Search found 126 matches

by thisisallen
Thu Dec 15, 2016 9:41 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Who understands bonds?
Replies: 9
Views: 9246

Re: Who understands bonds?

Sounds good. Very helpful.
Tyler, keep up excellent efforts. And THANKS!
by thisisallen
Thu Dec 15, 2016 5:24 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Who understands bonds?
Replies: 9
Views: 9246

Re: Who understands bonds?

Very good info. What is the takeaway for the traditional PP investor? In other words, the backtesting is based on an index for one thing. Second thing is that the results include re-invested dividends. So for the PP investor buying individual 30 yr bonds and holding them for 10 yrs, are the results ...
by thisisallen
Wed Dec 14, 2016 3:48 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Who understands bonds?
Replies: 9
Views: 9246

Who understands bonds?

Bonds are tough to understand pour moi. Can I ask a question(s)? When people post results of backtesting bonds (here and at sites like portfoliocharts.com) are they the results of a fund like TLT or are they the results of the cost of a 30 yr individual bond? Does the result include the income from ...
by thisisallen
Sun Dec 04, 2016 9:52 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Recent article on PP
Replies: 13
Views: 9530

Re: Recent article on PP

Perhaps if you just compare different portfolios (allocations) it may not be appropriate for the younger investor. However if you view the PP as a package (for example, conceptually how the parts fit together, the idea that investments can be simple and not complicated, predicting, etc) then it is v...
by thisisallen
Sat Dec 03, 2016 5:23 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Recent article on PP
Replies: 13
Views: 9530

Re: Recent article on PP

The "permanency" of the PP is very valuable. It is more preferable to deal with smaller changes (adjust savings or spending) vs dramatic/surprise moves. There was a post in this forum (sorry, can't remember exactly who wrote it, maybe Sophie?) that explained that other portfolios do not co...
by thisisallen
Fri Dec 02, 2016 9:48 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Recent article on PP
Replies: 13
Views: 9530

Recent article on PP

http://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2016/12/02/the-permanent-portfolio/ Seems overall positive but with caveats. Do you think it is a fair assessment of the PP? And are there any more advantages of the PP that he missed? I am newly committed to the PP style of investing and interested in gaiming a clea...
by thisisallen
Sun Nov 20, 2016 9:45 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: 10 yr vs 30 yr yield change
Replies: 13
Views: 12216

Re: 10 yr vs 30 yr yield change

^ +1
good explanation. all clear.
by thisisallen
Sat Nov 19, 2016 8:56 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: 10 yr vs 30 yr yield change
Replies: 13
Views: 12216

Re: 10 yr vs 30 yr yield change

P.S. Thx for pointing to peaktotrough.com
by thisisallen
Sat Nov 19, 2016 8:46 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: 10 yr vs 30 yr yield change
Replies: 13
Views: 12216

Re: 10 yr vs 30 yr yield change

OP here. @ barrett. Yes, I was looking at the yield changes. Could you explain how duration effects the phenomenon? And why the LTTs are still more valid than 10 yr?
Thx
by thisisallen
Sat Nov 19, 2016 9:22 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: 10 yr vs 30 yr yield change
Replies: 13
Views: 12216

10 yr vs 30 yr yield change

the PP holds 30 yr bonds because they are the most volatile (sensitive to changes in interest rates/price). Is that true? in the recent run-up in yield after the election the 10 yr bond seems to be at least as volatile if not more volatile than the 30 yr bond. In other words, the interest rate chang...
by thisisallen
Tue Nov 01, 2016 2:11 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How to adjust bond duration using cash?
Replies: 5
Views: 5300

Re: How to adjust bond duration using cash?

Great. Seems so simple - once you're shown the answer. :)
by thisisallen
Tue Nov 01, 2016 10:59 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How to adjust bond duration using cash?
Replies: 5
Views: 5300

Re: How to adjust bond duration using cash?

appreciate the quick reply. I see the point. Could you possibly give an example how it works? (new at this...)
by thisisallen
Tue Nov 01, 2016 10:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: How to adjust bond duration using cash?
Replies: 5
Views: 5300

How to adjust bond duration using cash?

it is frequently mentioned in the forum posts that people are adjusting their bond duration by holding more/less cash. Is there a simple way to understand what they are talking about and how to adjust for duration? Thanks.
by thisisallen
Thu Oct 27, 2016 10:58 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Question about setting up PP for withdrawal phase
Replies: 5
Views: 4095

Re: Question about setting up PP for withdrawal phase

^ Thx. Got it. Will do.
May I ask, do you also use TLT?
by thisisallen
Wed Oct 26, 2016 5:30 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Question about setting up PP for withdrawal phase
Replies: 5
Views: 4095

Re: Question about setting up PP for withdrawal phase

Thx. follow up question: if withdrawing the cash then it is likely to cause the re-balancing of the portfolio more often, and don't both the coins and the bonds having specific values kinda present a challenge to easily shift things around/re-balance? Perhaps it will be trial and error and learning ...
by thisisallen
Wed Oct 26, 2016 3:33 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Question about setting up PP for withdrawal phase
Replies: 5
Views: 4095

Question about setting up PP for withdrawal phase

If dividends cannot cover all expenses then is it OK to use only ETFs for the 4 sections of the PP (since it may be easier to withdraw from these vs physical gold and long term bonds)? This setup goes against the principles of the traditional PP and introduces additional risks. Is there a better way...
by thisisallen
Fri Oct 21, 2016 4:52 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold Price Sources
Replies: 11
Views: 6689

Re: Gold Price Sources

^ Excellent. Thx for sharing.
by thisisallen
Sat Oct 15, 2016 4:29 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: does anyone hold iShares ACWV vs VTI?
Replies: 1
Views: 3788

does anyone hold iShares ACWV vs VTI?

"ACWV" did not get any hits using the Search function. It is an ETF that holds both US and Int'l stocks (considered a World Stock fund and is based on equal weighting and has assets of $3.2 bil and ER .2) Does anyone hold this in the stock portion of the PP? VTI vs ACWV ACWV only shows res...
by thisisallen
Wed Oct 12, 2016 4:14 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Does the yield spread effect the volatility?
Replies: 2
Views: 3347

Re: Does the yield spread effect the volatility?

yield spread has nothing to do with volatility then. So even if the spread between a 10 yr bond and a 30 yr bond is narrow it does not effect the volatility of the 30 yr bond? In other words, if interest rates fall then 30 yr bonds still rise in price much more than 10 yr bonds even if the spread is...
by thisisallen
Wed Oct 12, 2016 3:10 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Does the yield spread effect the volatility?
Replies: 2
Views: 3347

Does the yield spread effect the volatility?

these days the yield spread for 10 vs 30 is very narrow. The 20 yr and the 30 yr are equal (yesterday at least). Does this effect the volatility so that the usefulness of the LTT is less?
Is the question clear?
by thisisallen
Wed Oct 12, 2016 2:47 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Ques about the purchase/sale of Long Term Bonds
Replies: 4
Views: 4089

Re: Ques about the purchase/sale of Long Term Bonds

OK.
Still learning...
by thisisallen
Tue Oct 11, 2016 11:23 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Ques about the purchase/sale of Long Term Bonds
Replies: 4
Views: 4089

Re: Ques about the purchase/sale of Long Term Bonds

Clear.

if you buy a 25 yr bond then, when it hits 20 yr you purchase another 25 yr bond (the original duration).
by thisisallen
Tue Oct 11, 2016 10:28 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Ques about the purchase/sale of Long Term Bonds
Replies: 4
Views: 4089

Ques about the purchase/sale of Long Term Bonds

Just getting my feet wet in understanding this portfolio - a lot more to learn... Is it the correct procedure to buy 30 yr bonds and then hold them for 10 yrs? And then sell the 20 yr bonds in order to buy more 30 yr ones? At the time of the "forced" sale there is either a capital gain or ...