Search found 423 matches

by Vil
Thu Mar 17, 2022 2:56 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Replies: 1173
Views: 1084145

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

By the way, I thought your native tongue would be really close to Russian, but I guess not? Both use Slavonic/Cyrillic alphabet, but more different words than common ones. Looking back, satellite tv does more for the West vs China, Russia and Iran than missiles ever could O0 For sure In general, I ...
by Vil
Tue Mar 15, 2022 4:11 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Replies: 1173
Views: 1084145

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

How do you see this conflict ending, Vil? You know more than most of us, and I respect your opinion. Of course, nobody knows the what the future brings (that's why there is such a gyro forum ;) ). Though certainly the smell of this war has been floating around since several years and many people ha...
by Vil
Mon Mar 14, 2022 6:22 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Replies: 1173
Views: 1084145

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Yes, indeed guys - keep commenting the ultra-lefts and do not bother about things you hardly understand. It's like I do comment the Super Bowl or the quality of Texas veal. ;D The war is the same as it was 3 weeks ago - man dying and their families are spread around Poland, Moldova, Romania and Bulg...
by Vil
Wed Feb 02, 2022 10:01 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Retiring in scary environment of 2022: Invest 100% of capital into PP now, or hold cash and deploy slowly to avoid SORR?
Replies: 33
Views: 7865

Re: Retiring in scary environment of 2022: Invest 100% of capital into PP now, or hold cash and deploy slowly to avoid S

I am genuinely interested what kind of advices you will receive- guess you will receive more of the same that you've already read in here. Personally, I have realized that the answer of most of those questions (yeah, you are not alone) is that there is no answer. PP can deep dive the next years. It ...
by Vil
Mon Jan 10, 2022 11:50 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2157239

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

See the top contenders in the list, sorted DESC by deaths/100K pop: TopContenders.jpg I do not really get how that small ( according to what I read in this thread) difference in deaths/100K between BG (452 deaths/100K) and USA (255 deaths/100K) is making such a difference? I guess its due to the pop...
by Vil
Sat Jan 08, 2022 9:33 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
Replies: 135
Views: 32992

Re: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"

After having some time to think about it, I think the Golden Butterfly might be the ticket for investing my dad's estate money. This is how I ended investing my EUR stuff( on top of pure US PP kept in USD). Hegding US PP was a stupid initial move. Though I keep less stocks than pure GB (i.e. 30-35%...
by Vil
Thu Jan 06, 2022 12:53 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2022 PP predictions
Replies: 44
Views: 9812

Re: 2022 PP predictions

I've been investing since the early 80s, so I've had a 40 year bull market in stocks and bonds. Actually, I feel a bit lucky in that aspect, that I started with US PP at the end of 2019/very beginning of 2020, which turned to be quite a good year (~15% for me). Before that I've never invested in bo...
by Vil
Thu Jan 06, 2022 8:41 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2022 PP predictions
Replies: 44
Views: 9812

Re: 2022 PP predictions

buddtholomew wrote: Thu Jan 06, 2022 8:23 am Stocks down
Gold down
Bonds down
And if we assume there is no some staggering lack of liquidity across the markets - where all those money will go ?
by Vil
Wed Jan 05, 2022 9:25 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
Replies: 135
Views: 32992

Re: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"

... This is why kitces did his article on the red zone . That is when you are pre retirement through the early years of retirement and dollars are at their peak ….a hit can be years of money . Indeed, Kitces article is a good one. For any forum newcomers it would sound like - if you are young and h...
by Vil
Wed Jan 05, 2022 3:57 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"
Replies: 135
Views: 32992

Re: The PP, marginal utility, and investment "faith"

I have high 6 digit sum in US PP and feel just fine. Though have other assets (land inclusive) too. Actually, the more I have the more risk averse I get. It's definitely one thing to lose 30% on 5000 USD, and just another on a million for example.. But that's just me.
by Vil
Tue Jan 04, 2022 7:30 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2022 PP predictions
Replies: 44
Views: 9812

Re: 2022 PP predictions

Morgan Stanley predictions , I have no f*cking clue. Now reading "Trading Sardines" (by Linda Raschke, guess you know who she is). She confirms one can make millions in short term market moves, though long time predictions are next to impossible. She credits Taleb's 'swans' too ;D By the w...
by Vil
Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:57 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2021 PP Returns
Replies: 30
Views: 6208

Re: 2021 PP Returns

Approx. 4% for me. The wage income for the last year was kind of a very good one, according to statistics I've seen I am in the top 20% of US households. So, personally I do not care too much about PP - its doing its business, I am doing mine.
by Vil
Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:49 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bulgaria
Replies: 10
Views: 2205

Re: Bulgaria

God damn Vil, put down that Doom Juice and pick up a Hope Soda. I prefer the good old Reality-style Beer (which is the drink that lead me to PP and this forum, not the Doom Juice or the Hope Soda ;) ) On another note, here, in BG there are places for any taste, the ones you've mentioned are more fo...
by Vil
Thu Dec 30, 2021 3:16 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bulgaria
Replies: 10
Views: 2205

Re: Bulgaria

Vil, here's an article I just saw about Bulgaria. Interesting! https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-pandemic-gives-new-hope-to-one-of-the-worlds-fastest-shrinking-countries-11640784601?st=qbzewo9kx8j3lx7&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink Xan , thanks for sharing. Well.. while there is certainl...
by Vil
Fri Dec 24, 2021 10:44 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Craig's Crawling Road Podcast
Replies: 3
Views: 1786

Re: Craig's Crawling Road Podcast

Vil, I know this is pathetic but I found exactly one episode of Craig's own podcast: the first one. I have a lot of Harry's Money Talk episodes, but only one Craig. Far from pathetic. I guess Craig himself might be the only source of those and tend to believe can reach him outside the premises of t...
by Vil
Thu Dec 23, 2021 5:00 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Safe Withdrawal Rates
Replies: 46
Views: 13339

Re: Safe Withdrawal Rates

https://dualmomentumsystems.com/?post=a-look-at-triad https://dualmomentumsystems.com/?post=permanent-portfolio-vs-triad This is the one you invented, right ? Though there is still a mystery behind it: Triad splits the portfolio into 1/3rds. Based on the lookback methodology (which I am not divulgi...
by Vil
Wed Dec 22, 2021 9:46 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2157239

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

regardless of your position on the vaccine and virus, Well, not sure it was ever mentioned by me, or you got the wrong impression from some of my posts, but I contracted Covid last spring (kids brought it from school). Afterwards got fully vaccinated too. Even though I still have good enough immune...
by Vil
Wed Dec 22, 2021 9:37 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2157239

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Yes, its kind of unbelievable. Reading this thread I suspect we (i.e. humans, supposedly there are no robots posting here, even having some repeatable statements here and there ;) ) fall prey of what I call "context-bias" - we think what we see outside our window is the weather all over th...
by Vil
Wed Dec 22, 2021 6:42 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 64322

Re: Yay PP!

.. whether equity-heavy portfolios like his will experience regression to the mean. On a funny note, a very old post (dragoncar, 2015, but I vividly recall it), related to what might be referred as the "Golden Bitching"-PP portoflio ;D I find bitching is just a regular part of the PP. It'...
by Vil
Wed Dec 22, 2021 4:23 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 2157239

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

A close friend of mine is just now visiting Sweden. He reports that there is no masking whatsoever, and everything appears to be "normal". Come on, Swedish folks are amateurs - read on below ... Moreover, they have 80+ % of vaccinated people ! Here, we have just a bit over 30% of fully va...
by Vil
Tue Dec 21, 2021 3:20 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Yay PP!
Replies: 268
Views: 64322

Re: Yay PP!

I moved to a PP in order to protect the wealth already created as I hopefully glide towards retirement. +1 gazillion, exactly the same reason why I landed on PP. Moreover, still can't see (drug dealing also not being an option) how I can earn from investing the amount of money I am getting from my ...
by Vil
Mon Dec 20, 2021 10:06 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Podcasts
Replies: 80
Views: 29621

Re: Podcasts

No worries, I am not in hurry. In any case your willingness to help is highly appreciated O0
by Vil
Sun Dec 19, 2021 5:59 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Safe Withdrawal Rates
Replies: 46
Views: 13339

Re: Safe Withdrawal Rates

The MMM I know (always thought its some Canadian Boggleheads version), ERE - completely ignorant about, will check it. Thanks for those. EDIT: Had a glance over couple of topics on the ERE site and the suggested reads ("How I found freedom in unfree world" being one of those). A bit too ex...
by Vil
Sat Dec 18, 2021 2:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Safe Withdrawal Rates
Replies: 46
Views: 13339

Re: Safe Withdrawal Rates

Krieg , what all those TLAs that you discovered mean - ERE, MMM ? I wish to discover them too .. MJ , thanks for sharing this article. I can't understand how with the bond tent and V-shaped stock allocation, portfolio continues its almost exponential growth - maybe higher annual contributions done ...
by Vil
Sat Dec 18, 2021 1:05 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Podcasts
Replies: 80
Views: 29621

Re: Podcasts

• Craig was a guest on what podcast? Yes, he was, long ago. Actually, even not one, but two appearances - thevoluntarylife podcast (there is also link to it from AdOrientem's blogspot...) and also this one - survival podcast . As for surival podcast can recall a very early discussion between you an...