10:06 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Podcasts
- Replies: 80
- Views: 29435
Re: Podcasts
No worries, I am not in hurry. In any case your willingness to help is highly appreciated
- Sun Dec 19, 2021 5:59 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Safe Withdrawal Rates
- Replies: 46
- Views: 13309
Re: Safe Withdrawal Rates
The MMM I know (always thought its some Canadian Boggleheads version), ERE - completely ignorant about, will check it. Thanks for those. EDIT: Had a glance over couple of topics on the ERE site and the suggested reads ("How I found freedom in unfree world" being one of those). A bit too ex...
- Sat Dec 18, 2021 2:04 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Safe Withdrawal Rates
- Replies: 46
- Views: 13309
Re: Safe Withdrawal Rates
Krieg , what all those TLAs that you discovered mean - ERE, MMM ? I wish to discover them too .. MJ , thanks for sharing this article. I can't understand how with the bond tent and V-shaped stock allocation, portfolio continues its almost exponential growth - maybe higher annual contributions done ...
- Sat Dec 18, 2021 1:05 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Podcasts
- Replies: 80
- Views: 29435
Re: Podcasts
• Craig was a guest on what podcast? Yes, he was, long ago. Actually, even not one, but two appearances - thevoluntarylife podcast (there is also link to it from AdOrientem's blogspot...) and also this one - survival podcast . As for surival podcast can recall a very early discussion between you an...