Search found 2751 matches
- Mon Feb 28, 2022 1:03 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1173
- Views: 1042741
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
If there's something going on that there's general agreement about, then that's a golden opportunity to try to heal some of the rifts going on. To decide ahead of time that because there seems to be general agreement about something, that something else must really be going on, is to have rift-maki...
- Sat Nov 06, 2021 4:00 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
- Replies: 1909
- Views: 445234
Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Sorry guys, I'm going to have to side with Dr. Ruben on this one. As Alec Baldwin showed us recently, we’re never gonna know if a gun is loaded until we squeeze the trigger. That’s just the way it goes. Ooh, harsh O0 Or know what’s in the bill until it’s passed? Yeah, the Pelosi joke would have bee...
- Tue Nov 02, 2021 7:55 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
- Replies: 1909
- Views: 445234
Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Dr. Ruben on the FDA panel: "We're never gonna learn about how safe the vaccine is until we start giving it. That's the way it goes." Seems legit. Was that intended to be sarcastic? Yes, sorry for not including a sarcasm emoji. :) Sorry guys, I'm going to have to side with Dr. Ruben on th...
- Tue Oct 19, 2021 1:32 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2088645
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
According to a friend who is a separations chemist, salicylic acid does not break down with time and has a much longer shelf life than the expiration date on the bottle indicates. But that's prob true of of a lot of things, so do your own diligence with aspirin and the rest. This 2012 study reporte...
- Mon Oct 11, 2021 7:43 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2088645
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
The only thing more maddening than the ridiculous mandates is having no clear metrics for relaxing them. Here in California, Emperor Newsom initially mandated a color-coded tier system of Covid restrictions whose least-restrictive tier (which still had some restrictions!) wasn't even physically ach...
- Wed Oct 06, 2021 5:39 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2088645
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
Reality check: There was an exodus of quality posters to the board in December. As Charlie Munger says, invert, always invert. What if someone who is polite, considerate, well spoken/written wants to go to the "Other Section" and engage in political discussion? Must they wade through a se...
- Wed Oct 06, 2021 2:49 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Are We Living Under Communism?
- Replies: 34
- Views: 14055
Re: Are We Living Under Communism?
We still have firearms but that's about it. Notice you will almost never hear a politician refer to the country as a Republic? It's always a "democracy". Soon it will be "The People's Democratic Republic of America". Maybe that's because the word "republic" is too clos...
- Wed Oct 06, 2021 1:20 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2088645
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
My reaction to this is that if they are put off by the political forums, then why can they not just ignore those? I completely understand if it was in the investing forums because that is invading the core part of the board. But for the misc forums I think that outside of direct insults people shou...
- Mon Oct 04, 2021 6:00 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2088645
Re: Coronavirus General Discussion
I can tell you what Pritzker's benchmark is: His polling numbers.
When the majority of IL residents start disapproving of Pritzker's mask mandate and that starts to negatively affect his polling numbers, he will lift the mandate (based on "the science", of course).
When the majority of IL residents start disapproving of Pritzker's mask mandate and that starts to negatively affect his polling numbers, he will lift the mandate (based on "the science", of course).
- Fri Oct 01, 2021 3:04 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The end of the Roth conversions?
- Replies: 31
- Views: 5398
Re: The end of the Roth conversions?
Ditto on favoring simpler. The current tax code is way too complex.
- Thu Sep 30, 2021 7:47 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The end of the Roth conversions?
- Replies: 31
- Views: 5398
Re: The end of the Roth conversions?
I don't think people are mad about Roth conversions, they're mad that Peter Thiel made a lot of money in a way that they wouldn't have done even if they'd known about it. And he won't have to pay taxes on it. I don't even think many people were mad about that. It's just Dem politicians doing what t...
- Fri Sep 24, 2021 1:07 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Another portfolio analysis site: PP
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1644
Re: Another portfolio analysis site: PP
A couple of the numbers in that summary look suspect to me. This is what ETF Replay calculates for the 4x25 PP using the same ETFs:
10Y Annualized Return: 7.8% (much greater than 5.98%)
Sharpe Ratio over past year: 1.03 (much greater than 0.53)
10Y Annualized Return: 7.8% (much greater than 5.98%)
Sharpe Ratio over past year: 1.03 (much greater than 0.53)
- Wed Sep 22, 2021 12:59 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
- Replies: 1909
- Views: 445234
Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Are there some type people who seem to be more prone to reactions from these vaccination shots while other type people are far less prone? This Nature article addresses that question in quite a bit of detail. The authors of that article hypothesize that individual differences in symptoms after a va...
- Mon Sep 20, 2021 1:43 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1764255
Re: The GOLD scream room
Gold's response to today's stock dip may be muted thus far, but I'm happy that the PP overall is down only -0.2% even though stocks are down -2.7%. Makes the stock drama less panicky.
- Mon Sep 20, 2021 12:23 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Meme- Then and now?
- Replies: 4
- Views: 1428
Re: Meme- Then and now?
If only we had a meme thread for standalone meme posts that aren't part of a topic thread...
- Fri Sep 17, 2021 1:07 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1764255
Re: The GOLD scream room
If anything, I think you should be monitoring your portfolios as much as you can because if you're invested in the PP you are paying for that reduced volatility. Since you're also buying into the PP every single day you hold it a fresh evaluation of the assumptions of why you invested in it should ...
- Fri Sep 17, 2021 11:51 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
- Replies: 1909
- Views: 445234
Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
These claims rely on his belief that there are somehow two immune systems: an "innate" one and then some other one that vaccines deal with. This is totally bogus and the reason why this fellow is completely alone (apart from the people who just want him to be right) in the scientific comm...
- Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:08 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
- Replies: 5196
- Views: 2088645
- Thu Sep 16, 2021 2:51 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
- Replies: 1909
- Views: 445234
Re: Reasons why I will not be getting injected for the Wuhan
Whatever happened to the phrase: "A picture speaks a thousand words"? With the same for a chart or graph? I believe what I put here provides relevant information related to the topic and which really needs no more commentary or interpretation by me. It is, however, an invitation to others...
- Wed Sep 15, 2021 4:11 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Forum Members with COVID-19
- Replies: 208
- Views: 83367
Re: Forum Members with COVID-19
I just got my results. IgG Covid19 Antibody Your Value Positive It won't be COVID-19 that kills me. For what it's worth, my brother got a positive result on a Covid antibody test last year around April/May (I think the test was just +/- and didn't report a number), so he chose not to get vaxxed sin...
- Fri Sep 10, 2021 4:31 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1764255
Re: The GOLD scream room
I agree that you can't eat the PP's Sharpe ratio, but it does allow me to eat my food without puking due to stomach-churning drawdowns.
- Fri Sep 10, 2021 4:21 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1764255
Re: The GOLD scream room
I missed you saying “any”. Check your math last few years to see how pathetic PP has performed over a 60/40. Backtest on ETF Replay shows the following performance over the past 3 years: 60/40 (VTI/BND): 46% total return (13.4% CAGR), 13.8% volatility, -22% max drawdown 4x25 PP (VTI/TLT/IAU/SHV): 3...
- Fri Sep 10, 2021 3:36 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1764255
Re: The GOLD scream room
There's an asset class out there with a guaranteed CAGR of 12-15% over any 10-12 year period? Nice! What is it? It’s called stocks. Anyway, this portfolio is dogshit, always has been and always will be. You might want to double-check your math, Bud: During the best 10-year period (1949-1958), the S...
- Fri Sep 10, 2021 1:41 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3693
- Views: 1764255
Re: The GOLD scream room
There's an asset class out there with a guaranteed CAGR of 12-15% over any 10-12 year period? Nice! What is it?
- Tue Sep 07, 2021 12:47 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: It's all about China
- Replies: 123
- Views: 64742
Re: It's all about China
I did not realize that the most advanced chip business goes from companies like Apple to Taiwan not solely for cost reasons but because the capability to produce the most sophisticated chips does not even exist in the US, from a knowledge base standpoint. The Intel CEO concedes so in the interview....