Search found 2751 matches
- Sat Aug 27, 2011 6:47 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Japanese Unemployment Rate
- Replies: 30
- Views: 9860
Re: Japanese Unemployment Rate
Tortoise: "That's impressive, but if automation is indeed allowing us to produce more stuff more efficiently across the entire economy, then most people's standard of living should be steadily rising as a result." That would only be true if those efficiency gains got distributed out to &q...
- Sat Aug 27, 2011 2:19 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Japanese Unemployment Rate
- Replies: 30
- Views: 9860
Re: Japanese Unemployment Rate
My understanding is the main reason for underemployment is automation. Many tasks can now be done with far less human capital than before. For example, I work in the chemical industry, and, roughly speaking, at my company we put out 50% more pounds of stuff with 50% less people than we did 15 yea...
- Wed Aug 24, 2011 1:20 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Rebalancing gold
- Replies: 19
- Views: 11453
Re: Rebalancing gold
This is why I really hope a low-expense-ratio (< 0.3%, say) HB PP ETF or mutual fund is offered someday (PRPFX is okay, but its expense ratio is much higher than it needs to be, and it's not the pure HB PP). The DIY approach is fun for a lot of folks--including me--but for most people it simply prod...
- Wed Aug 24, 2011 2:25 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Warren Buffet Wants Less Coddling
- Replies: 34
- Views: 10425
Re: Warren Buffet Wants Less Coddling
I don't see any option to fixing the tax code, eliminating loopholes and corporate welfare, and ultimately raising total government tax revenue. There is at least one other option to increasing taxes: scale back the role of government. Of course, this is an age-old debate that's sure to incite a fl...
- Tue Aug 23, 2011 2:50 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Warren Buffet Wants Less Coddling
- Replies: 34
- Views: 10425
Re: Warren Buffet Wants Less Coddling
Buffet has some buddies in Europe who seem to want more taxes too: http://www.cnbc.com/id/44239500/ I think they realize that systemic collapse will be worse for their fortunes than a slight raise in taxes. So when a small group of super-wealthy people voluntarily asks the government to take more m...
- Sun Aug 21, 2011 10:14 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
- Replies: 36
- Views: 25131
Re: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
I don't have any tungsten coins, but I think it would be interesting to use the free Audacity software to perform a ring test on both American Eagles and Krugerrands and compare the peaks in their audio spectra. I may stop by my safety deposit box this week and pick up a couple of my coins to do tha...
- Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:01 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
- Replies: 36
- Views: 25131
Re: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
I wonder if a "ring test" might be useful for detecting coin fakes? Canadian quarters minted in 1967 are either 80% silver or 50% silver, and one way to determine the difference (that seems to work very well) is to record the sounds of a dropped coin and examine the peaks on an audio freq...
- Sun Aug 21, 2011 3:54 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
- Replies: 36
- Views: 25131
Re: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
I am not a metallurgist, but in the process of obtaining my engineering degree I had to take a fair number of chemistry and physics courses. What you are proposing, WildAboutHarry, would violate the definition of the word density. Density is defined simply as mass divided by volume. So if you create...
- Sat Aug 20, 2011 10:22 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
- Replies: 36
- Views: 25131
Re: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
Maple Leafs et al. are pure gold, while American Eagles, Krugerrands, Double Eagles, etc. are alloyed gold. It has been too long since chemistry, but while pure tungsten might have similar properties to pure gold, would an alloy of tungsten be easily matched to alloyed gold coins? Yes, I think it w...
- Sat Aug 20, 2011 10:19 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Jim Cramer 2006 interview, details his hedge fund fraudulent behavior
- Replies: 2
- Views: 1622
Re: Jim Cramer 2006 interview, details his hedge fund fraudulent behavior
This is why I have learned never to act on anyone's investment advice based on their reputation or track record alone. I must first understand the logical reasoning behind their advice. Reputations and track records can be faked. Logic cannot. I wasn't converted to the PP based on Harry Browne's rep...
- Sat Aug 20, 2011 9:56 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
- Replies: 36
- Views: 25131
Re: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
Thanks for the info, guys. It appears that tungsten may be too brittle to strike as a coin, but if encased in an outer layer of softer metal (like gold itself), could easily be struck as a coin. The existence of ultrasound equipment--and perhaps other sophisticated techniques--does not necessarily e...
- Sat Aug 20, 2011 1:32 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
- Replies: 36
- Views: 25131
Re: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
I have heard that tungsten is a popular filler for gold bars. However, something about its properties makes it harder to fake an intricate gold coin. Perhaps it is too brittle. One more reason to stick with American Eagle coins... Where did you get that piece of information regarding the difficulty...
- Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:17 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The Anti-Science
- Replies: 61
- Views: 21812
Re: The Anti-Science
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FOJxqJe_ZuAdoodle wrote: Ronald Reagan even realized this to some degree. I think he gave a number of speeches at the UN where he wished that aliens would invade the Earth so that humans could put their petty differences behind them and join together.
- Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:37 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
- Replies: 36
- Views: 25131
Re: Verifying Gold Coins Are Real?
It seems like the caliper/scale method would only work if one assumes the entire interior of the coin consists of a single metal. If the counterfeiter used an alloy having exactly the same density as gold, the caliper/scale method would fail to detect that. For example, according to the list of elem...
- Fri Aug 19, 2011 7:39 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold is a hedge against deflation?
- Replies: 9
- Views: 4999
Re: Gold is a hedge against deflation?
I see what you're saying, Melveyr. Part of the subtlety in this discussion of how gold should perform in inflationary and deflationary environments is that there seems not to be a clear consensus--even among professional economists--on how inflation and deflation should even be defined. Austrian eco...
- Fri Aug 19, 2011 5:04 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold is a hedge against deflation?
- Replies: 9
- Views: 4999
Re: Gold is a hedge against deflation?
I think you are correct: gold is an instability hedge. It's probably not accurate to say that gold is solely an inflation hedge, or solely a deflation hedge, or even both. Instability is the key. That is a subtlety about gold that really didn't sink in for me until the past couple of years. Seeing t...
- Wed Aug 17, 2011 11:39 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: James Bond = Permanent Portfolio
- Replies: 4
- Views: 3977
James Bond = Permanent Portfolio
It just occurred to me that James Bond is a cleverly crafted metaphor for the Permanent Portfolio. First and most obviously, we have his name: Bond... Long-Term Bond? Next, we have the fact that James Bond is a SPY. The S&P 500 ETF SPY. A clear reference to the PP's stock piece. Then, there's Mi...
- Tue Aug 16, 2011 2:09 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: unreal example of friend's 401k, Vanguard index funds with low exp ratios
- Replies: 11
- Views: 5059
Re: unreal example of friend's 401k, Vanguard index funds with low exp ratios
I have nowcabronjames wrote: Has anyone ever seen expense ratios this low, period? Even crazier, this low in a work 401k account?
It makes sense, given the huge minimum investment amounts for those institutional funds. It's kind of like getting a really good deal when you buy in bulk.
- Mon Aug 15, 2011 11:55 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Happy 40th Fiat Day!
- Replies: 8
- Views: 3589
Re: Happy 40th Fiat Day!
Make a wish!
- Mon Aug 15, 2011 11:36 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: China
- Replies: 121
- Views: 42284
Re: China
It appears that aliens are not pleased with the low yields on LTTs right now.MediumTex wrote: What would be REALLY good, though, would be an episode about the connection between aliens and long term treasuries. :D
- Mon Aug 15, 2011 5:52 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Modern Monetary Theory
- Replies: 65
- Views: 18881
Re: Modern Monetary Theory
I never said accounting is "petty," nor did I ever intend to imply that. And I fully agree that money (whether fiat, gold-backed, or free-market) is an absolute necessity for a modern economy. It would be absurd to suggest otherwise. The authors of the paper "Where Profits Come From&q...
- Sun Aug 14, 2011 9:22 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: The Suicide Portfolio
- Replies: 136
- Views: 46340
Re: The Suicide Portfolio
Week 9 results. The last couple of weeks of punishing losses and volatility in the stock market have been like sweet manna from heaven to most of our suicide portfolios! Now only two of the eight portfolios remain in the black! l82start's Bankrupt Bankroll, a fetid puddle of toxic penny stocks, is s...
- Sat Aug 13, 2011 5:47 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Kicking the TV Habit
- Replies: 46
- Views: 13395
Re: Kicking the TV Habit
The successor to cheap fossil fuels will be expensive fossil fuels. Bet on it. In one of HB's radio shows, I recall that he expressed skepticism regarding the fears of the peak-oil crowd. He actually suggested that there might be something to the hypothesis of abiogenic petroleum . He didn't menti...
- Sat Aug 13, 2011 4:07 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Modern Monetary Theory
- Replies: 65
- Views: 18881
Re: Modern Monetary Theory
Think of the income statement of the entire global corporate sector as one entity. They pay out wages, these wages are an expense on their income statement. Even if all of these wages turned into revenue, that would still not be enough to turn a profit. This vastly oversimplified view that profits ...
- Sat Aug 13, 2011 7:06 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Modern Monetary Theory
- Replies: 65
- Views: 18881
Re: Modern Monetary Theory
Moda, thanks for the link. Is it even a MMT biased document though? Would Loan Wolf or Tortoise actually dispute the excerpt below? I guess Tortoise would argue that firms will view falling profits today as a sign of a reversal to come in due course. I do often point out that the economy has inhere...