Search found 230 matches

by Ugly_Bird
Fri Sep 17, 2021 9:26 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1778007

Re: The GOLD scream room

Great, me too. Where was gold though? Notice I don’t quibble about treasuries. Gold surged a little later, into late summer. Did it ever surge right away? It is uncorrelated asset. Whatever is happening right now just need to remember that the printing press is red hot ... all those stimulus money....
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Sep 16, 2021 9:25 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1778007

Re: The GOLD scream room

buddtholomew wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 8:57 am
Ugly_Bird wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 8:56 am
buddtholomew wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 8:46 am Fucking hell
Alien invasion, zombie apocalypse, WW III?
When you have 2M in piece of shit gold then we can talk.
2M in Au would correspond to about 8M in PP... or 320k a year at 4% withdrawal rate. LOL, no need to talk there but enjoy life :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Sep 16, 2021 8:56 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1778007

Re: The GOLD scream room

buddtholomew wrote: Thu Sep 16, 2021 8:46 am Fucking hell
Alien invasion, zombie apocalypse, WW III?
by Ugly_Bird
Mon May 24, 2021 8:05 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: IAU Reverse Split 5/24
Replies: 10
Views: 3542

Re: IAU Reverse Split 5/24

flyingpylon wrote: Mon May 24, 2021 6:47 am Just a heads-up for anyone with some IAU. They did a 1-for-2 reverse split effective 5/24/2021.
Yeah! I noticed +100% premarket and thought it was a glitch.
So, what that split means for us holders?
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Apr 08, 2021 3:39 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

glennds wrote: Thu Apr 08, 2021 3:15 pm
I'm not saying this will happen, but please someone tell me why it can't or won't.
In the US they did with gold... Can happen again... with gold... or crypto.
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:55 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

Has anybody here researched or gamed out the regulatory risks to BTC or all cryptocurrencies for that matter? By this I mean, what might happen if the US government, or a coalition of governments take the position that crypto is a destabilizing threat. This could happen in the context of another fi...
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:36 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

buddtholomew wrote: Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:28 am
Ugly_Bird wrote: Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:28 am
buddtholomew wrote: Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:26 am
Ugly_Bird wrote: Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:25 am GBTC is not tracking today. Is it kaput? :-)
Market holiday for Good Friday
Ah! Everything else is not tracking too :)
Haha, yes...day off :)
Not for real crypto though. Crypto never sleeps :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:28 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

buddtholomew wrote: Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:26 am
Ugly_Bird wrote: Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:25 am GBTC is not tracking today. Is it kaput? :-)
Market holiday for Good Friday
Ah! Everything else is not tracking too :)
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Apr 02, 2021 9:25 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

GBTC is not tracking today. Is it kaput? :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Tue Mar 30, 2021 12:35 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

If Bitcoin is banned it will be hard to sell bitcoin, that is clear. Folks investing in bitcoin should be prepared for such an event. It is nice to return your money before it happens. E.g. if it doubles just sell the half. And let the rest be (or keep selling the half when it doubles). No risk to ...
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Mar 12, 2021 3:06 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

doodle wrote: Fri Mar 12, 2021 2:32 pm Seems like bitcoins obsession in becoming a pricy speculative asset has undercut it's more interesting mission in becoming a viable means of marketplace exchange.
Sounds like about gold :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Mar 12, 2021 7:52 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LTT and SP500 funds at Fidelity?
Replies: 7
Views: 2566

Re: LTT and SP500 funds at Fidelity?

Fxaix is an excellent SP500 fund. Personally I’d stay away from total market funds. They have a ton of crap companies in them. If someone wants to add mid and/or small cap buy a fund that is based on the sp400 and/or sp600. Head on over to portfolio visualizer and run Russell vs. S&P index fund...
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Mar 11, 2021 4:59 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LTT and SP500 funds at Fidelity?
Replies: 7
Views: 2566

Re: LTT and SP500 funds at Fidelity?

Thank you for your reply Bonds are great to buy on Fidelity, but if you ever want to sell them without having to spend an hour or two on the phone, make sure to buy in lots of at least $10,000 (Face value). Also, having part of your bond allocation in FNGBX (mutual fund) gives you a nice mix of puri...
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Mar 11, 2021 3:30 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

I still don't believe in it but my very small slice of gbtc is up 30% since I bought it last week. Yes, finally GBTC is doing better after the premium sunk. At what price you are planning to start selling it? I will probably sell half if it doubles. Every day has been up day since I had it. Sure fe...
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Mar 11, 2021 2:38 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

whatchamacallit wrote: Thu Mar 11, 2021 2:12 pm I still don't believe in it but my very small slice of gbtc is up 30% since I bought it last week.
Yes, finally GBTC is doing better after the premium sunk.
At what price you are planning to start selling it?
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Mar 11, 2021 1:52 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: LTT and SP500 funds at Fidelity?
Replies: 7
Views: 2566

LTT and SP500 funds at Fidelity?

Hello fellow PPs, Could you please help me with choosing possibly better funds for PP? Currently, my Fidelity brokerage mostly has SHY and IAU, while Fidelity IRA has TLT and IVV. For fresh money addition to both Fidelity Brokerage and Fidelity IRA accounts: 1) Is there better alternative to TLT? An...
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Mar 05, 2021 10:16 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

GBTC is currently at negative premium, about -8%. So "could" be a good time to buy. Or the days of 20,30,40% premium are over and end of an era. I bought it right before it lost fat premium. Now it keeps eroding. How it could be 40.5 when BTC is at 48k ? Arrrh :-( As long as GBTC and Gray...
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Mar 05, 2021 9:14 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

bitcoininthevp wrote: Thu Mar 04, 2021 10:29 am GBTC is currently at negative premium, about -8%. So "could" be a good time to buy. Or the days of 20,30,40% premium are over and end of an era.
I bought it right before it lost fat premium. Now it keeps eroding. How it could be 40.5 when BTC is at 48k ? Arrrh :-(
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Mar 01, 2021 4:58 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

I Shrugged wrote: Mon Mar 01, 2021 4:07 pm The more bad things Janet Yellen says about bitcoin, the more you should think that it is good. I don't own any but that point should be obvious as heck.
Hah! It makes sense :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Mar 01, 2021 2:01 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

I just don't want to put money into something that they're going to quash. And there is a good chance they will. If they cannot control it they destroy it... or at least try. Remember how gold was ones confiscated? :-) i’m not quite that old. O0 Neither am I. But HBPP book mentions that in the chap...
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Mar 01, 2021 12:53 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

dualstow wrote: Mon Mar 01, 2021 11:58 am I just don't want to put money into something that they're going to quash.
And there is a good chance they will. If they cannot control it they destroy it... or at least try.
Remember how gold was ones confiscated? :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Mar 01, 2021 10:29 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

dualstow wrote: Mon Mar 01, 2021 10:22 am could be / I hope so.
If Bitcoin is "digital gold" and it crashes, the direction the sell-off money would follow is obvious. Or ... maybe not :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Mar 01, 2021 10:10 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

dualstow wrote: Mon Mar 01, 2021 9:56 am And, I think it’s a very real thing that btc inflows are hurting gold inflows.
It is probably the case, but next time Bitcoin crashes 70-80% (and it will as the part of 4 year halving cycle) gold should catch up when it happens.
by Ugly_Bird
Sat Feb 27, 2021 11:46 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

I’ve read some studies showing a 1% allocation to Bitcoin and 99% to cash has had crazy good returns with great sharpe ratios. 90% bitcoin and 10% cash is better :-) I decided to stick to 80%/10% works OK so far. Rebalanced at 54k recently, the next one should be at112k It is important to be conser...
by Ugly_Bird
Sat Feb 27, 2021 11:39 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP
Replies: 178
Views: 58147

Re: Bitcoin as a complement or alternative to gold in the PP

vnatale wrote: Sat Feb 27, 2021 11:23 am you'd have had to achieved nearly 900% return on Bitcoin?
That's pretty humble for BTC. From recent trough at $3200 to recent high at $58000 or so it was about 1800%
And $58k most likely not the limit. After reaching the max it will crash again loosing 70-80%.