Search found 130 matches

by k9
Wed Nov 06, 2013 8:24 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Noflation
Replies: 26
Views: 14217

Re: Noflation

Yes, I think the political factor has to be taken into consideration and it is not taken into consideration at all in the "academic" 2X2 grid. If the government (or a supra-national organization, like, say, IMF, or ECB for us European citizens) wants to steal my property (there are many wa...
by k9
Sun Oct 13, 2013 6:14 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Buying real estate....pay cash or get a mortgage?
Replies: 23
Views: 11100

Re: Buying real estate....pay cash or get a mortgage?

Sure. Gold is too valuable IMHO to be substituted by anything else, even physical real estate. But I think buying too much gold on leverage is pretty risky, too. The hard part is finding the right balance... Do not use leverage if there is any possibility, no matter how seemingly remote, of getting...
by k9
Fri Oct 11, 2013 4:41 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Buying real estate....pay cash or get a mortgage?
Replies: 23
Views: 11100

Re: Buying real estate....pay cash or get a mortgage?

Sure. Gold is too valuable IMHO to be substituted by anything else, even physical real estate. But I think buying too much gold on leverage is pretty risky, too. The hard part is finding the right balance...
by k9
Thu Oct 10, 2013 4:23 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Buying real estate....pay cash or get a mortgage?
Replies: 23
Views: 11100

Re: Buying real estate....pay cash or get a mortgage?

As a side note,  Bill Bernstein's latest book, Deep Risk, seems to add some interesting thoughts on this debate:  (1)  inflation is the far more likely economic risk scenario in modern times, (2) Gold has had more deflationary rather than inflationary protection, and (3) (I think he said) a 30 year...
by k9
Thu Oct 10, 2013 2:37 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Helvetia Swiss 20 Franc
Replies: 5
Views: 4550

Re: Helvetia Swiss 20 Franc

I don't know if that's of any use to a US purchaser (they are a UK dealer), but I buy all my online coins from coininvestdirect.com . They have a very good service as far as I can tell and they can sell 20F coins (or others) one by one.
by k9
Tue Oct 08, 2013 10:10 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Beard
Replies: 26
Views: 14940

Re: Beard

I shave only once in a while, because the process of shaving is painful (I have thick facial hair I guess) and takes time. But after a while, I usually get fed up with it for various reasons and finally shave.
by k9
Sat Sep 07, 2013 3:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Error : 100% in one BROKER
Replies: 28
Views: 14012

Re: Error : 100% in one BROKER

Yes, if I was investing in LT bonds, I would hold them directly.
by k9
Fri Sep 06, 2013 5:16 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: A change of heart about the PP after reading another Harry book
Replies: 43
Views: 34237

Re: A change of heart about the PP after reading another Harry book

That's an interesting topic. I think the "one-size-fit-all" of the PP is a little problematic. For example : someone with a government job ; not necessarily US, I'm talking about what I know : in France, they are very safe ; you cannot lose it unless you make a bad mistake or unless France...
by k9
Fri Sep 06, 2013 3:27 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Error : 100% in one BROKER
Replies: 28
Views: 14012

Re: Error : 100% in one BROKER

The good part I think though is that equities actually stay in your name, in my current broker at least. I need to find out if the 100k covers cash and equities combined. In France, equities (from EU only) are insured too (and that's another insurance, so that's 100k for cash, 100k for equities). E...
by k9
Fri Aug 09, 2013 6:48 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Suggestions for 5x20?
Replies: 23
Views: 13355

Re: Suggestions for 5x20?

5th condition : stagflation because of high energy prices (peak oil, etc.). Then, either energy commodities or forest land.
by k9
Wed Jul 17, 2013 4:54 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: That "other" investment forum is really retarded
Replies: 57
Views: 24017

Re: That "other" investment forum is really retarded

As for me, I hate it when websites open a new tab without asking for the permission. I'd rather do it myself, and open links in another tab if I want to, and in the same one if I prefer.

So hard to satisfy everyone ;)
by k9
Thu Jul 11, 2013 9:31 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Why aren't there dividends from gold?
Replies: 15
Views: 7481

Re: Why aren't there dividends from gold?

1. Who would want to borrow gold? Other than miners, who could theoretically repay in kind, and bullion banks, who don't repay at all, there aren't many possible borrowers. Short sellers might want to do that. I borrow gold, I sell it high, and buy it back low (hopefully) to pay back my golden debt...
by k9
Sat Jun 08, 2013 11:49 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: In France, we are not allowed anymore to send precious metals
Replies: 3
Views: 2616

In France, we are not allowed anymore to send precious metals

There's a new law in France that has been put into application : the postal services shall not be used anymore to send precious metals, especially gold & silver bullions. There is no real justification for that and the law is not well known yet (many professional bullion dealers do not seem to h...
by k9
Sat Jun 08, 2013 8:15 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Assumptions you didn't know you've made
Replies: 41
Views: 17432

Re: Assumptions you didn't know you've made

smurff wrote: I always thought you were the K9 who used to hang with Doctor Who.
No, I'm not. I'm a Mark IV.
by k9
Fri Jun 07, 2013 4:38 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Assumptions you didn't know you've made
Replies: 41
Views: 17432

Re: Assumptions you didn't know you've made

For those wondering, my avatar is sibyllin : yes, I AM a robot dog. From another planet. From the future. Please consider updating your assumptions.
by k9
Fri May 03, 2013 9:15 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: What % of your PP gold is physical?
Replies: 70
Views: 30021

Re: What % of your PP gold is physical?

I'm only holding physical gold. I don't like having too many people between my assets and I, especially with gold (which is supposed to protect me against financial & political maëlstroms). I think I could cope with a little part of it with ETFs, for rebalancing reasons, but I haven't done it y...
by k9
Thu May 02, 2013 8:00 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Anybody Else Feel Like Gold and Stocks Move In Tandem More Often Than Not?
Replies: 4
Views: 3126

Re: Anybody Else Feel Like Gold and Stocks Move In Tandem More Often Than Not?

I personally think that market participants are more worried about deflation than inflation. In that environment it would make sense for gold and stocks to move in tandem. Yep. Both gold & stocks are supposed to be affected by swings from (anticipated) deflation to (anticipated) inflation and v...
by k9
Thu May 02, 2013 7:58 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: What % of your PP gold is physical?
Replies: 70
Views: 30021

Re: What % of your PP gold is physical?

I'm only holding physical gold. I don't like having too many people between my assets and I, especially with gold (which is supposed to protect me against financial & political maëlstroms). I think I could cope with a little part of it with ETFs, for rebalancing reasons, but I haven't done it ye...
by k9
Thu Mar 21, 2013 7:29 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Cyprus: 10% Savings confiscation
Replies: 114
Views: 41035

Re: Cyprus: 10% Savings confiscation

The market sets the prices of those assets. I don't know if shares/bond prices had already priced in the risk lately but anyone loaning money or owning shares in institutions that make these risky loans is playing with fire. They aren't anymore responsible then depositors though. When you can't pay...
by k9
Mon Mar 18, 2013 4:37 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Cyprus: 10% Savings confiscation
Replies: 114
Views: 41035

Re: Cyprus: 10% Savings confiscation

Having depositor's lose money is the best solution. It doesn't matter if they have a lot or a little. The market has been overvaluing the promises of government. The government can't suspend the laws of economics. Well, you can't be more wrong actually. What the government is doing is precisely goi...
by k9
Wed Jan 23, 2013 10:32 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Very confused about domestic/international stock allocation
Replies: 22
Views: 11423

Re: Very confused about domestic/international stock allocation

I don't understand that geographical bias in the PP. That's called market timing : it is precisely the same as saying "I think industrial stocks will far outperform other stocks, so I invest 90% in industrial stocks, 10% in other stocks" or "I think small caps will far outperform big ...
by k9
Tue Jan 22, 2013 7:52 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Why is there still inflation in Greece?
Replies: 5
Views: 2118

Re: Why is there still inflation in Greece?

Yep, a wonderful scissor effect. While they endure income deflation (both wages and welfare state went down), they have to face inflation for all the many imported goods.
by k9
Tue Jan 22, 2013 7:49 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: How one man escaped from a North Korean prison camp
Replies: 12
Views: 6465

Re: How one man escaped from a North Korean prison camp

That's interesting. Thanks for the link.
by k9
Fri Jan 11, 2013 3:32 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Shall we buy GOLD+Silver coins for any "disaster" ? 6 MONTHS expenses
Replies: 4
Views: 2531

Re: Shall we buy GOLD+Silver coins for any "disaster" ? 6 MONTHS expenses

I think it's a very good idea ! Now, gold or silver ? As I said in other posts, physical precious metals are useful in a quite-SHTF like Argentina as they can be changed at a local dealer against a local currency of some sort (say, pesos or dollars) ; then you would use that currency. So, gold or si...
by k9
Thu Jan 10, 2013 9:34 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Most Appealing Aspect of PP Strategy
Replies: 27
Views: 15167

Re: Most Appealing Aspect of PP Strategy

I THINK gold would be better based on recent examples, or precisely silver would do no better. If bartering small items becomes widespread, there won't be enough people having silver coins, anyway. Barter would probably be based on everyday's items, say, an egg for a lemon, something like that. You ...