Ochotona,
What is your rule for getting back in?
Keep us posted on when the newsletter suggests getting out of cash.
Search found 132 matches
- Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:28 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
- Replies: 500
- Views: 307354
- Sun Mar 15, 2020 9:49 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
- Replies: 500
- Views: 307354
Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Impressive!
How often those e-mails come?
How often those e-mails come?
- Sat Mar 14, 2020 8:54 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
- Replies: 500
- Views: 307354
Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Congrats!
Did the newsletter explicitly say "Get out!" or was it your calculations based on the information in the newsletter?
Did the newsletter explicitly say "Get out!" or was it your calculations based on the information in the newsletter?
- Tue Mar 10, 2020 3:29 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
- Replies: 11
- Views: 7436
Re: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
I get a feeling some people could use a batch of positive statistics. Here it is. Yesterday was a Monday, and the S&P-500 index fell 7,6% in one day. In the table below, there recorded all the previous instances for the last 70 years, when the index dropped more than 5% on a Monday. Nine instanc...
- Fri Feb 28, 2020 3:15 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
- Replies: 11
- Views: 7436
Re: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
If volatility disturbs your sleep, you need to re-evaluate your risk ratio. Claiming that they can handle 25-30% drawdown for long-term profit, some investors begin to panic at minus 10-15%. The attached table illustrates a simple thing: based on the previous history, what profit one should expect a...
- Tue Feb 25, 2020 1:54 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Thank you IG for allowing me to post some graphs and tables here. After some thought given to the nature of my postings and the character of your thread, I decided it would be more fitting to have a separate thread for that. Here is the link, https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f...
- Tue Feb 25, 2020 1:50 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
- Replies: 11
- Views: 7436
Re: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
Here is an interesting piece of statistics in the light of yesterday's drop. In the last ten years, there have been 242 days, when S&P dropped 1% or more. In the table, all the cases are spread over the days of a week. The spread is quite even, as one can see. The drawdowns are also somewhat eve...
- Tue Feb 25, 2020 1:41 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
- Replies: 11
- Views: 7436
Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
Hi, The Insurance Guy has been kind enough to let me post some of the graphs and thoughts that I have come across concerning S&P, momentum, and other market-related topics. I think it is time to start its own thread. Thoughts, reflections, and graphs are welcome. Not sure I can always provide th...
- Sat Feb 22, 2020 6:21 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Does anyone read fund perspectives? My broker has sent me one for SPDR fund. I reckon besides the maintenance fees it is not that helpful.
- Wed Feb 12, 2020 11:50 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Sorry man. Can't seem to find the source. Have saved only the table.
- Wed Feb 12, 2020 3:39 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Hi D1984,
Got my piece from a professional network. Try contacting them and see if they point you to the source.
Let us know how it goes.
Got my piece from a professional network. Try contacting them and see if they point you to the source.
Let us know how it goes.
- Thu Feb 06, 2020 2:58 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Robeco has published interesting statistics. Interestingly enough, the Momentum factor is ahead of the market in all the decades, starting from 1930s.
- Fri Jan 17, 2020 6:53 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Did you add to your limit order at 12.33 from 1/9 ?
- Fri Jan 17, 2020 4:32 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures
When did you sell oil?
- Mon Jan 13, 2020 7:50 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Hope Mr. IG does not mind my postings. If it's inconvenient, please do not hesitate to let me know. People from "Irrelevant investor" evaluated longest drawdowns in real prices since 1926. On the graph, you can see that so-called risk-free investments (especially US bonds and T-bills) lose...
- Thu Jan 09, 2020 7:58 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Nice! What is your secret?
- Wed Jan 08, 2020 8:22 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Is it time to buy oil?
- Mon Jan 06, 2020 2:13 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Historical returns of different portfolios, diverse and an "average" investor.
Source from J.P. Morgan Asset Management:
https://am.jpmorgan.com/blob-gim/138340 ... M_1Q20.pdf
2mathjak107: Hope that helps in regards to what you were asking.
Source from J.P. Morgan Asset Management:
https://am.jpmorgan.com/blob-gim/138340 ... M_1Q20.pdf
2mathjak107: Hope that helps in regards to what you were asking.
- Thu Jan 02, 2020 4:00 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Here is a comparative return from different assets for the last decade.
Nobody knows what will the next ten years bring. The last could be first and vice versa.
Nobody knows what will the next ten years bring. The last could be first and vice versa.
- Tue Dec 31, 2019 10:57 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
- Replies: 70
- Views: 51428
Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Small wonder, momentum strategies lose to S&P when the latter is pumping, like the last 12 weeks. The thing is, not many, if any, people know when S&P will be pumping.
- Mon Dec 30, 2019 8:23 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
- Mon Dec 30, 2019 7:07 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Well said.
It is very convenient to buy an ETF when the market is down for a day or two. Especially, if one needs this ETF in one's portfolio. Not to mention that TLT even pays dividends once a quarter. The chances that something goes wrong with this plan are minuscular.
It is very convenient to buy an ETF when the market is down for a day or two. Especially, if one needs this ETF in one's portfolio. Not to mention that TLT even pays dividends once a quarter. The chances that something goes wrong with this plan are minuscular.
- Mon Dec 30, 2019 6:09 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Alright! Keep us posted. Many learn by observation or following the master ;-)
- Fri Dec 27, 2019 11:30 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures
I'd like the first copy but signed ;-) If not signed, then no go.
- Fri Dec 27, 2019 9:28 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
- Replies: 1195
- Views: 267776
Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Got my first 1% off TLT. That was pretty easy!
Thanks, mathjak, for sharing this simple strategy!
Thanks, mathjak, for sharing this simple strategy!