Search found 1128 matches
- Wed Nov 09, 2016 8:30 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Neocons
- Replies: 11
- Views: 7004
Re: Neocons
I'm still trying to figure out a really good consistent definition of neoconservative. I don't consider Trump to at all be a reliable non-interventionist. I believe the markets agree with me, after seeing how well the military industrial complex firms performed today compared to the rest of the mar...
- Wed Nov 09, 2016 8:24 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Neocons
- Replies: 11
- Views: 7004
Re: Neocons
I think the Neo-Cons will end up backing the Globalists. IMO, both political parties are re-aligning, and it's becoming Globalists vs Nationalists. Neo-Cons are open border, pro-foreign entanglement, so they will keep gravitating towards the Dems, which seem to be fixated on open borders (globalism)...
- Mon Nov 07, 2016 8:55 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Tallying of early votes
- Replies: 20
- Views: 8542
Re: Tallying of early votes
As far as I know, it's only ballots that have been returned and party ID that is tallied, not the actual vote counted. So for instance, hypothetically if 675K registered R's, 700K registered D's and 550K I's have returned early votes, they know the numbers returned, but they don't report who each pe...
- Fri Nov 04, 2016 11:08 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337867
Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
36 month performance re-balanced quarterly: 1X PP +14.8% 4.7% CAGR 0.76 Sharpe ratio -6.85% Max DD 3X PP +34.0% 10.2% CAGR 0.63 Sharpe ratio -22.46% Max DD Clearly this wasn't an ideal time for the PP with gold dragging the portfolio down, however it also wasn't a particularly bad time period either...
- Thu Nov 03, 2016 2:37 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337867
Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
11.1% each in SPXL, TMF and UGLD and the rest in SHY (rebalanced quarterly) is +12.4% YTD or 14.9% CAGR. Max DD -5.96% YTD
- Thu Oct 27, 2016 8:32 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold Returns in HyperInflation Countries
- Replies: 3
- Views: 3829
Re: Gold Returns in HyperInflation Countries
That's too bad. It's really sad how destructive runnaway leftism can get.ochotona wrote:I work with many Venezuelans, and their families are going through a terrible time now.
- Sat Oct 22, 2016 11:16 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Feds Warn Us That Evidence Of Election Fraud Could Be Russian Fraud
- Replies: 9
- Views: 5614
Re: Feds Warn Us That Evidence Of Election Fraud Could Be Russian Fraud
the elite are not people persons, if WW3 gets them power, money, thins the population, or brings them one step closer to the global government they dream of... they will be all in to make it happen... I used to think this stuff (NWO, Illuminati, Rothschilds, etc, etc) was crazy conspiracy talk, but...
- Fri Oct 21, 2016 10:54 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Feds Warn Us That Evidence Of Election Fraud Could Be Russian Fraud
- Replies: 9
- Views: 5614
Re: Feds Warn Us That Evidence Of Election Fraud Could Be Russian Fraud
i saw something about the wikileaks emails today that said it positively WASN'T the Russians , they wont say who it was to protect their sources.. (as it should be) but the way it was said made it sound like whistle blowers in the inside... Yep, were supposed to believe it's the Russians because Hi...
- Fri Oct 21, 2016 1:41 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: What Happens When Millennials Grow Up?
- Replies: 5
- Views: 2669
Re: What Happens When Millennials Grow Up?
Scary picture, but probably completely accurate. This is the downside of the student loan and skyrocketing college tuition cost bonanza, among other things. So add to this the burden of the rapidly growing, unskilled, non-English speaking underclass and remember that their birthrate is going to far...
- Fri Oct 21, 2016 12:05 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: What Happens When Millennials Grow Up?
- Replies: 5
- Views: 2669
Re: What Happens When Millennials Grow Up?
Most of the millennials I know have $400/mo Starbucks habits. They travel A LOT from what I can tell. They don't spend as much as previous generations on clothing, but they certainly love the high rent downtown city life. They value freedom and flexibility in their jobs, but that often comes at a co...
- Wed Oct 12, 2016 3:38 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: NBC/FOX Appear To Commit Blatant Polling Fraud
- Replies: 36
- Views: 19240
Re: NBC/FOX Appear To Commit Blatant Polling Fraud
I think the polls are tighter than they would indicate, but with that said, Trump will have to be within 2% to have a shot by Nov 4th or so. I do think it will tighten, however this lead may be insurmountable for Trump, however ANYTHING is possible in this election IMO due to Clinton's baggage. It's...
- Tue Oct 11, 2016 8:31 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Government Expenditure (Fiscal Policy aka Helicopter Money) Multiplier: -0.01
- Replies: 1
- Views: 1677
Re: Government Expenditure (Fiscal Policy aka Helicopter Money) Multiplier: -0.01
Yes this is definitely not rocket science. Government spending will always be less efficient than private sector spending. And more welfare = less productivity.
Most non academics don't need to see extensive studies on these topics, it's so easily understood.
Most non academics don't need to see extensive studies on these topics, it's so easily understood.
- Mon Oct 10, 2016 9:15 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Presidential Debate Part Deux
- Replies: 14
- Views: 8173
Re: Presidential Debate Part Deux
Trump won that round and he needed it badly. I don't think it will be enough, but he at least probably kept the bottom from falling out. I think the gap will narrow and he will lose by about 2-3% in the popular vote. If a more polished politician can grab some a little bit of his fire, and borrow so...
- Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:11 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Poll: Is Trump another ringer for the Clintons?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 3603
Re: Poll: Is Trump another ringer for the Clintons?
I don't think Trump is but Gary Johnson is either a paid Clinton ringer or the dumbest man alive.
- Wed Sep 21, 2016 11:10 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
- Replies: 26
- Views: 17174
Re: Investment Risk Tolerance Quiz
33 here. I guess that's why I'm comfortable with a leveraged PP.
- Tue Sep 06, 2016 4:28 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337867
Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
I may have misunderstood you, but shouldn't a 1.5x portfolio be 12.5% each SPXL/TMF/UGLD (with 62.5% SHY)?
That portfolio is up 19.9% YTD.
That portfolio is up 19.9% YTD.
- Thu Sep 01, 2016 2:10 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Where should I open new Roth IRA accounts
- Replies: 35
- Views: 15997
Re: Where should I open new Roth IRA accounts
I'm a big fan of Scottrade. Great selection of no-load, commission free mutual funds. You will pay $7/stock trade, so if you're hell bent on TLT it would cost you once or twice per year. Scottrade also offers BTTRX for free, which is a nice alternative, IMO. I would look at Interactive Brokers as we...
- Fri Aug 26, 2016 9:14 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
- Replies: 571
- Views: 337867
Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
My overnight margin is $6300 which is carrying a portfolio value of $49,400 (numbers rounded) As one who doesn't understand futures, does this mean you are leveraged 7.8x? So if/when Yellen comes and opens her mouth and gold, for example, dumps $100 instantly, what happens? Margin call, and then ar...
- Thu Aug 25, 2016 4:15 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Pizza Drones
- Replies: 20
- Views: 16784
Re: Pizza Drones
As an aside, I have a relative who is very high up with one of major US aerospace/defense firms. He runs a division that sells weaponry to another part of the globe. Anyway, he said that swarming drones is the next big thing for warfare. B-2's will drop 50-75 UAV's that will each contain a couple hu...
- Sat Aug 20, 2016 10:28 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Single Payer Healthcare
- Replies: 62
- Views: 32719
Re: Single Payer Healthcare
I listened to part of an in depth radio segment discussing the problems with the ACA and they had one expert from each side of the isle. They both agreed that Obamacare is working and will continue to work for those that are at or below 200% poverty rate, and it will continue to be completely unaffo...
- Mon Aug 08, 2016 1:46 pm
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Search engine recommendations?
- Replies: 4
- Views: 4159
Search engine recommendations?
Any suggestions for a good search engine that isn't working in concert with the Democratic party like Google is?
- Thu Aug 04, 2016 5:38 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 401(k) Rollover
- Replies: 11
- Views: 8587
Re: 401(k) Rollover
Also, do NOT mingle rollover IRA monies with non-rollover monies. Might depend on state, but more protection for rollover IRAs. Any sense whether it is OK to mingle roll-over monies from different sources? I currently have a roll-over IRA at Vanguard, so if I left my current job and rolled over my ...
- Tue Aug 02, 2016 4:52 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Funds
- Topic: PRPFX article on MarketWatch
- Replies: 5
- Views: 21303
Re: PRPFX article on MarketWatch
PRPFX is not a horrible option for those that want to be super hands off. It accomplishes most of what the HBPP aims for.
However, like you said, the fees are excessive for someone that is competent enough to manage a 4 fund portfolio on their own.
However, like you said, the fees are excessive for someone that is competent enough to manage a 4 fund portfolio on their own.
- Fri Jul 29, 2016 10:49 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Fudged Numbers Support Claims of Gender Gap in Salaries
- Replies: 39
- Views: 17991
Re: Fudged Numbers Support Claims of Gender Gap in Salaries
It's clear that we need fathers in the work place. It's not so clear that we need mothers in the work place. You're probably right, but this isn't the system that we're working with any longer. This brings up another dilemma that I think is contributing to the polarization of wealth/income/status i...
- Fri Jul 29, 2016 10:43 am
- Forum: Other Discussions
- Topic: Fudged Numbers Support Claims of Gender Gap in Salaries
- Replies: 39
- Views: 17991
Re: Fudged Numbers Support Claims of Gender Gap in Salaries
How about if women with children stay home and raise their children themselves? I'm sure that's terribly sexist somehow... I'm sure there are some like that. But the data is pretty clear that women can't possibly be systematically underpaid without entrepreneurs taking advantage of that mispricing ...