Search found 4456 matches

by mathjak107
Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:46 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Where do TIPS fit into the PP?
Replies: 8
Views: 3008

Re: Where do TIPS fit into the PP?

i dont care for tips ... they may follow the cpi which is just a price change index through out the 1500 mini economies that make us up , but it is not linked at all to your personal cost of living .
by mathjak107
Wed Apr 08, 2020 3:02 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Negative interest rates
Replies: 57
Views: 25036

Re: Negative interest rates

Clarification/update per your PM: I will not renew them, barrett, but will leave the proceeds from matured bills to buy stocks and, if I can find them, some more gold coins. We had a bunch of T-Bills mature at Fidelity today. I replaced those will more T-Bills with maturities between six and 12 mon...
by mathjak107
Tue Apr 07, 2020 3:35 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Replies: 1195
Views: 265790

Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures

i just bought uso again .... over all uso has made money but i only hold it a day or two .. i buy after a tumble and sell first pop
by mathjak107
Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:28 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Replies: 1195
Views: 265790

Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures

That would be typical.....but so far futures down at least now and oil up ....I don’t hold these very long at all ......especially sdow that was down something like 22% today .....

Right now my one day a week of work is on hold so if I make a days pay I am happy
by mathjak107
Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:02 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Replies: 1195
Views: 265790

Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures

Futures down 85 ....come on sdow ......
by mathjak107
Mon Apr 06, 2020 3:10 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Replies: 1195
Views: 265790

Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures

bought today

4/06/2020

Buy 1,000 of USO at Market (Day) Filled at $5.47

04/06/2020

Buy 200 Shares of SDOW at Market (Day) Filled at $40.6801
by mathjak107
Mon Apr 06, 2020 3:55 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Five years out?
Replies: 7
Views: 2691

Re: PP Five years out?

3% real is what I meant. Can we dare assume 3% real, averaged over the next 5 years? 2% would be ok, too. I would like to think the PP could handle negative rates and float along giving better than 0.1% on a bank savings account. Therefore 2% real would be ok, too. That 1966-1981 era may be upon us...
by mathjak107
Sun Apr 05, 2020 3:31 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The tech-dumbell portfolio
Replies: 69
Views: 29712

Re: The tech-dumbell portfolio

I didn't aim my portfolio at the current financial climate. If I'd known what was going to happen, I'd have my own private jet by now. But for a disaster portfolio, it seems to be pretty successful so far. And it's about as simple as you can get: 2/3rd actual physical gold (geographically diverse) ...
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 04, 2020 6:23 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

There is never double taxation except on interest... It is a Susie ormann myth ...she used to tell her band of financial misfits it was double taxed to talk them out of it ..... Yes, that always irritated me. But she probably did more good than harm if she talked them out of taking loans to go on v...
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 04, 2020 5:57 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

There is never double taxation except on interest...

It is a Susie ormann myth ...she used to tell her band of financial misfits it was double taxed to talk them out of it .....
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 04, 2020 3:08 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Replies: 1195
Views: 265790

Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures

mathjak, I know you are a big stock guy and am curious what your allocation is after this drop. I thought you said somewhere (maybe earlier on this thread) that you were somewhere around 25%. Is that about right? Thanks. Yes ..... Over all I am about 25% equities... Very high cash levels though ......
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 04, 2020 7:52 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: New ETF option from State Street GLDM
Replies: 10
Views: 5340

Re: New ETF option from State Street GLDM

gld/m has been around a while ..
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 04, 2020 4:55 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: How do you invest the Cash portion?
Replies: 243
Views: 172580

Re: How do you invest the Cash portion?

we are holding a lot of cash now , most being reinvested in drips and drabs . we have about 1 million in fdlxx , and 500k in gov't money markets and banks . these are the highest cash levels i can ever remember having ... with bond funds that are not treasuries being beat up i pulled about 1/2 out o...
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 04, 2020 4:45 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Negative 1 and 3 Month Treasury Rates
Replies: 49
Views: 22353

Re: Negative 1 and 3 Month Treasury Rates

If Tbill rates stay negative I could just keep that 25% in cash in the brokerage account uninvested. By “uninvested,” you mean invested in your brokerage account’s settlement fund, which I believe is generally some kind of money market fund. Might want to look under that hood. I don’t believe so. I...
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 04, 2020 3:22 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs
Replies: 95
Views: 41188

Re: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs

Fidelity closed fdlxx to new investors on March 30th ..... Anyone who listened to me when I posted this got in under the wire. I got my mother's cash balance into that fund before it was closed. yes , you planted the seeds in my head and i moved 1 million dollars awaiting investment in to fdlxx so ...
by mathjak107
Fri Apr 03, 2020 5:38 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs
Replies: 95
Views: 41188

Re: Ok, everyone, time to go Treasury-only MMFs

Fidelity closed fdlxx to new investors on March 30th .....
by mathjak107
Thu Apr 02, 2020 2:11 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Negative interest rates
Replies: 57
Views: 25036

Re: Negative interest rates

In 1927 the CPI dropped 1.7% and didn't turn positive until 1934 when it was 3.1%, a 7-year run without any inflation. (In 1929 it was 0.0%.) It went negative again for two years in 1938 & 1939. (But of course there's nothing like a world war to turn it positive.) So we've had extended periods ...
by mathjak107
Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:27 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: mathjak's daytrading adventures
Replies: 1195
Views: 265790

Re: mathjak's daytrading adventures

Oil had a good pop ..I missed getting it by 5 cents the other day ..I had an order at 3.99 and it hit 4.04
by mathjak107
Thu Apr 02, 2020 6:51 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

the problem is you can't spend a closet at the supermarket ... any equity in a house is trapped . it can not come out ... sure you can use it as collateral for loans but today you need the same criteria to get a heloc as a mortgage ... 2008 saw helocs cancelled and closed as well . so i prefer liqui...
by mathjak107
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:40 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

The loan is actually from assets liquidated in your 401k ... So you don’t get to double dip ,keeping the money invested while borrowing it out and investing it elsewhere Of course. I would have never thought it worked any other way. But if the stock market continues to fall (and eventually just be ...
by mathjak107
Wed Apr 01, 2020 5:30 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

OK, thanks for the added detail. I'm not particularly concerned about any of that, to be honest. I understand that should I take a 401k loan there could be scenarios where I'd suddenly find that I needed to default on the loan and pay the necessary taxes. That would not be my plan, but I'm willing ...
by mathjak107
Wed Apr 01, 2020 5:08 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

The company was taken over by a new company after it failed , no one lost their job ....the old 401k no longer exists to pay it back to...that is what happens when your company fails ... In fact for the rest of us it was a learning experience...when the company no longer paid the 401k administrators...
by mathjak107
Wed Apr 01, 2020 4:05 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

An ira loan ? Does such a thing exist ? I don’t think so ..new bill only waves penalty on money pulled out ..I saw nothing about a loan process
by mathjak107
Wed Apr 01, 2020 3:06 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

In my last company my buddy decided to take a 401k loan to buy a new car ..well the company fell on hard times ,was taken over but the 401k was closed ....he had to pay back the entire loan and could only refinance the car , not at the low rates the factories offered but at a ridiculous rate as a us...
by mathjak107
Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:13 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal
Replies: 61
Views: 20437

Re: Strategically taking a 401k loan and/or no-penalty withdrawal

I agree ...that is the last place I would touch