Search found 2464 matches

by buddtholomew
Mon Sep 26, 2011 1:30 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Weather the Storm...
Replies: 40
Views: 19563

Weather the Storm...

Unrealized gains in GLD have evaporated. Does a PP investor sit on their hands and weather the storm? Un-nerving and unsettling to say the least.
by buddtholomew
Fri Sep 23, 2011 6:25 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Funds
Topic: PRPFX Got A Little Bloodied Today
Replies: 34
Views: 24304

Re: PRPFX Got A Little Bloodied Today

Gumby wrote: A storm is coming. The flight to cash has begun. Time to close up the windows.
Gumby-

What are you suggesting? Is this comment specific to PRPFX, the HBPP or any investment other than Cash?

Best-
Budd
by buddtholomew
Wed Sep 21, 2011 3:55 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Great example of PP in action today...Look at TLT soar!
Replies: 15
Views: 6439

Re: Great example of PP in action today...Look at TLT soar!

Avoid looking at assets in isolation. The portfolio is down overall.
by buddtholomew
Sat Sep 10, 2011 4:20 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: how to convert exisiting portfolio to pp?
Replies: 5
Views: 3018

Re: how to convert exisiting portfolio to pp?

I can't buy equal amounts to have 25% splits because I already have 10% in stocks and 8% in gold and 90% in cash.
Just consider it as a re-balancing event and contribute the appropriate amounts to end up with 25% in each of the 4 asset classes.
by buddtholomew
Thu Sep 08, 2011 4:50 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Government Intervention in the Gold Market
Replies: 2
Views: 2409

Re: Government Intervention in the Gold Market

The article and commentary appear to speculate that the authorities are manipulating the price of gold. Where is the proof that government agencies are directly impacting commodity price movements?
by buddtholomew
Wed Sep 07, 2011 11:35 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tuesday Sept 6th Will Be Interesting for PP
Replies: 13
Views: 5343

Re: Tuesday Sept 6th Will Be Interesting for PP

TripleB-

Correct me if I am mistaken, but rebalancing with new contributions does not trim gains from assets that have appreciated in value. The approach merely restores the portfolio to its original risk profile of 4x25%.

Best-
Budd
by buddtholomew
Tue Sep 06, 2011 5:29 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tuesday Sept 6th Will Be Interesting for PP
Replies: 13
Views: 5343

Re: Tuesday Sept 6th Will Be Interesting for PP

Not anymore...we are slightly up for the day at market close. VTI: -.66% GLD: -.18% TLT: 1.04% SHV: .03 Of all people, I am sure you are pleased. Yes, the portfolio has performed admirably. However; I am still searching for options to "lock in" profits without incurring capital gains. Reb...
by buddtholomew
Tue Sep 06, 2011 3:08 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tuesday Sept 6th Will Be Interesting for PP
Replies: 13
Views: 5343

Re: Tuesday Sept 6th Will Be Interesting for PP

Not anymore...we are slightly up for the day at market close.

VTI: -.66%
GLD: -.18%
TLT: 1.04%
SHV: .03
by buddtholomew
Mon Sep 05, 2011 12:23 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Dollar Cost Averaging make sense for the HB PP?
Replies: 7
Views: 3770

Re: Dollar Cost Averaging make sense for the HB PP?

If you do decide to DCA, I would recommend contributing to each of the components equally.
by buddtholomew
Wed Aug 24, 2011 7:58 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Rebalancing gold
Replies: 19
Views: 11464

Re: Rebalancing gold

Thank you all for your valuable insight and recommendations. I have been working on viewing the portfolio as a whole and not scrutinizing the performance of each of the individual components. However; the recent movements in GLD has focused my attention on the impact a single holding can have on the...
by buddtholomew
Wed Aug 24, 2011 12:54 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Rebalancing gold
Replies: 19
Views: 11464

Re: Rebalancing gold

Thanks MediumTex. I realize that I am too emotionally invested in the gyrations of the portfolio on a day-to-day basis and would like nothing more than to tune out the noise. I transitioned from a 65/35 Boglehead portfolio for the PP and its reduced volatility, but have found that large moves in one...
by buddtholomew
Wed Aug 24, 2011 12:12 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Rebalancing gold
Replies: 19
Views: 11464

Re: Rebalancing gold

Continuing to watch the gains in GLD disappear. Wish there was a better plan to capture some of those gains without incurring taxes. This is a horrible experience...
by buddtholomew
Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:37 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Portfolio Maintenance - Guidance Requested
Replies: 8
Views: 4092

Re: Portfolio Maintenance - Guidance Requested

I like option #4 (the "buy lagging assets option"), so long as this makes sense from a trading cost and tax perspective.  When I have cash coming online for some reason, this is generally what I do. I look at it as an opportunity to get back to 4x25% without much risk of tax consequences....
by buddtholomew
Sun Aug 21, 2011 6:15 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Portfolio Maintenance - Guidance Requested
Replies: 8
Views: 4092

Re: Portfolio Maintenance - Guidance Requested

I personally would view this as a chance to safely speculate.  None of the options are wrong, so pick the one you think is going to do the best, and see if you're right. If it were me, I'd buy bonds. Very interesting perspective. Buying bonds was not one of the options I was considering. Would you ...
by buddtholomew
Sun Aug 21, 2011 3:45 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Portfolio Maintenance - Guidance Requested
Replies: 8
Views: 4092

Portfolio Maintenance - Guidance Requested

I have an additional 10K in Cash available for investment in a taxable account and am weighing the following options. I have a total of 10K in ST and LT capital gains incurred after selling PRPFX earlier this year and transitioning to the 4x25 HBPP. 1. Do nothing. All assets are well within their 15...
by buddtholomew
Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Rebalancing bands (poll)
Replies: 14
Views: 8186

Re: Rebalancing bands (poll)

I hold PP in taxable and tax considerations dictate when to rebalance. I maintain 10% additional in Cash (outside of PP) for rebalancing purposes and intend to contribute to the lagging asset/s to restore the allocation when 15% is breached. Taking a 28% short-term gain with 30+ years of investing b...
by buddtholomew
Wed Aug 17, 2011 11:41 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Another Rebalancing Question (15%)
Replies: 14
Views: 7588

Re: Another Rebalancing Question (15%)

Does rebalancing with new cash have the same impact on the portfolio as restoring a lagging asset to 25%? In other words, does it make sense to be fully invested in all assets and rebalance between the holdings, or have cash reserves to increase lagging assets to 25% of the portfolio when they fall ...
by buddtholomew
Thu Aug 11, 2011 8:29 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: U.S. 30-Year Bond Yield Rises Most Since 2008 on Concerns About Inflation
Replies: 5
Views: 3533

Re: U.S. 30-Year Bond Yield Rises Most Since 2008 on Concerns About Inflation

what concerns me the most about the PP,  warranted or not, is the behavior of the portfolio on an up day in the overall market. On days where the S&P performs well, the gain doesn't seem to offset the losses in Gold or Treasuries. Conversely, when the market tanks, Gold and Treasuries carry the ...
by buddtholomew
Sun Aug 07, 2011 6:51 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Nauseous
Replies: 44
Views: 20286

Re: Nauseous

I've spent many years at Diehards.org, A.K.A Bogleheads and always considered my portfolio as a whole. Today, I decided to look at the PP and VP components in isolation and realized that I am slightly underweight in equities to the tune of 3-4%. I plan to exchange FI for Stocks in the VP to 65/35 to...
by buddtholomew
Sat Aug 06, 2011 10:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Nauseous
Replies: 44
Views: 20286

Re: Nauseous

Thanks MediumTex for appeasing my concerns. I wish that I wasn't so emotionally invested in the ebbs and flows of the market and took a more objective and rational view of the volatility. I rebalanced my VP (60/40) and PP (taxable) this week and will continue to press forward. I hope that I don't ca...
by buddtholomew
Sat Aug 06, 2011 9:39 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Nauseous
Replies: 44
Views: 20286

Re: Nauseous

Since I don't see too many PP investors panicking over the recent downgrade in the credit rating, I'll share my perspective on the topic. I am fearful to the point of converting to cash in an attempt to protect investments from the trouncing I expect the portfolio to take next week. Am I irrational...
by buddtholomew
Sat Aug 06, 2011 12:59 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Nauseous
Replies: 44
Views: 20286

Re: Nauseous

Since I don't see too many PP investors panicking over the recent downgrade in the credit rating, I'll share my perspective on the topic. I am fearful to the point of converting to cash in an attempt to protect investments from the trouncing I expect the portfolio to take next week. Am I irrational ...
by buddtholomew
Fri Aug 05, 2011 8:00 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: LTT Performance
Replies: 2
Views: 3032

LTT Performance

I am not sure whether there is any merit to this theory, but was the decline in TT's today attributed to the ECB's decision to begin buying their own bonds? LTT yields in the US are substantially lower (less profit potential) than equivalent fixed income investments abroad (yields higher). Nevermind...
by buddtholomew
Thu Aug 04, 2011 4:06 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Yesterday's New Contribution Tanking Today
Replies: 12
Views: 8312

Re: Yesterday's New Contribution Tanking Today

As outlined in another thread, I too was in the same position as the OP. However; I decided to contribute to each of the asset classes (VTI - 55%, GLD, TLT and CASH - 45%) and restore the portfolio AA to 4x25%. At the end of the afternoon, I was down .085% more than if I had not invested any new mon...
by buddtholomew
Thu Aug 04, 2011 3:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Nauseous
Replies: 44
Views: 20286

Re: Nauseous

Storm wrote: I admit, today is a terrible day, but the simulated PP I started on August 1st is still up 0.8%.
I am not second guessing the PP, but rather questioning my timing in rebalancing the portfolio with new money.