Search found 2751 matches

by Tortoise
Tue Nov 27, 2012 11:33 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery
Replies: 21
Views: 9131

Re: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery

This phenomenon is fascinating in and of itself, but the main reason I mention it is because I recently learned that the hexagram symbol has historically been associated with the planet Saturn since ancient times. Also, the religion of Judaism has also long been associated somewhat with the planet ...
by Tortoise
Mon Nov 26, 2012 11:21 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: U.S. government bans Intrade
Replies: 11
Views: 4402

Re: U.S. government bans Intrade

Land of the free! Or... not.
by Tortoise
Fri Nov 23, 2012 3:43 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: the cockroach strategy
Replies: 10
Views: 8346

Re: the cockroach strategy

Is it possible he never heard of HB?  I can't imagine anyone writing this article while knowing HBs investment philosophy. It's not impossible that he would independently come up with the same idea as Browne and then backtest it over the same period as we see here.  It's just really suspicious.  I ...
by Tortoise
Fri Nov 23, 2012 2:44 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Fred Reed on the death of language and culture
Replies: 9
Views: 2585

Re: Fred Reed on the death of language and culture

Great article.

Insofar as language is a tool of thought, I think that imprecision in language tends to be associated with imprecision in thought.
by Tortoise
Fri Nov 23, 2012 1:47 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery
Replies: 21
Views: 9131

Re: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery

it might explain why so many civilizations and cultures across the globe have had eerily similar myths over the ages: You might check out Carl Jung and the COLLECTIVE unconscious for more thoughts on this. Yes, definitely. I've read some of Jung's work. He was heavily influenced by the occult, so h...
by Tortoise
Thu Nov 22, 2012 1:18 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery
Replies: 21
Views: 9131

Re: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery

And it just so happens that Saturn is the sixth planet from the sun! Good point! So the plot thickens. Uh, guys... You gotta watch this: http://youtu.be/ZI2BxAq8jY8 Coincidence? Interesting... in part 2 of that video, they show how the hexagram has been historically associated with beer brewing and...
by Tortoise
Thu Nov 22, 2012 12:15 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery
Replies: 21
Views: 9131

Re: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery

Do you give an credence to the possibility of the planets containing a sort of advanced consciousness?  Maybe the hexagonal symbol was presented through a dream or vision and then incorporated into religions and other symbolism.  Saturn is trying to get our attention. That's entirely possible! But ...
by Tortoise
Wed Nov 21, 2012 2:17 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery
Replies: 21
Views: 9131

Re: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery

As MT says, the world is a wonderful and mysterious place and it is almost certainly some natural phenomena.  I'm much more concerned about the aliens running our country (aliens being a generic term for turkeys in both parties) than that the phenomena is something other than natural. I'm fairly su...
by Tortoise
Tue Nov 20, 2012 10:32 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The Saturn Hexagon Mystery
Replies: 21
Views: 9131

The Saturn Hexagon Mystery

I'm going out on a limb by posting this topic, but since we've already discussed various fringe topics like the mystery of the Pyramids at Giza , I'll go ahead and do it. I'm not sure how many of you are aware of this, but a giant vortex in the shape of a well-defined hexagon has existed at Saturn's...
by Tortoise
Mon Nov 19, 2012 8:46 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: How Free Speech Died on Campus
Replies: 5
Views: 1284

Re: How Free Speech Died on Campus

Many/most college professors are far left liberals who only believe in free speech if it agrees with them.  In some ways colleges indoctrinate students into these beliefs, which is perhaps partly why the country...is as it is. This was exactly my college experience. My profs were stuck in the 60s, ...
by Tortoise
Sun Nov 18, 2012 4:19 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: It's not the end of the world...???
Replies: 45
Views: 14000

Re: It's not the end of the world...???

Thanks for sharing your journey with us, Hobbery! Your own transition from anxious doomer to calm PPer closely resembles the one that I went through a couple of years ago when I first stumbled across the PP in a blog post on LewRockwell.com. Regarding your comment that what we think we believe is of...
by Tortoise
Wed Nov 14, 2012 2:50 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Milestones to Financial Freedom
Replies: 77
Views: 23236

Re: Milestones to Financial Freedom

I'd be interested to hear feedback on this recent podcast I did on milestones to financial freedom. You can hear the podcast here http://thevoluntarylife.com/TVL_E080_financial_freedom_milestones.mp3 and I've posted a summary of all the main points below from the accompanying blog post http://thevo...
by Tortoise
Wed Nov 14, 2012 12:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Advice on Allocating 401(k) Contributions
Replies: 10
Views: 7045

Re: Advice on Allocating 401(k) Contributions

What I don't understand about other methods such as ... buying the lagging asset is that they seem to work against the way a PP is supposed to function.  Unless I'm missing something, buying the lagging asset would prevent rebalance events that force you to sell high and buy low.  Essentially you'r...
by Tortoise
Tue Nov 13, 2012 7:30 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Shades of South Carolina - 1861
Replies: 14
Views: 6266

Re: Shades of South Carolina - 1861

These current secession rumblings are clearly kind of silly, but I see them as just the tip of a very large iceberg. As U.S. whites of European ancestry continue their trajectory toward becoming a minority, expect the secession issue to become larger and more heated. Although the mainstream media do...
by Tortoise
Sat Nov 10, 2012 6:05 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Legalizing Marijuana: The View From Mexico
Replies: 24
Views: 13227

Re: Legalizing Marijuana: The View From Mexico

Before making any sweeping generalizations based on observations of crime in California, first watch what happens to crime in Washington and Colorado. They both legalized recreational marijuana use in this past election. If Washington and Colorado crime levels remain fairly constant, that may be evi...
by Tortoise
Sat Nov 10, 2012 4:54 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Same old tune - "Why should I buy Treasuries?"
Replies: 27
Views: 7591

Re: Same old tune - "Why should I buy Treasuries?"

I kind of doubt that folks will be favoring LTTs over cash when yields are near zero. But, let's say that yields do bounce around between 1 and 2, how often would you reach rebalancing bands? It all depends on what the rest of the portfolio is doing. If everything else zigs when LTTs zag, then LTT ...
by Tortoise
Sat Nov 10, 2012 4:23 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Buying LTTs on secondary market
Replies: 21
Views: 10342

Re: Buying LTTs on secondary market

My understanding is that volatility is roughly gold > stocks > LTT >>> cash. If so, this would explain why we want to maximize volatility of the LTT asset. Is this correct, everyone? Your ranking of the asset volatilities above is correct, but I wouldn't say you want to "maximize" volatil...
by Tortoise
Sat Nov 10, 2012 2:44 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Buying LTTs on secondary market
Replies: 21
Views: 10342

Re: Buying LTTs on secondary market

Jimbo, I went back and looked at my calculations more closely, and it actually looks like the relationship between duration and volatility (defined a couple of different ways) is much weaker than I initially thought. I compared the duration to (1) the annualized standard deviation of the bond price ...
by Tortoise
Fri Nov 09, 2012 11:26 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Same old tune - "Why should I buy Treasuries?"
Replies: 27
Views: 7591

Re: Same old tune - "Why should I buy Treasuries?"

Another potential argument against transitioning from LTTs to cash as yields approach zero is the possibility that yields will bounce back and forth between 0% and 2% for decades. Cash wouldn't benefit much from a decades-long ping-pong match between 0% and 2%. But LTTs would, because you'd be captu...
by Tortoise
Fri Nov 09, 2012 3:32 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: All Fiat Money Systems Fail, Right? Wrong.
Replies: 109
Views: 27167

Re: All Fiat Money Systems Fail, Right? Wrong.

Okay, so you guys seem to be arguing that microeconomics is effectively "me economics." I.e., economics that only looks at one side of every transaction--the "me" side. I disagree. In microeconomics it's definitely acknowledged that there are two sides to every transaction. It's ...
by Tortoise
Fri Nov 09, 2012 3:01 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: All Fiat Money Systems Fail, Right? Wrong.
Replies: 109
Views: 27167

Re: All Fiat Money Systems Fail, Right? Wrong.

Example of micro versus macro... In a micro model spent money disappears. It's as if money is consumed. A macro model tracks takes a stock flow consistent approach, seeing spending as a flow and then it tabulating where it accumulates as a stock. I've never seen micro presented that way. In micro, ...
by Tortoise
Fri Nov 09, 2012 6:16 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: What just happened?
Replies: 20
Views: 5317

Re: What just happened?

MediumTex wrote: It's amazing how few people understand the bond market, even investors who have been at it for a long time.
That's because understanding how bonds work requires knowing a little bit of math. And few people know math beyond arithmetic.
by Tortoise
Fri Nov 09, 2012 5:58 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Buying LTTs on secondary market
Replies: 21
Views: 10342

Re: Buying LTTs on secondary market

Here's my follow up question - for someone like me who not only has bought the bonds themselves but who also owns a fairly nice chunk of EDV, do you know how the volatility of EDV compares to the different durations (30 vs. 25 vs. 20 yrs) of bonds? I'm just curious, because I'm struggling with how ...
by Tortoise
Thu Nov 08, 2012 8:23 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: All Fiat Money Systems Fail, Right? Wrong.
Replies: 109
Views: 27167

Re: All Fiat Money Systems Fail, Right? Wrong.

It's fine to say that some countries might be better at managing their finances under a certain monetary system, but its naive to assume that those countries will follow the rules of that system. I agree. That's why governments shouldn't issue money. It should be issued by competing private busines...
by Tortoise
Thu Nov 08, 2012 1:08 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Buying LTTs on secondary market
Replies: 21
Views: 10342

Re: Buying LTTs on secondary market

Wow... I thought my previous post would generate at least a little discussion, but I guess not. It was a surprising discovery for me, and I'm wondering why nobody else seems to be very surprised by it. Maybe most folks on this forum invest in TLT rather than buying T-bonds directly. I think I'll be ...