Search found 230 matches

by Ugly_Bird
Tue Mar 08, 2022 9:52 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731194

Re: The GOLD scream room

I Shrugged wrote: Tue Mar 08, 2022 9:47 am I like wide rebalance bands.
I missed rebalancing last time on the wake of pandemics. Missed by 2-3% because I was sticking to 15/35% :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Tue Mar 08, 2022 9:39 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731194

Re: The GOLD scream room

Hmm. This is now a good problem to have! Most of my gold is physical. How do I actually take advantage of this? Am I buying puts on GLD as a method of rebalancing? Mine is all IAU... Good, bad or ugly. But a bit easier to move around than physical. Well, while ETFs are still an option, till SHTF an...
by Ugly_Bird
Tue Mar 08, 2022 9:37 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731194

Re: The GOLD scream room

My 4x25 HBPP gold is about 28%. Should I rebalance at 30% or wait for possible 35%, as 15/35% my rebalance bands. I'm in the same boat/been wondering the same thing. I wish I had rebalanced out of bonds right after the COVID market shift as some here did, so hoping to take advantage the volatility ...
by Ugly_Bird
Tue Mar 08, 2022 9:09 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731194

Re: The GOLD scream room

Cortopassi wrote: Sun Mar 06, 2022 7:20 pm $2000. Wow.
My 4x25 HBPP gold is about 28%.
Should I rebalance at 30% or wait for possible 35%, as 15/35% my rebalance bands.
by Ugly_Bird
Sun Mar 06, 2022 10:09 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731194

Re: The GOLD scream room

Cortopassi wrote: Sun Mar 06, 2022 7:20 pm $2000. Wow.
Where is Bud these days? :-)
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Jan 31, 2022 8:00 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

Last post for ppnewbie. Run far away ppnewbie, the PP is a lifetime of disappointment. I was in Analytics/BI for 15 years at a Fortune 300 company so I understand your mental makeup. The agnostic nature of the portfolio sounds great on the surface but you lose to equities on the upside and there is...
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:32 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

PP hurting bad. Gold and LTT’s cannibalizing each other to the downside as rates rise. Sucks for sure. Budd, you never answered my question from a few days ago on when you got into the portfolio, and what your expectations were at that time? I setup a taxable PP in 2010. Took literally that one or ...
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Jan 27, 2022 1:59 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

Golds turn to take a beating again. This portfolio can lose in countless ways. TLT up 1% but it lost 1.2% yesterday so blah. Budd Where did you get your PP info that has the portfolio performance being judged on daily results? I have the book Fail- Safe Investing and Harry suggests a yearly portfol...
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Jan 27, 2022 10:22 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

Golds turn to take a beating again. This portfolio can lose in countless ways. TLT up 1% but it lost 1.2% yesterday so blah. You're a broken record. Why continue to post here, unless your goal in life is to drive off the few folks who still frequent these forums thanks to this kind of pointless tro...
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Jan 27, 2022 10:05 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

buddtholomew wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 8:00 am Golds turn to take a beating again.
This portfolio can lose in countless ways.
TLT up 1% but it lost 1.2% yesterday so blah.
YTD
PP is about -3.8%
SP500 -8.7%
by Ugly_Bird
Wed Jan 26, 2022 3:42 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

PP hurting bad. Gold and LTT’s cannibalizing each other to the downside as rates rise. Sucks for sure. Budd, you never answered my question from a few days ago on when you got into the portfolio, and what your expectations were at that time? I setup a taxable PP in 2010. Capture_______.JPG
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Jan 21, 2022 2:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

If people are concerned about maintaining a clean, well-lit place to educate others about the PP, perhaps there should be a separate Permanent Portfolio Skepticism forum. E.g. every second when gold is down, the guy is screaming about it and about the portfolio. :-\ Budd is just trolling. In some w...
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Jan 21, 2022 1:20 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

flyingpylon wrote: Fri Jan 21, 2022 12:31 pm If people are concerned about maintaining a clean, well-lit place to educate others about the PP, perhaps there should be a separate Permanent Portfolio Skepticism forum.
E.g. every second when gold is down, the guy is screaming about it and about the portfolio. :-\
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Jan 21, 2022 10:00 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 60458

Re: Yay PP!

It’s clear that if someone were curious about the pp, they would have to dig deep to find posts that correspond with the principles in the book(s). This is exactly why (though I frequently recommend the PP to others for consideration) I never suggest this forum. I have no problem with Mathjak, but ...
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Jan 07, 2022 8:15 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold ETFs old and new
Replies: 32
Views: 9311

Re: Gold ETFs old and new

I bought PHYS years ago and dislike it but I don't want to pay taxes to switch out of it. I guess I'm stuck. PHYS is a Trust & therefore isn't taxed at the Collectibles rate: it is taxed like any other ETF. For the PP, I've got all stocks and LTTs in the tax deferred accounts and SHY+IAU in a b...
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Jan 03, 2022 6:07 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio Failure?
Replies: 34
Views: 6873

Re: Permanent Portfolio Failure?

Did the Permanent Portfolio fail in 2021? I ask this provocative question in order to generate some discussion. According to ETF Replay, the Permanent Portfolio generated a total return of 4.1% in 2021. That falls dramatically short of the S&P 500, which generated a total return of 28.7%; and f...
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:25 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2021 PP Returns
Replies: 30
Views: 6110

Re: 2021 PP Returns

Cortopassi wrote: Sat Jan 01, 2022 11:18 am Let everyone know! I was 5.77%
According to the "2021 PP Returns" topic, the votes and replies should be more related to PP
Otherwise this poll is more "2021 Returns" for VP domain.
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:06 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2021 PP Returns
Replies: 30
Views: 6110

Re: 2021 PP Returns

barrett wrote: Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:49 am Ah, I was just going to ask if anyone was rebalancing with the big run up in stocks in 2021. Today looks to be as good as any to sell stocks and buy gold or LTTs as the later two are both down this morning.
those are at 24% and 23% in my 4x25 HBPP.... no need to rebalance.
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Jan 03, 2022 9:11 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2021 PP Returns
Replies: 30
Views: 6110

Re: 2021 PP Returns

4x25 HBPP
3.8% for me
by Ugly_Bird
Mon Dec 27, 2021 7:55 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Did Bitcoin Kill Gold’s Monetary Utility?
Replies: 86
Views: 22515

Re: Did Bitcoin Kill Gold’s Monetary Utility?

var wrote: Fri Dec 24, 2021 3:28 pm However, if you're going to buy something I suggest starting with BTC first like 5% allocation.
And now the question is when to rebalance out of crypto. What would be the rebalancing bands?
by Ugly_Bird
Thu Dec 16, 2021 3:40 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731194

Re: The GOLD scream room

buddtholomew wrote: Thu Dec 16, 2021 3:31 pm Nice to see the response on a down day in stocks.
Remember, those are uncorrelated assets. So, it could be coincidence (or not :-) )
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Oct 29, 2021 9:05 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731194

Re: The GOLD scream room

buddtholomew wrote: Fri Oct 29, 2021 9:00 am
Ugly_Bird wrote: Fri Oct 29, 2021 8:54 am
buddtholomew wrote: Fri Oct 29, 2021 8:45 amJunk
Yeah! Time to buy.
Time to buy was at 900 not 1800, but please go ahead with your purchase.
450 was even better than that. Or maybe 225.
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Oct 29, 2021 8:54 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1731194

Re: The GOLD scream room

buddtholomew wrote: Fri Oct 29, 2021 8:45 amJunk
Yeah! Time to buy.
by Ugly_Bird
Sat Oct 09, 2021 4:16 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold outflows, bitcoin inflows
Replies: 68
Views: 22607

Re: Gold outflows, bitcoin inflows

vincent_c wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 2:12 pm Some other reason for what?
For the "correlation" on the graph.
by Ugly_Bird
Fri Oct 08, 2021 9:08 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold outflows, bitcoin inflows
Replies: 68
Views: 22607

Re: Gold outflows, bitcoin inflows

Update on flows from JPM, via https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/jpmorgan-institutions-are-rotating-out-gold-bitcoin-better-inflation-hedge https://assets.zerohedge.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/cumulative%20flows.jpg?itok=NJ5upR9g Even though those are apparent cor...