IMHO This is a US proxy war with Russia. NATO is a group of mutual defense, IE Ukraine becomes a US military base. Hypersonic weapons can already easily reach Russia. The west (the US) does not need the Ukraine as a military base. It's not going to take much to shock the world by Russia shutting of...

IMHO This is a US proxy war with Russia. NATO is a group of mutual defense, IE Ukraine becomes a US military base. Hypersonic weapons can already easily reach Russia. The west (the US) does not need the Ukraine as a military base. It's not going to take much to shock the world by Russia shutting of...

IMHO This is a US proxy war with Russia. NATO is a group of mutual defense, IE Ukraine becomes a US military base. Hypersonic weapons can already easily reach Russia. The west (the US) does not need the Ukraine as a military base. It's not going to take much to shock the world by Russia shutting of...

The way everyone is coming together to boycott Russia is a beautful thing. I hate what it’s doing to the average Russian but if Putin goes down, maybe it’ll be better for them too in the long run. John Bolton was interviewed on C-Span today. He quoted Woodrow Wilson: A nation that is boycotted is a...

You know who didn’t buy the narrative that Putin was going to invade? Zelensky. I love the guy and everything. He’s a hero. But intelligence agencies warned him and for too long he insisted that all was well. That’s costing him and his country. Maybe....but it's just as possible that he was insisti...

If I felt compelled to do something (an options + QQQ...and/or a variant of QQQ) like this, I wouldn't fool around with deep ITM puts (i.e. puts that are far in the money because they are above the current price of the underlying asset). I wouldn't mess with puts that are ITM at all. Instead, I migh...

article here https://i.ibb.co/j8bXmW7/DMS-vs-Golden-Butterfly.png https://i.ibb.co/7nGf1HF/Screen-Shot-2022-02-20-at-2-29-02-PM.jpg Just curious....how does the 60/40 compare--in terms of annual CAGR, MaxDD, alpha, Sharpe, Sortino, Ulcer Index, etc--with, say, an annually rebalanced blend of 80% IT...

Housing alone is up tremendously. Both in purchase prices and in rents. Rents are nuts right now. Food, up a lot. Bacon is often $10 a pound. Fuel, up a lot. Cars and trucks are at unimaginable levels. Clothing seems to be up at some places, but probably not much overall. But yeah, other than housi...

I don’t usually worry about what the numbers really are. But I decided to see what shadowstats.com has right now. Official inflation: 7.5% If using <1990 method: 10% If using <1980 method: 15% I feel certain we are in true double digits. I can't walk a mile in your shoes so I can't say whether your...

If they raised their wages they would find that at the new higher wage there wasn't a shortage of workers any more. If there was still a shortage at that wage they would need to raise it until the market cleared. Ya, generally true. Except they would then also have to raise the price of their food ...

"A former McDonald's CEO warns that a surge in retiring baby boomers amid ongoing hiring struggles will lead to a 'catastrophe'": https://www.businessinsider.com/boomer-retirement-catastrophe-us-economy-mcdonalds-ed-rensi-2022-1 Which asset(s) would a "major shortfall of workers"...

Wondering on anyone's thoughts on ETFs like PFFD, currently 5.03% yield, https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PFFD?p=PFFD&.tsrc=fin-srch Amazingly stable, other than a sharp drop in Mar 2020. 0.23 expense ratio. There are others I am looking at, PGX, SPFF, DIV, SDIV (others??) I've said a few times ...

Happy New Year, My Juicy PP returned 11.03% for year 2021. I updated my website with the returns: http://www.tightwadweb.com/customportfolio.html Take care. Two quick questions: 1. What are you using for Int'l small (SCZ) prior to 1975? We have good Int'l small data back that far (i.e. 1975 and aft...

The term safe withdrawal rate rates means something very specific … It is what it took to get through the worst outcomes we have had to date for a retirement period . It specifically pertains to 1907 , 1929 , 1937 , 1965 ,1966 . It took around 3.60% inflation adjusted to squeak through Today we loo...

I actually think of it more as community service. I feel duped and I’m bitter because I wasted 10 years investing in 4x25 when I could have just stayed with a conventional portfolio and reaped the rewards. Veer off course and get burned. And what do you ask is the main differentiator between the PP...

I actually think of it more as community service. I feel duped and I’m bitter because I wasted 10 years investing in 4x25 when I could have just stayed with a conventional portfolio and reaped the rewards. Veer off course and get burned. And what do you ask is the main differentiator between the PP...

50/50 to 60/40 OK, I just re-checked my spreadsheets I used to calculate this and not only did a 60/40 or 50/50 US stock/ITT portfolio survive 30 years at an inflation-adjusted 4% withdrawal, it survived 40 years (well, it would've survived even more than that....I stopped the test at 1976 because ...

To hold 4% over 30 years takes a 2% real return the first 15 years . But that could leave you with a buck the 31st year . So the balance is important too since we have to cover unexpected spending too . So it is easy to monitor along the way …certainly if five years in you are below that average a ...

It’s unexpected inflation, not high inflation that according to the PP Bible motivates investors to buy gold. Inflation readings are higher than ever and real rates are negative. What else does gold need to move? Should I wait until inflation is at 10% and bonds <1% to catch a bid. If that’s the ca...

That is my gripe ..real returns which are supposed to be what gold really seems to respond to as per Tyler’s article ,has been awful as real returns grow worse and worse on cash instruments. I mean if not now , when for gold ? At least show us something in a move up ,right ? Exactly, the economic c...

It’s unexpected inflation, not high inflation that according to the PP Bible motivates investors to buy gold. Inflation readings are higher than ever and real rates are negative. What else does gold need to move? Should I wait until inflation is at 10% and bonds <1% to catch a bid. If that’s the ca...

But why? Gold isn’t doing anything for you. But it is. Peace of mind. I don't have to have the top % return in investing. Your peace of mind is a false sense of security and built on quicksand. There is nothing special at all about the PP and it has proven once more this year that Gold is a useless...

But why? Gold isn’t doing anything for you. But it is. Peace of mind. I don't have to have the top % return in investing. Your peace of mind is a false sense of security and built on quicksand. There is nothing special at all about the PP and it has proven once more this year that Gold is a useless...

I think it has to do with investors realizing that the economy is weak, the individual is struggling and any rate hikes will result in a catastrophic outcome. No one believes the FED’s bullshit and continue to buy LTT’s accordingly. The economy is weak? Huh?!? Unemployment is at 4.2%, employers in ...

But why? Gold isn’t doing anything for you. But it is. Peace of mind. I don't have to have the top % return in investing. Your peace of mind is a false sense of security and built on quicksand. There is nothing special at all about the PP and it has proven once more this year that Gold is a useless...