Does PeaktoTrough generate real returns?

... I'll have to add CNBC to my Doomer Porn list...

If you follow the Doomer-Porn Zero Hedge, the drop in bonds may be in part due to the "leak" of an alleged plan by the Fed to initial "exit  fees" on bonds to stampede bond holders in stocks... http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-06-16/fed-prepares-bond-fund-runs-looking-imposing-...

To illustrate what a difference a year makes and how vacillating our fickle investment horizon perspective has been, anyone who started their PP on 6/23/2013 (the date of rickb's comments to stay the course when there was a lot of hand wringing going on), they would be up 5.44% (CAGR 6.87%)...

Newbie question about buying physical gold:  When you place an order, is your order locked in at a certain price or is it the price of gold when they finally ship?

Thanks!

In terms of government redistribution efforts, I thought this was interesting from Mish's website the other day: Income Group:  Market Income + SS/Medicare + Other Transfers - Fed Taxes = After Tax Income Bottom 20%      $8,000 + $14,200 + $8,500 - $0 = $30,800 2nd Quintile:      $30,700 + $10,300 +...

"Genuine diversification sometimes means owning what you hate...." If that is a true statement, the PP is indeed very diversified... Getting very close to rebalancing bands...  I think until you have rebalanced into a declining asset, you have never really tested your commitment to the PP ...

I am completely new to all this...

Looks like GTU closed at $42.93 today at a NAV of -7.81%...

modeljc, just curious: What was your buy limit order and how did you come to that number?

Thanks!

It looks like GTU might be currently selling at a 7.5% discount (per some handy spreadsheet someone on this forum provided)... I have been thinking of selling all my GLD in my taxable account (which would be a large loss) and replacing it with GTU...  Again, I am still no sure about the wash rule on...

Thanks, DJ3...  I guess one perspective would be that the PP has experienced an abnormally low performance in the past 12 months that has occurred less than 5% of the time over last 40+ yrs...  One could surmise that while this low performance is certainly possible, it is unlikely to be the norm goi...

According to Peak2Trough, for the last 12 months, the HBPP has return of -2.89%...and there have been several calls that the HBPP is doomed... However, over the past 42 yrs when there apparently was nothing inherently wrong with the HBPP, there have been 120 periods (which were undoubtedly less or g...

Never ascribe to malice that which is adequately explained by incompetence - Napoleon Bonaparte

Thanks for your input, everyone...  Lots of pros and cons to weigh...  I probably should talk to a tax guy and get it resolved in my mind before the end of the year!

Again, thanks everyone!

I saw in a previous thread that Fidelity requires you to hold PRPFX for 60 days to avoid paying some short term fee... Does anyone know what these fees are?  I think foglifter uses PRPFX in his Fidelity account as a "cash" accumulator...  Is there any way to cost-effectively/automatically ...

Thanks... I had another idea.... I also have a loss on my TLT holdings (imagine that!) so what if I sold all my GLD and TLT holdings and bought PRPFX... Hold the PRPFX for at least 31 days... Sell the PRPFX and just enough of my VTI to rebalance and buy GTU (or some physical), TLT and SHY to get bac...

I am getting close to a 15/35 rebalancing band (stocks = 33%) in my taxable account.  I also hold GLD in this account that is down 19.3% since purchase in 1/2012.  My thought was when I rebalance, I could sell all my GLD and buy GTU (NAV -4.19% as of today) to take the loss on my GLD for this tax ye...

Our Dell laptop is now very old and very slow... We use our iPad ad much ad possible but it is always nice to have a full functioning computer in your quiver... I know back in 2011 there were several on this forum that got the Mac Airbook and gave it very good reviews... Are you Mac Airbook owners s...

Thanks for taking one for the team, Gerard!

You would have been ahead if you started with $10,000 on 6/8/2013 in a PP...You would now have $9,813...

... and no one gets hurt!...

Seems to be working...  GLD down =2.6% at the open...

Using peak-to-trough's calculator, for the period 1972-current the number of times there were drawdowns >7%: HBPP w/ 35/15 rebalance: 15 60/40 Stocks/Bonds (annual rebalance): 52 100% Stocks: 116 100% Bonds: 70 100% Gold: 186 100% Cash: 0 Past performance is no guarantee of future results... Bottom ...

I just hope I hit a rebalance band before then!...

CNN) -- All that glitters is not gold, they say. But all the gold in the world may come from astronomical events that send a lot of high-energy light out in space. Researchers have new evidence that gold comes from the collision of neutron stars. "We can account for all the gold in the universe...

I have often wondered just how many HBPP purists are out there and if there is another HBPP-centric forum universe out there...  Can't imagine another one with the incredibly high caliber of participants as this one though...

I worry a lot less when they all go up together than when they all go down together...