Search found 1365 matches
- Tue Apr 11, 2017 12:33 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Trump and Syria
- Replies: 101
- Views: 43608
Re: Trump and Syria
Pat Buchanan is even suggesting it might be a false flag operation. Pat Buchanan, ugh. He says a lot of things, and most of them should be ignored. 10 years ago I would have agreed with you completely. Nowadays, I find I agree with most of what Buchanan says. What does he say that you don't like?
- Tue Apr 11, 2017 12:31 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Nobody believes in the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 163
- Views: 87516
Re: Nobody believes in the Permanent Portfolio
Try: 15% Total Stock Market 15% Mid cap Value 25% Small cap Value 20% Long term Treasuries 25% Gold Modeljc Butterfly? 7.7% REAL RETURNS That might be why NO BELIEVES IN THE PERMANENT PORTFOLIO? PP RETURNS ARE SMALL AND BORING AND WE ALL HOPE FOR MORE Add in 10% to 15% cash, by removing say 5% SCV ...
- Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:29 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Options in 401k when i cannot implement PP
- Replies: 7
- Views: 6510
Re: Options in 401k when i cannot implement PP
If you have more than say 15 years to retirement, I might recommend 40% to 50% in the Total Stock etf, as long as you can convince yourself that you won't sell during the inevitable downturns. When those downturns come, you just have to tell yourself that stocks will turn around at some point. The l...
- Sat Apr 08, 2017 4:01 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Trump and Syria
- Replies: 101
- Views: 43608
Re: Trump and Syria
So, for stuper1 and Tenn, since most/much of the mainstream media is throwing God out of our culture and replacing Him with hedonism, I assume you think they are wrong and there really is a God the source of all truth, in charge of all that was, is and will be, including President Trump? Thus, resi...
- Fri Apr 07, 2017 9:34 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Trump and Syria
- Replies: 101
- Views: 43608
Re: Trump and Syria
Let's assume for the moment that Assad did use poison gas, which as I said before, seems very implausible to me. Do you think he's an idiot? But anyway, let's assume that he did, and that he killed 82 people including children by doing so. Okay, he's a bad guy, I get it. I don't really care if he ki...
- Fri Apr 07, 2017 1:05 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Trump and Syria
- Replies: 101
- Views: 43608
Re: Trump and Syria
I'm highly skeptical of the proof of chemical weapons use. Why would Assad use chemical weapons now? It seems like he has been winning lately. Why would he risk raising international ire? He has plenty of other "approved" ways of killing people. Doesn't it seem fishy that all of a sudden h...
- Fri Mar 24, 2017 12:13 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Integrating retirement fund into PP
- Replies: 7
- Views: 5454
Re: Integrating retirement fund into PP
What are the expense ratios on those two options?
What has the performance of the default fund been over the years?
What has the performance of the default fund been over the years?
- Thu Mar 23, 2017 2:11 pm
- Forum: Stocks
- Topic: Emerging Markets
- Replies: 14
- Views: 18993
Re: Emerging Markets
Emerging markets are a fine component to a portfolio in the right dosage. Tyler, I have a question about your portfoliocharts.com website. Do you have a calculator that will do something like the following: I pick a certain number of specific assets, say 2 to 10 specific assets. Then, I ask the cal...
- Wed Mar 22, 2017 4:12 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Nobody believes in the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 163
- Views: 87516
Re: Nobody believes in the Permanent Portfolio
To the stance that we should not invest in all assets equally since the chance of outcome is not 25% - The PP is designed for ALL economic environments, not only those that happen more or less frequently. Which is why, to me, the PP seems like a great retirement portfolio. But for an accumulation p...
- Wed Mar 22, 2017 2:12 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Gorsuch confirmation hearings
- Replies: 8
- Views: 3399
Re: Gorsuch confirmation hearings
Maddy, I really enjoy your posts. So often very funny and/or thought provoking.
- Tue Mar 21, 2017 11:27 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Nobody believes in the Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 163
- Views: 87516
Re: Nobody believes in the Permanent Portfolio
No, we are not wrong, because we believe in passive, low-expense-ratio, well-diversified investing. In fact, our investing is actually better diversified than the typical stock/bond portfolio, because we also hold a valuable commodity (gold) which is uncorrelated with stocks/bonds. You only have to ...
- Fri Mar 10, 2017 5:36 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: 900 Lb. Gorilla In The Room
- Replies: 14
- Views: 6949
Re: 900 Lb. Gorilla In The Room
I don't know when the end of the dollar will come. Neither does anyone else, because it cannot be known in advance. But that it will end one day is about as certain as anything other than the laws of physics. BTW, there is only one circumstance in which a person of moderate means can multiply his w...
- Tue Feb 14, 2017 9:51 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: FATCA and offshore gold holdings
- Replies: 48
- Views: 26989
Re: FATCA and offshore gold holdings
Will the Perth Mint keep track of your cost basis for all of your monthly investments into perpetuity? Otherwise, you will need to track that yourself for tax purposes, which seems like a pain to me.
- Tue Feb 14, 2017 3:26 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: FATCA and offshore gold holdings
- Replies: 48
- Views: 26989
Re: FATCA and offshore gold holdings
Thanks, Sophie. Definitely sounds like this could be a good option for off-shore gold with reasonable fees for those of us who aren't quite yet in the Rothschild category. One thing I'm not quite clear on is about possible currency conversion issues. Do your U.S. dollars get converted to Australian ...
- Tue Feb 14, 2017 11:45 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: FATCA and offshore gold holdings
- Replies: 48
- Views: 26989
Re: FATCA and offshore gold holdings
Sophie, what are the fees for the Perth Mint depository online program?
- Sun Feb 05, 2017 11:13 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold as a Diversifier
- Replies: 24
- Views: 11498
Re: Gold as a Diversifier
The guy over at Bogleheads in that link you posted said that gold's outperformance was only due to 1970 to 1975 returns. I do wish that portfoliocharts.com would give you the option to ignore those years, because I do believe that they could be misleading. In fact, there is one calculator, the Bench...
- Sun Feb 05, 2017 10:40 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold as a Diversifier
- Replies: 24
- Views: 11498
Re: Gold as a Diversifier
Have you been to India? I haven't, but I'm guessing people there won't be slowing down on their gold purchases any time real soon. Maybe in 200 years. In the meantime, I like how in very recent history having gold in the portfolio has smoothed out the returns considerably. I don't like those 10-year...
- Sun Feb 05, 2017 9:31 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold as a Diversifier
- Replies: 24
- Views: 11498
Re: Gold as a Diversifier
Okay, I think I got it figured out. I edited the original post, and now it seems to be working. Does anybody want to take a crack at answering the question I posted at the end? Thanks.
- Sun Feb 05, 2017 7:39 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold as a Diversifier
- Replies: 24
- Views: 11498
Re: Gold as a Diversifier
Did I do something wrong? How come my images don't show up? This is my first time trying to post images.
- Sun Feb 05, 2017 7:37 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold as a Diversifier
- Replies: 24
- Views: 11498
Gold as a Diversifier
One of my favorite calculators at portfoliocharts.com is the withdrawal rates calculator that shows safe withdrawal rates for retirement portfolios. (BTW, thanks Tyler for making all of these awesome toys to play with on your website!!!) Below are safe withdrawal rates for a conservative portfolio w...
- Sun Feb 05, 2017 6:44 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: New to Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 45
- Views: 31913
Re: New to Permanent Portfolio
Hey blue ruin, great post. Of course I'd heard that parable before, but it really is appropriate for thinking about permanent portfolio performance. It seems that at least one asset is always looking bad, and that the asset that goes up to help is often the one least expected to do so.
- Sat Jan 28, 2017 4:04 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Performance for 2016
- Replies: 101
- Views: 65179
Re: PP Performance for 2016
What portfolio(s) would you recommend for younger people?Kbg wrote:The PP is not a good grow your assets over the long term portfolio. There is no risk premia in 50% of the portfolio. I categorically do not recommend it for younger people (unless you leverage it and know how to do that properly).
- Wed Jan 18, 2017 5:25 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Renewable electricity sources are now a no-brainer
- Replies: 131
- Views: 67105
Re: Renewable electricity sources are now a no-brainer
Agreed also, and I know you get it, PS, it's just that the cartoon you posted seems to me to sort of lean in the opposite direction just a little, providing some cover for the smug do-gooders who really have no idea what they are talking about. I'm not disagreeing with anything you've said. If alter...
- Wed Jan 18, 2017 2:23 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Renewable electricity sources are now a no-brainer
- Replies: 131
- Views: 67105
Re: Renewable electricity sources are now a no-brainer
Agreed, the externalities of fossil fuels should also be included. My own gut feel is that if that were the case, the price of gasoline at the pump would be maybe double or triple, which would cause some big changes in our society, which is fine with me. I'm just tired of the media shoving something...
- Wed Jan 18, 2017 1:05 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Renewable electricity sources are now a no-brainer
- Replies: 131
- Views: 67105
Re: Renewable electricity sources are now a no-brainer
What if it's a big hoax, and we create an even bigger national and global government for nothing?
Having said that, I have nothing against green energy, as long as it makes sense after considering all externalities.
Having said that, I have nothing against green energy, as long as it makes sense after considering all externalities.